風蕭蕭_Frank
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2024-12-12 耶倫離任前談中美溝通的重要性和關稅
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sa-AGtvtzE0
支持這些這些行業，但廣泛的關稅，幾乎所有的經濟學家都同意，通過提高價格來傷害我們自己。讓我把話題轉到中國，這是一種關係，我認為你已經投入了大量的時間和精力來重建華盛頓和北京之間的溝通渠道。
現在你的代表們正在前往中國與他們的同行舉行會議。據報道，會議也在南非舉行。嗯，有人擔心，如果這種關係，美中關係回到你四年前上任時的狀態，會發生什麽？這有多讓你擔心？如果你為恢複這種關係所做的努力付諸東流，後果會是什麽？
所以我認為重要的是，要與各個層麵保持持續溝通，從美國高級官員到需要溝通的工作人員，隻要有開放的溝通渠道，就很有價值，我相信這將被視為繼續提供價值，通過這些渠道，我們可以明確表達我們對什麽不滿，我們的擔憂在哪裏，以及我們為什麽有這些擔憂，我們對俄羅斯的經濟政策有重大擔憂，我們在這些渠道中討論了這些政策，我們也分享了全球利益，無論是在氣候變化、抗擊流行病、應對可能影響全球金融市場的潛在金融混亂方麵，我們也在利用這些渠道建立對合作渠道的信任，以便我們可以在利益一致的地方共同努力，所以毫無疑問，無論是從國家安全的角度，還是從更廣泛的經濟角度，我們對中國的行為都有嚴重的擔憂，但盡管如此，中國仍然是世界上最大的兩個經濟體世界
保持開放的溝通渠道至關重要，這有助於避免誤解。
當我們采取行動時，例如出口管製或我們最近的對外投資限製，我們已經建立了這些渠道來解釋我們試圖實現的目標，以避免誤解不必要地惡化關係，你對是什麽讓你的對手感到滿意有特別的見解。我想通過你進行的那些對話。我們已經看到當選總統談到了大規模的普遍懲罰性關稅
你是否知道如果他們受到這樣的威脅，他們會如何回應
我真的不想舉杯慶祝
我的許多國家在麵對這種單方麵行動時
尋找報複的方法
我猜他們會這樣做
我們在令人擔憂的領域
我曾多次表達對產能過剩的擔憂在中國先進製造業和清潔能源半導體等行業，我們認為這反映了積極的大量補貼，這些補貼正充斥著世界出口，並威脅著將我們的公司趕出我們認為對我們未來至關重要的領域，我們現在實施了關稅，它們是戰略性的，它們影響了價值 80 億美元的貿易，當然不是我們與中國的所有貿易，我們這樣做是為了確保中國的行動不會破壞我們自己支持這些行業的計劃，但廣泛的關稅，幾乎所有經濟學家都同意，他們會通過大幅提高價格來傷害我們，並使需要中國投入的企業獲得這些投入的成本更高，從而損害我們依賴這些進口的企業的競爭力，所以我們采取了一種戰略方針，重點關注狹窄的領域和廣泛的領域，我有大多數經濟學家對
[音樂] 表示嚴重關切
2024-12-12 耶倫離任前談中美溝通的重要性和關稅
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sa-AGtvtzE0
support these these sectors but broad-based tariffs almost all economists agree that what they will do is hurt us by raising prices Poss
let me pivot to China and this has been
a relationship I think you've invested a
lot of time and energy in of rebuilding
a conduit of communication between
Washington and Beijing you have deputies
right now heading to China for meetings
with their counterparts meetings taking
place in South Africa as well reportedly
um there is concern about what would
happen if that relationship the US China
relationship were to return to the place
it was in when you took office now four
years ago how much does that concern you
and what would the consequences of that
be if if the efforts that you've put in
to rehabilitate that relationship go to
the Wayside so I do think it's important
to have ongoing um Communications at all
levels um from to senior us officials to
uh staff that need to communicate just
having open channels of communication is
valuable and um I believe it will be
seen as continuing to offer value
these are channels by which we can make
clear what we're unhappy about um where
our concerns are and why we have them um
well we have significant concerns about
um Russia's economic policies um that we
discuss in these channels it's also the
case that we we have shared Global
interests whether it's in um climate
change combating pandemics dealing with
potential Financial disruptions that
could affect um Global Financial markets
we're also using these channels to um
build trust in channels for cooperation
so that we can work together where our
interests coincide so there's no
question that we have serious concerns
both from a national security point of
view and a broader economic view with
China's Behavior but nevertheless is the
two largest economies um in the world
it's critical to have open channels of
communication it helps avoid
misunderstandings we've Ed these
channels um when we've taken action like
export controls or our recent outbound
investment restrictions to explain what
we're trying to accomplish to um avoid
Mis
understandings that can worsen the
relationship needlessly you have a
particular insight into what makes your
counterparts tick I imagine through
those conversations that that you've had
and so we've seen the president-elect
talk about large Universal punitive
tariffs do you have any insight into how
they might respond if they are
threatened with something like that well
I really don't want to make a forast my
my many countries when they're faced
with um unilateral actions of that sort
um look for ways to retaliate and my
guess would be that they would do that
um we have in areas of concern where I
I've expressed repeatedly concerns with
overcapacity that is developed in
Chinese Advanced manufacturing
Industries and clean energy
semiconductors and the like um we think
it reflects active large subsidies that
are flooding the world with exports and
threaten to drive our firms out of
business in areas that we think are
critical to our own future um we've put
in place tariffs now it's they're
strategic uh they affected $8 billion
worth of trade certainly not all of our
trade with China and um we we did it to
make sure that China's actions don't
undermine our own uh plans to support
these uh these sectors but broad-based
tariffs um almost all economists agree
that what they will do is hurt us by
raising prices possibly substantially
and making it more expensive for firms
that need inputs from China to be able
to acquire them and harm our compe
iveness of firms that rely on those
Imports so we've taken a strategic
approach um focusing narrowly and a
broad-based approach um I have serious
concerns with as most Economist to for
