關於股票,自己提醒自己

記錄自己的想法,自己寫給自己的東西.
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LDK經驗總結

(2007-12-20 16:31:39) 下一個
幾天前注意到LDK這個股票,當時價格在55-60之間,還有AR問題沒有解決,和Q-Cell的大合同剛剛宣布.讀了一些介紹,感覺AR應該沒有問題,就買進了一些股票.

AR結果出來了,股票跳升,探了一次曆史最高點75,非常快就下來了.

然後就是等待星期三的ER.以前賭過ER,吃過虧,這次呢忘了教訓.主要原因在於,看多了yahoo message board 上的討論,過於樂觀,打算用3/4的倉位賭一吧.即使在周三收盤前大跌的情況下,也沒有改變主意,在66上出了1/4的倉.

周四一大早送朋友去機場,回來還繼續wishful thinking.結果一天都是往下跌.這裏又犯了錯誤,就是該cut loss,但我做的剛剛相反,到了49的時候,還double了倉位,企圖average down!結果當然很慘,收盤時終於無法忍受,全部割掉.

總結一下教訓:

1,一定要有一個想好的stop loss 位置,並堅決執行它.

2,wishful thinking 害死人,一定要獨立思考,考慮到各種情況,而不是頭腦發熱!發現自己頭腦發熱的時候,跑!

3,現在情況明了了,就是大莊家要救自己寫出去的calls.在股票市場上,拳頭大的說了算.尤其是ldk這種新股票,沒有大資金的支撐,大莊家想幹什麽幹什麽!散戶隨多,但沒有力量,被莊家肆意攻擊.所以,在炒股時,最重要的判斷莊家的意圖,判斷清楚前,不要行動.

有一個收獲是發現了一個高手:"秋之皓月",他的博克地址在 http://qiuzhihaoyue.blogspot.com/

他的炒股經驗如下:

BE PATIENT!!
0) over-allocation is a killer, when you want to add to a losing position
, think about AMZN to make sure you have good reason for that.
0) trade is about avoiding mistakes than making profits.
0)no open new position AH, close position is fine.
1) before you initiate a trade, write down the reasons for that.
2) no panic any time.
3) stick to limit, cut loss early.
4) stick to the plan that you have thought over.
8) hold on to your position, don't rush to jump from one to another.
9) don't short stock whose market cap is under 3B and volume is less than 3M.
10) don't let one bad trade affect other trades.
14) when you take a hedged position, don't rush to close positions on one
side.
15) usually don't play earnings, not even think about it, if play has to use
OPTION.
16) taking profit, don't hold any position until you have clear conviction
about where market is going.
17) never allocate more than 25% for initial trade, if add, no more than 50%
, newly added shares have
to be cleared quickly if it still doesn't go your way. IF YOU GAMBLE WITH
EVERYTHING YOU HAVE,
EVENTUALY YOU'LL END UP WITH LOSING EVERYTHING.
19) keep a cool head in case of unexpected catastrophe.
20) Never short good stock, never short strong stocks.
21) NEVER short on new HIGH day, only consider when it starts to go down.
22) first consider buy puts when you want to short stock, if you short stock
, always thinking about buy
some calls for protection, this may not apply to ETFs.
24) cut loss if you lose more than 8%, no compromise, put a stop order
whenever you make one trade.

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