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女川普不滿的美國戰爭商業模式是個什麽模式?--美軍援法案分析之二

(2024-04-21 08:41:14) 下一個

昨天(4月20日)美國眾議院終於通過了拖延了幾個月的對烏援助。在C-SPAN上聽到女川普格林的反戰演講,令我對她刮目相看。


       她說烏戰打光了烏克蘭一代男人,美國出錢,代理人出兵的商業模式太冷酷,太令人惡心(repulsive)了。從艾森豪威爾批判美國的軍工複合體開始,人們從不同的角度批判工商業對美國政治的操控。格林大概是第一個把美國的好戰定性為商業模式的人,那麽格林猛烈抨擊的美國戰爭商業模式到底是什麽?


      首先,美國的軍工廠要通過戰爭維持運轉。沒有戰爭,軍工廠就訂單不足,軍工廠生存都困難,就沒有資金搞研發,搞出能夠讓美軍降維打擊的大殺器。寧要彈藥緊缺,也不要開工不足。美國挑起烏戰,美國軍工廠在阿富汗戰爭結束後馬上有了新的業務增長點。但不料巴勒斯坦戰爭又起,加重了彈藥緊缺。現在擴張軍工廠,將來戰爭平息後必然造成軍工業蕭條。以戰養軍工是一種很變態的商業模式,美國永遠在打仗(forever war),成了一個霸道好戰的國家。


      其次,借錢打仗推高了美國債務。美國國會是戰爭販子的俱樂部,主戰的議員占壓倒性多數,但是格林並不孤獨。另一個女議員說美國的聯邦債務已經32萬億了,她說話的這幾分鍾美債又增加了500萬。美債利息支出已經超過“國防”預算。美債再這麽暴增,美元終有崩潰的一天。美國不能再舉債,將不得不全線回撤,大美帝國將被打回原型,收縮為美利堅共和國。川普的“美國優先”正是一半美國人認為美國已無力支撐一個帝國的體現。格林正是“美國優先”的急先鋒。盡管她還會支持對以色列的軍援,但是她認為那些注定要失敗的項目應該果斷下馬,及時止損。西方翹首以待的烏克蘭反攻基本上沒激起什麽漣漪就不了了之,川普和格林這樣的算計派共和黨不會再肉包子打狗了。


      再次,美國的百年霸權造成意識形態考量高於理性計算,貸款投資講究回報是必須的,否則再借就難了。烏克蘭援助法案以311對112票通過,將近四分之三的眾議院無視商業基本原則,使美國的戰爭機器有了國企的特征。意識形態考量高於理性計算,美元霸權腐蝕了資本主義精神。格林這派的共和黨人是茶黨,是極端自由主義者(libertarian)。她們崇尚自我奮鬥,自我負責,反對大政府,反對管閑事。美國經營一個大帝國就不得不到處管閑事。當大哥就得付出代價,就得大撒幣,就不能搞AA製。川普就是不信邪,不掏錢你就別上餐桌,不交足保護費你就別等著老美大哥罩著你。川普要創造21世紀的新型大哥-小弟關係,歸根結底就是地主家沒餘糧了,不能再大手大腳了,得精打細算了。


       最後,美國的代理人戰爭的商業模式是一種殘忍的模式。伊拉克戰爭和阿富汗戰爭美國都打得很輕鬆,為什麽都狼狽收尾?歸根結底都是老百姓醒悟了,不願讓子弟賣命了。美帝缺人但是不缺軍火不差錢。烏戰的另一方是核大國,美國可以以此為借口不下場。花美金,死烏克蘭人,消耗強敵,美國賺大了。這就是格林不齒的美帝新戰爭商業模式。烏克蘭男人打光或者跑光,烏戰就停了。美國的代理人戰爭的商業模式是建立於烏克蘭士兵的士氣上的。

       格林從前有各種陰謀論,鬼話連篇,令我不齒,昨日她的一席話令我刮目相看。美國國會辯論越來越像布道會,充斥假大空的神話(俄羅斯將攻擊波蘭,烏克蘭必勝,民主自由對暴君和恐怖主義者之戰),格林說一回人話,讓人耳目一新。

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閱讀 ()評論 (6)
評論
井觀天 回複 悄悄話 回複 '古樹羽音' 的評論 : 羽音好久沒見,我知道你也反戰。
井觀天 回複 悄悄話 回複 '深度思考' 的評論 : 剛寫了“之二”,才看到你的評論,恰好有“之二”裏麵的一些觀點。
深度思考 回複 悄悄話 繼續給錢,是美國精英(不分左右)不承認烏戰打不贏啊。如果就這麽算了,美國的leadership位置就沒有了,損失的不是幾百億的錢,而是整個美國的credit。隊伍散了,帶頭大哥就當不成了。就算最後輸,也不能現在認輸吧?而且誰知道最後誰笑到最後呢?隻要美元信用還在,先借幾百億不是什麽大事。

倒是共和黨一直杯葛,讓人覺得比較兒戲啊。川爺的競選口號,不是要讓美國偉大嗎?他說過“我當總統,讓美國比以前差一些,但是差的沒有拜登那麽多”嗎?誰也不能承認美國就此一定會比以前差一些,努力的方向是不要斷崖式垮下去。這就決定了,大家隻能咬著牙齒向前,不能撤退。
古樹羽音 回複 悄悄話 很學習!島民也不希望勒緊腰帶納付的稅金去依附醜惡的戰爭。
井觀天 回複 悄悄話 https://www.c-span.org/video/?535072-1/house-session
格林的演講始於2小時31分。
井觀天 回複 悄悄話 Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-GA

MY AMENDMENT TODAY WOULD DRIVE THE AMENDMENT -- THE BILL FOR UKRAINE TAKE EACH DOLLAR AMOUNT IN THIS ACT IS HERE BY REDUCED TO ZERO. YOU SEE THE UNITED STATES TAXPAYERS ALREADY SENT $113 BILLION TO UKRAINE. AND A LOT OF THAT MONEY IS UNACCOUNTED FOR. THIS IS A CONTINUOUS OF A SICK BUSINESS MODEL THAT THE AMERICAN GOVERNMENT CONTINUES. THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT CONTINUES TO FUND THE MILITARY INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX AND THIS IS A BUSINESS MODEL THAT REQUIRES CONGRESS TO CONTINUE TO VOTE FOR MONEY, TO CONTINUE TO FUND FOREIGN WARS AND THIS IS A BUSINESS MODEL THAT THE AMERICAN PEOPLE DO NOT SUPPORT. THEY DO NOT SUPPORT A BUSINESS MODEL ON BLOOD, MURDER AND WAR IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES WHILE THIS VERY GOVERNMENT DOES NOTHING TO SECURE OUR BORDER. THE AMERICAN PEOPLE OVER $34 TRILLION. THE DEBT IS RISING BY OVER $40 BILLION EVERY SINGLE NIGHT WHILE WE ALL SLEEP, YET NOTHING IS DONE TO SECURE OUR BORDER OR REDUCE OUR DEBT. INFLATION IS DRIVEN OUT OF CONTROL. AMERICANS ARE SUFFERING EVERY SINGLE DAY AND CAN HARDLY AFFORD GROSSLY RY BILLS OR GAS IN THEIR CAR OR HARDLY AFFORD RENT AND MORTGAGE PAYMENTS ARE OVER $3,000 WHERE THEY WERE JUST OVER $1700, THREE YEARS AGO. YOUNG ADULTS DON'T THINK THEY WILL BUY A HOME IN THEIR LIFETIME. TODAY IN CONGRESS, THE MOST IMPORTANT THING THAT THIS BODY THINKS SHOULD BE DONE IS TO SEND ANOTHER $61 BILLION TO A WAR IN UKRAINE THAT THE AMERICAN PEOPLE BY 70% DO NOT SUPPORT. MIND YOU THIS COMES ON THE VERY HEELS OF MONDAY BEING APRIL 15, TAX DAY, WHERE EVERY SINGLE AMERICAN HAD TO SCROUNGE UP THEIR MONEY AND SEND THEIR MONEY INTO THE I.R.S. OR FILE EXTENSIONS BECAUSE THEY WEREN'T READY AND DIDN'T HAVE THE MONEY TO PAY THEIR TAXES. BUT TODAY THIS BODY SAYS THE MOST IMPORTANT THING WE CAN DO. NO, IT'S NOT REDUCE SPENDING, THAT'S NOT IT, NOT TO DO ANYTHING TO DRIVE DOWN INFLATION, OH, NO, WE CAN'T DO THAT. IT'S NOT JUST TO SECURE OUR OWN BORDER THAT HAS INVADED EVERY SINGLE DAY BY PEOPLE FROM OVER 160 DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. NO, DON'T SECURE THE AMERICAN BORDER. LET EVERYONE IN. WE HAVE 1.8 MILLION KNOWN GOT-AWAYS. WE DON'T KNOW WHO THESE PEOPLE ARE. YET WE HAVE MEMBERS OF THIS BODY TALKING BIG AND TOUGH OH, WE HAVE TO DEFEAT RUSSIA AND WE HAVE TO PROTECT UKRAINE. BUT YET ALL OF YOU ARE UNWILLING TO PROTECT THE AMERICAN CITIZEN THAT PAY YOUR PAYCHECK, PAY THE LIGHT BILLS IN THIS BUILDING AND PAY FOR THIS ENTIRE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT, FOR WHAT? FOR NOTHING. UKRAINE IS NOT EVEN A MEMBER OF NATO. UKRAINE IS NOT A MEMBER OF NATO. BUT THE MOST IMPORTANT THING YOU HEAR IN WASHINGTON, D.C., IS OH, WE HAVE TO SPEND AMERICAN HARD-EARNED TAX DOLLARS OVER TO UKRAINE AND KEEP THE MONEY GOING TO CONTINUE TO MURDER UKRAINIANS, WIPE OUT AN ENTIRE GENERATION OF UKRAINIAN MEN SO THAT THERE ARE WIDOWS, FATHERLESS ORPHANS AND NOT TO WORK IN THEIR INDUSTRY. YOU SUPPORT UKRAINE. WOW. WHAT KIND OF SUPPORT IS THAT? REPUS I HAVE. SHAME ON THE AMERICAN GOVERNMENT. SHAME ON THE AMERICAN GOVERNMENT. IF WE SUPPORT OUR MILITARY, SUPPORT OUR MILITARY. WE SHOULD BE FUNDING TO BUILDUP OUR WEAPONS AND AMMUNITION AND TO SEND IT OVER TO FOREIGN COUNTRIES TO KILL FOREIGN PEOPLE. IF THIS BODY CLAIMS TO BE WHAT IT IS, EVERY SINGLE ONE OF US WOULD BE NANDING PEACE IN UKRAINE BETWEEN THESE COUNTRIES, PEACE FOR THESE PEOPLE SO NO MORE OF THEM HAVE TO DIE. BUT YOU NEVER HEAR ANYBODY DEMANDING PEACE. NO. PEACE IS THE LAST THING WASHINGTON WANTS BECAUSE IT DOESN'T FIT A BUSINESS MODEL. THIS IS A BUSINESS MODEL THEY SAY CONTINUES OUR ECONOMY, PROTECTS AMERICAN JOBS. WHAT A DISGUSTING BUSINESS MODEL. WE SHOULD HAVE A BUSINESS MODEL THAT BUILDS UP OUR AMERICAN COMPANIES AND AMERICAN JOBS TO SERVE AMERICAN INTERESTS AND OUR MILITARY AND OUR GOVERNMENT SHOULD CARE ABOUT PROTECTING THE NATIONAL SECURITY OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA AND THE AMERICANS THAT PAY THEIR HARD-EARNED TAX DOLLARS TO FUND ALL OF THIS. AMERICA LAST. AMERICA LAST. THAT'S ALL THIS IS. EVERY SINGLE DAY, AMERICA LAST.
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