2020年競爭民主黨候選人的黨內初選初期,拜登被民主黨極左勢力代表桑德斯打得落花流水,直到初選到了南卡羅萊納州時,該州的聯邦資深眾議員Jim Clybum (黑人)為拜登站台: "... We know Joe, but most importantly, Joe knows us." 從此開始,拜登所向披靡,贏遍所有剩餘各州,成為民主黨總統候選人。
3 "就是抬,我們也要把拜登抬過打敗川普的終點。我們堅信美國大眾會與我們同行。對這個國家的愛之深切,讓拜登,我們,和美國人民別無選擇。To beat Trump, we will carry Joe Biden over the finish-line if we have to. We believe the American people will be with us. Joe, we, and American people love this country too much to do otherwise." 民主黨人站在國會山的台階上向美國人民表明自己的心聲。
我一直都跟讀博主的文章,非常讚賞博主的分析。下麵這段話非常正確,其實我以前都是投共和黨的,這次堅決投民主黨就是這個原因。YouTube 有個“Republican Voters Against Trump”,我幾乎每個都看,那些人真的說出了我的心聲。希望有更多清醒的共和黨人,一定要阻止川普當選。美國兩黨輪流執政,其實差別不是很大,如果這次不是川普,沒有必要一定投民主黨。
tianjinwang1: ...Replacing Video with someone who can better reach the goal of winning the election.
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The problem is no one can tell who that person is. And even if that person were identified, how could he/she be accepted by the whole party. It would take forever for the party to unite around a new leader in this situation, if that were ever possible at all, and clearly time St this time is not a rare commodity for the Democratic Party to have. People's feeling would definitely get hurt in this messy process, so much so that they might give up on voting altogether. And these are just the problems within the party.
The conventional wisdom is "staying put when feeling uncertain", and in this particular case it means keeping Biden and ploughing through as originally designed....
I almost feel convinced by myself now.
ShalakoW 發表評論於
@tianjinwang1,
Honestly, for me it's a "To be or not to be" situation, I don't know which way is better, replacing him or not replacing him, that's the f@&king question.
tianjinwang1 發表評論於
無所謂的。我們都是民主黨的支持者(至少在這次選舉中)。不可否認的是,如果拜登2023年就宣布不參選,We are in a much better shape now. 我和你不一樣的是,I am MUCH MORE open to the idea of replacing Biden with someone who can better reach the goal of winning the election.實不相瞞,辯論後我難過的兩天沒有睡好覺。
President Biden's family is urging him to stay in the race and keep fighting despite last week's disastrous debate performance, even as some members of his clan privately expressed exasperation at how he was prepared for the event by his staff, people close to the situation said on Sunday.
消息來源不明,讓子彈飛一會再說吧。現實來說,拜登贏川普的機會很小了。決定選舉勝負的是關鍵州的undecided選民。拜登在這些州已經落後川普了,所以他需要有重大的進展。但是他的表現是災難級的,it is highly unlikely在undecided選民中獲得巨大的突破。給undecided選民講民主、自由是沒有用的,因為如果這些undecided選民認為民主、自由很重要,他們就不是undecided選民了。
ShalakoW 發表評論於 2024-06-30 16:14:53
davidinchina : Bill O'Reilly 在X上說,拜登已經決定推出...
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Politics is about winning.
If Biden could not convince his party that he still can win, then he'd have to give up on staying in the race. It is what it is.
He will be remembered nicely in history though.
ShalakoW 發表評論於
davidinchina : Bill O'Reilly 在X上說,拜登已經決定推出...
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我本以為他們至少會等到下周才做出這個決定,至少看看辯論後的民調。
ShalakoW 發表評論於
davidinchina : Bill O'Reilly 在X上說,拜登已經決定推出...
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Politics is about winning.
If Biden could not convince his party that he still can win, then he'd have to give up on staying in the race. It is what it is.
He will be remembered nicely in history though.
ShalakoW 發表評論於
數字旋律: 居然一片換人聲浪,表現出對民主素養的缺乏,再不反省,就會落後於很多落後國家的選民了:)....我的評論針對“更換候選人”這個議題,很切題啊:)...
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政治評論不是為了解氣,而是分析其中大眾在一個具體的政治環境下可能的集體運動方向/模式。
1
翻譯成中文,這話的意思是,政治分析(民主政治)是圍繞著"選票"進行的,在一個特點情況下的一個政治操作,是讓自己獲得更多的選票,還是可能丟失選票。
如果你的平論可以轉化成"這麽做會丟失選票,民主黨更可能輸"的說法,就與我這篇文章的大意相符。無論是拜登堅持參選,還是民主黨內換人的呼聲,最終歸結為"哪種做法能贏得更多選票/更可能大選中獲勝"這一核心上,這是我這篇文章的大意。
(在8月芝加哥召開的民主黨大會上,通過唱票(黨內初選的結果),拜登才正式成為民主黨候選人。所謂換人,是在大會上,拜登主動將自己已經獲得的黨內提名的選票,轉移給另一人身上,那樣,民主黨候選人才會改變。是否換人的決定,最終是拜登作)
2
我的文章沒有涉及你說的"民主素養缺乏與否"的問題。如果你如此在意"素質"問題,你為何回避川普通過謊言/惡行獲得的選票的競選行為(以及那些熱衷川普的選民),又有多少基本為人的素質?
這不是我這篇文章要討論的,也不會寫文章討論這類問題。
美國有句話,it is what it is, 大意就是”事情就是這樣(不要做無用的抱怨)"。正是在這個思路下,我對網上華人自媒體日複一日"批判習近平治國無能,揭露中共統治殘忍"的節目很不理解:習近平執政10與餘年,你才知道他治國無能?中共統治中國70多年,你剛發現它的統治殘忍? It is what it has always been, is it not?
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還是那句話,你要想批判民主素質這類問題,自已寫篇博文效果最好。我對這類討論不感興趣,因為我知道, People are what they are, and it is what it is.
davidinchina 發表評論於
Bill O'Reilly 在X上說,拜登已經決定推出。當然,這消息我也是真假莫辨。
@BillOReilly
Here's a Biden update from http://BillOReilly.com news headquarters. The decision has been made that the President will quit the campaign. Two reasons: Democrat internal polling says he cannot recover from the debate, and fundraising is drying up. (1/2) #JoeBiden
Biden loves the country and the people more than loving himself or his party, that's why he's respected, unlike the No.45th who puts his ego above everything else. But I'm afraid that he may withdraw from the race after discussing it with her wife. That's wait and see what news comes out on Monday.