Radhika Desai 美國隻有A計劃 主宰世界 越來越失控

美國試圖主導世界的努力正在瓦解?! 麵對美國的歇斯底裏 中國領導人為了大格局自我克製

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V11VCZqxP-4&t=90s&ab_channel=

美國沒有B計劃，它隻有A計劃，而A計劃包含主宰世界，那越來越不在其掌控之中
(請你用一個字形容2023年?)
對我而言 那個字絕對是加薩和巴勒斯坦
我認為 雖然它沒有改變世界前進的軌跡
但大大加速了世界在某一軌跡上的進程
那是什麼軌跡?
從本質上講 這是美國
試圖控製世界各地事件的軌跡
簡言之就是控製整個世界
正在迅速瓦解
這在與俄羅斯的戰爭中已經變得很明顯
以烏克蘭為代理人進行
因為無論美國和歐洲
在美國的鼓勵下
向烏克蘭投入了多少金援
無論他們提供了多少武器
他們都不可能
幫助烏克蘭打敗俄羅斯
記住 這次嘗試
通過代理人對俄羅斯發動戰爭
是在輕率的假設下進行
他們將打敗俄羅斯人
並削弱俄羅斯經濟
把它炸回到石器時代
把盧布變成碎石 以及所有這些言論
實質上
你可能還記得 在2021年秋天
美國就在兩件事發生之後
從阿富汗撤軍
這對美國來說是如此不光彩
還有梅克爾夫人不再擔任德國總理
一旦這兩件事結束
美國開始嘗試
把俄羅斯削弱 迫使其屈服
完全相信俄羅斯不會發起
任何形式的軍事行動 但俄羅斯發動了
這就是美國戰略開始瓦解的開始
戰略瓦解已經發生了
但我認為事實是
隨著巴勒斯坦人在加薩的抵抗最終爆發
美國試圖主導世界的努力正在瓦解
在很多方麵都在發生
首先 很明顯美國
第一件事是 從某種意義上說
美國轉向亞洲的戰略
並沒有奏效
我的意思是什麼?
我的意思是 當美國決定
是時候擺脫了
他們在中東承擔的承諾和義務
開始關注中國
這就是他們非常想做的事情
他們認為美國的主要競爭威脅來自中國
但從某種意義上說
這迫使他們將注意力
能源 資源重新放在中東
這是一個他們甚至無法控製的中東
因為他們甚至無法控製以色列
更不用說其他任何人了
一方麵 以色列表現得像一個流氓國家
美國被迫懇求以色列說
不要輕舉妄動 這隻是因為他們知道
他們正在輸掉世界輿論的戰鬥
他們懇求以色列
並提出要求
但他們也沒有成功 而同時
儘管過去幾十年來做出了所有努力
他們還是無法讓該地區的阿拉伯國家
站在以色列一邊
他們看到的是
阿拉伯國家雖然沒有
在局勢中進行任何軍事幹預
但他們也站在巴勒斯坦人一邊
原因非常簡單
沒有一個阿拉伯政府
無論他們多麼想與以色列親近
都承擔不起站在以色列那邊而招致反感
即使他們是一個相當專製的政府
這就是第一點
第二點是 我想說的是
我稱之為地緣政治經濟學的原因
因為我認為
經濟和政治權力是密切相關的
正如我們在中國的例子中所看到的
但無論如何 就美國而言
情況恰恰相反
主要是經濟弱點帶來政治弱點
但我們也將看到加薩發生的事情
將使經濟管理在選舉年變得更加困難
例如
聯邦儲備委員會宣稱
它已經贏得了對抗通膨的戰鬥
它已經發出信號 將降低利率
但我想說 我會非常仔細地觀察這一點
原因非常簡單
自1980年代以來
通貨膨脹已經持續上升超過20年
不是因為聯邦儲備委員會的規模
壓製通膨主要是美國仍能
迫使世界上大部分地區
不是全部 而是大部分地區
持續供應廉價商品
但這種安排已經瓦解
這表示
這也是美國帝國主義的主要目的之一
不斷獲得廉價商品 廉價勞動力
所有這些都將不再奏效
食品和燃料價格正在上漲
製成品價格也在上漲
正如我們在加薩局勢中看到的那樣
它導致紅海 蘇伊士運河運輸走廊的中斷
這表示運往歐洲 美國等地的商品
成本大幅增加
這隻是眾多加劇通貨膨脹的
不確定性因素之一
最後我想說
自從維持美元作為世界貨幣
一直是美國的主要目標之一
我想說 在2023年
我們開始看到這一基礎的動搖
尤其是隨著加薩衝突
我們看到的是
世界正在聯合起來反對美國
並且越來越能夠找到方法
石油生產地區
和其他金磚國家今天將走到一起
伊朗 沙烏地阿拉伯等
都屬於金磚國家聯盟
我認為在俄羅斯主席任期內
這一進程也將加速
基於所有這些原因 我想說
加薩事件 哈瑪斯的行動
和巴勒斯坦人的行動 提醒世界
他們非常緊迫的問題仍未解決
以色列的壓迫隻會增加
這個提醒是2023年的決定性事件
(美元體係會立即崩潰還是緩慢瓦解?)
我不是一個喜歡打賭的人
我會說兩種可能性都存在
逐步瓦解已經在發生
美元作為主要儲備貨幣的地位正在下降
越來越多的交易發生在美元體係之外
但我會關注2到3個方麵
第一 這整個通膨問題
與美元體係直接相關
因為它把美聯儲置於兩難境地
一方麵
在過去20年裡
美聯儲一直實行寬鬆的貨幣政策
這表示
所有這些金融結構
都建立在該政策基礎之上
加息威脅到美國的金融穩定
這對美元體係有直接影響
因為以美元計價的巨大膨脹的金融體係
總部設在美國
在過去20年裡 從歷史上看
發揮了吸引全球資金流入的作用
隻要這些投資者想賺快錢
2008年之後 這種熱錢已經大幅減少
如果有進一步的動盪
我們已經在2023年春季看到了一些動盪
隨著矽穀銀行和其他幾家銀行的倒閉
如果通膨持續 美聯儲不得不維持高利率
甚至可能進一步加息
那麼這些金融結構將崩潰
那將意味著美元體係的可信度將動搖
因為所有美元體係的支持者
那些說美元體係運行良好的人
他們直說美國金融市場廣大而深厚
美國金融市場很快就會顯得
非常淺薄和狹窄
從這個意義上說 我們將看到這種狀況
另一方麵 如果美聯儲決定
維護金融穩定 不加息
它將麵臨嚴重問題
因為通膨本身將削弱美元的價值
在這兩種情況下
它都處於進退兩難的境地
這是其一
另一件事是
我認為他們不能指望通膨不會繼續
因為美國的實力正在日益減弱
將無法迫使世界其他地區屈服
以低價提供大宗商品 製成品和勞動力
而這正是美國在過去40多年裡
受益的大國地位
(俄羅斯是如何在西方製裁下倖存的?)
最近發生這種情況
最深層次的原因是美國和西方精英
總體上生活在過去
他們認為 與世界其他地區相比
他們的相對實力仍然像過去一樣強大
但這已不再是事實
這就像一個認為手中握有強大武器的人
但他們有的隻是一把水槍
你瞭解了這個比喻之後
讓我談談具體原因
首先
製裁本身一直非常參差不齊
我這樣說是什麼意思呢
他們試圖以這樣的方式設計製裁
使本國現有企業
無論是美國 德國
還是加拿大 都不會受到過度傷害
這表示很多這些企業繼續與俄羅斯做生意
隻是因為他們不想傷害它們
其次
俄羅斯已經能夠
非常迅速地重建其經濟
記住 它有一個很長的準備期
因為第一輪製裁
是在2014年事件之後實施的
俄羅斯已經麵臨農業製裁
從2014年開始
俄羅斯設法扭轉了其農業經濟
使其今天成為穀物 化肥等的主要出口國
這種經驗已經存在
俄羅斯已經能夠從事一種
進口替代的工業化形式
而且它在這方麵做得非常出色
我認為政府已經做到了
我想說 綜合起來
西方切斷世界其他地區的能力
已經不像過去那麼強大了
事實是俄羅斯
在這個問題上採取了積極主動的立場
它已經能夠抵消這些製裁
金融製裁的問題仍然存在
但事實再次證明
特別是...
如今金融製裁隻對那些
非常渴望融入其中的國家才重要
要你的資本主義階級
非常渴望參與美國金融部門的賭場
如果你不想參與其中
你可以組織你的貿易
甚至是在美國金融體係
範圍之外的投資關係
為什麼呢 因為美國金融體係實際上
並不是為了促進貿易而存在的
其實 它通過人為地提高美元等的價值
扭曲了貿易和投資關係
當然 還有在其中引入波動等
另一個原因是 從歷史上看
這個體係是被創造出來的
例如 通過要求其他國家取消資本管製
這樣他們國家的富人
就可以參與這些類似賭場的安排
這個體係的創建是通過
對那些人口的國家說
柯林頓政府會對那些國家說
如果你取消資本管製 對你很有好處
因為你會得到急需用於
生產投資的資本
但實際上 這從未發生過
流入這些取消資本管製國家的
唯一的一種資金
是短期資本
它不是用於生產性投資
而是用於從事投機活動
快速獲利然後離開
這當然也是非常不穩定 具有破壞性的
它導致了金融危機等
說實話 世界不需要美元體係
世界不需要美國金融體係
基於所有這些原因
我想說美元體係很快就會瓦解
(中美關係將如何發展?)
中國慶祝一帶一路倡議10週年及其成功
我認為這是一件重要的事
我認為拉丁美洲的事件 特別是
美國被迫軟化其立場
對委內瑞拉的態度
是另一件非常重要的事
我認為金磚國家
五個新成員國加入金磚國家
而說到委內瑞拉
有可能在2024年 俄羅斯主席任期內
新的國家
包括委內瑞拉等國將加入金磚國家
所有這些都將是非常重大的發展
我還想說
其他重要的發展是
美國和中國之間的對抗加劇
雖然我們已經看到某些事態發展
美國高級官員訪華
甚至習主席和拜登總統舉行會晤
但會晤結束不久 整個局勢就開始瓦解
所以目前情勢一點都不明朗
美國在許多不同方麵留下了問題
與中國的問題關係遠未解決
2022年6月 習近平主席與拜登總統
在印尼的那場會議間隙見麵
中美關係看似可望改善
我忘了是哪一個 我想是G20峰會
然後
所有人都期待會有良好的關係
但隨後美國對間諜氣球歇斯底裏
一切都發生了變化
但我想說 在整個過程中
美國的行為不負責任 挑釁 粗魯
而且以它無法維持的方式
因為美國威脅要做一些事情
但實際上做不到
沒有後盾可以支持它
另外 習主席及其政府和外交官
以及所有與美國打交道的人
以一種非常不同尋常的方式
在麵對挑釁時保持冷靜
不把它當作個人侮辱
即使美國表現得很無禮 也要保持冷靜
因為他們知道世界和平的前景取決於他們
我想說 中國有很好的理由感到自豪
為中國的政府 主席 外交官感到自豪
因為我認為這普遍是他們維持的態度
他們考慮到更大的局麵
你不能在美中之間製造一種戰爭局勢
而不危及世界和平
他們考慮到了更大的格局
他們的行為極其負責任
正如我所說 他們有極大的自製力
在繁榮社會的世界裡
中國很高興成為其中一員
美國則恰恰相反
一方麵它組織內部經濟如此糟糕
以至於無法打敗中國
中國將打敗美國 除非
美國的經濟政策發生180度大轉彎
但我們看不到這種前景
與此同時
因為美國不能靜靜地照顧好自己
為了與中國競爭 正試圖阻撓中國
我們看到的就是這一點
而且美國越來越常試圖這麼做
不可避免的是
如果美國真的設法挑起對抗
它不一定會贏得那場對抗
它不一定能成功阻撓中國
當然 它可能讓中國倒退一兩年
但最終 美國沒有能力打贏戰爭
美國都無法對抗
像阿富汗 伊拉克或利比亞這樣的國家
它怎麼可能與像中國
這樣強大的國家對抗呢
這完全是胡扯
但不幸的是 就像我經常說的
美國沒有B計劃
它隻有A計劃
而A計劃包含主宰世界
那越來越不在其掌控之中
但由於沒有明智的聲音說
各位 我們不需要這個
我們可以像其他優秀的國際公民一樣
我們這國家可以好好照顧自己
而美國顯然做不到
如果你看看貧困水平
不平等 無家可歸 缺乏醫療保健等
但美國不願意解決這些問題
反而想要捲入這種毫無意義的競爭
這隻能以失敗告終 我們隻希望
看到像習近平所表現出的克製
我還要說 普丁總統最終將會勝利
他們不會導致任何不必要的戰爭
我們甚至可能戰勝美國最惡劣的挑釁
給世界它為追求發展所需的和平
最後 我想我記不清具體是
2023年還是前一年發表的
但中國提出的各種政策文件
全球安全倡議 發展倡議等等
這些文件也為
正在出現的多極世界秩序提供了
一個非常重要的指導方針
因為這是美國實力瓦解的另一麵
世界秩序正在為各國選擇發展
並發展本國創造更大空間
(2023年最令人難忘的人物是誰?)
這是一個難回答的問題
因為多極世界的重點是
權力在體係中被分散
從這個意義上說
我認為關注單一個人是困難的
但無論如何 既然我說了加薩
我想說作為一種人格 是巴勒斯坦
我認為巴勒斯坦的目標是
2023年最重要的人格
(2024年的世界會是什麼樣子?)
2024年將會是真正的轉折點
因為想一想 美國 英國 印度
以及其他幾個國家是美國聯盟的一部分
它們都將舉行選舉
這就是你將看到的
國內局勢使得
美國體製崩壞的可能性增加
因為事實是 美國的所有行動
無論是對俄羅斯發動代理人戰爭
還是堅定不移地支持以色列
這些在美國公眾中都極不受歡迎
甚至大量美國猶太人都走上街頭
示威表示他們不希望
無條件支持尼坦雅胡政權
事實是 美國這樣做
並不是出於對猶太人的任何支持
從歷史上看
是為了建立一個在中東的立足點
在這種情況下
當然 以色列是美國的工具
歸根結底 不過如此
對我來說 那是一回事
英國是另一回事 看起來會有一場選舉
我認為選舉將是相當分歧的
每個人都認為工黨的凱爾斯塔摩將獲勝
如果他獲勝
那麼英國對美國的支持不會減少
但這隻會造成英國進一步的不穩定
因為支持美國已經不再可行
英國再也不能採取支持美國的政策了
英國正麵臨嚴重的國內危機
包括經濟危機和社會服務危機
各個方麵的機構危機
我認為凱爾斯塔摩政府
將無法解決這些危機
當然 就印度而言
印度已經很多人會說
轉變了其完全親美的立場
這究竟如何在選舉中表現
還有待觀察
在所有這些方麵 我認為國內關切
和普通民眾的關切
這會讓現有政權
越來越難以說服人民 取得勝利
就英國而言
或者就美國而言 但肯定在英國
如果凱爾斯塔摩獲勝 建製派也將獲勝
但事實是 這個建製派的能力
或這個建製派的合法性
已經受到嚴重削弱
基於所有這些原因
國內和國際之間
將會有一些深刻的互動
我們將不得不再次觀察這裡的情勢

稿

the US has no plan B it has only plan a
and plan a consists of world domination
which it is in increasingly out of its
grasp for me that word is definitely
Gaza and Palestine I think that while it
did not change the trajectory on which
the world was going it has vastly
accelerated the progress of the world on
a certain trajectory what trajectory was
was it well essentially it is the
trajectory in which the US attempts to
control events around the world control
the world basically in general are
rapidly unraveling now this was already
becoming clear in the war against Russia
the proxy war against Russia which was
conducted with Ukraine as a proxy
because no matter how many millions the
United States and the EUR and the
Europeans encouraged by the United
States were pouring into Ukraine no
matter how many armaments they were
giving it was not possible for them to
help Ukraine to defeat Russia and
remember this attempt to this attack on
proxy war against Russia was undertaken
with the blind assumption that they were
going to defeat the Russians and they
were going to reduce the Russian economy
to you know bomb it back to the Stone
Age and and reduce the rubble to a
rubble and all this rhetoric and
essentially as you may remember in the
fall of 2021 the US right after two
events happened the Afghanistan
withdrawal which was so ignominious for
the United States and Mrs Merkel
stopping being the chancellor of Germany
once these two events were out of the
way the United States essentially began
an attempt to reduce Russia essentially
into a kind of you know Force Russia
into succumbing fully confident that
Russia would not initiate any kind of
military action but Russia did and that
was the beginning of the unraveling of
the American strategy so that was
already happening but I think with the
essentially what has happened is with
the resistance of the Palestinians
finally bubbling forth in Gaza what has
happened is that this unraveling of
American attempts to dominate the world
is unre and this is happening in a
number of ways number one it's very
clear that the United States so the
first thing is that in a certain sense
the United States pivot to
Asia has not worked what do I mean by
that what I mean is that when the United
States decided that it was time to sort
of shrug off and shed the commitments
and obligations that they have incurred
in the Middle East and start focusing on
China that's what they would dearly like
to do that's where they feel the main
competitive threat to the United States
is coming from but in a certain sense
this is compelling their attention their
energy their resources back to the
Middle East it is a Middle East East
which they do not even control in the
sense that they cannot even control
Israel let alone anybody else so on the
one hand Israel is essentially acting
like a rogue State the United States is
reduced to essentially pleading with
Israel saying please don't do this and
that only because they know that they
are losing the battle of World opinion
so they are pleading with Israel to do
this that and the other but they are not
succeeding at the same time it is not as
though you know despite all the efforts
of the last many de they have not been
able to bring the Arab countries of the
region over to the side of Israel so
essentially what they are looking at is
that the Arab countries while they are
not engaging in any military
intervention in the situation but they
are also essentially on the side of the
Palestinians for one very simple reason
no Arab government no matter how much
they want to Cozy up to Israel can
afford the unpopularity that such
actions will bring even if they are
quite an authoritarian government so for
all so so that's the first first one the
second one is that I would say that
there is an economic you know what I I
call what I do geopolitical economy for
a reason because I think that economic
and political power is very deeply
interconnected as we see for example in
the case of china but anyway in the case
of the United States is the reverse in
the sense it's the mirror image economic
weakness brings political weakness but
that is also that we are going to see
that this what has happened in Gaza is
going to make the economic management
much more difficult in an election year
so for example the Federal Reserve is
essentially proclaiming that it has won
the battle against inflation it has
signaled that is going to bring down
interest rates but I would say that I
would watch this brief very carefully
for one very simple reason inflation has
not been kept down for two decades or
for many decades since the 1980s because
of the scale of the Federal Reserve it
was kept down largely because the United
States was still able to compel much of
the world not all of it but much of the
world to supply it with cheap Goods on
an ongoing basis but that Arrangement
has broken down which means that the and
and this is one of the main purposes of
us imperialism is to keep getting cheap
Goods cheap Commodities cheap labor all
of those things are not going to work
food prices and fuel prices are going up
but so are the prices of manufactured
Commodities and as as we see with the
Gaza situation it has led to the
disruption of Red Sea the SE transport
Corridor which then means that there is
a massive addition to the cost of goods
coming to Europe to the United States
Etc and so all of this is going to and
this is just one of the many
uncertainties that is going to add to
inflation and finally uh I would say
that you know since keeping the dollar
as the world's money has been one of the
main objectives of the United States I
would say that in 2023 we began to see
the shaking of the foundations of this
and with the Gaza conflict in particular
what we have seen is that essentially
the world is uniting against uh United
States and is increasingly able to find
ways of and essentially the oil
producing regions and the rest of the
bricks are going to come together today
Iran Saudi Arabia Etc or part of the
bricks block and I think under Russia's
presidency this coming year this process
will also accelerate so for all of these
reasons I would say that uh the Gaza
events the Hamas actions and and the
Palestinian actions essentially
reminding the world that their very very
burning issue remained unresolved that
Israeli oppression was only increasing
and so this reminder is I would say the
defining event of
2023 I'm not a betting person so I I
would say that both are possibilities so
I would say that the gradual unraveling
is already occurring so us Dollar's role
as a major Reserve currency is declining
more and more transactions are now
taking place outside the dollar system
but I would say that there are two or
three uh fronts on which I would watch
number one is you know this whole
question of inflation is directly
relevant to the dollar system because it
puts the US Federal Reserve in a bind so
on the one hand the Federal Reserve has
had for the last couple of decades the
regime of easy monetary policy and that
has meant
that essentially all these Financial
structures have been constructed on the
basis of that regime and raising
interest rates threatens Financial
stability in the United States and that
has direct implications for the dollar
system because the vastly bloated
Financial dollar denominated Financial
system which is headquartered in the
United States has historically over the
last couple of decades played the
function of essentially attracting the
world's money into it to the extent that
these investors want to make easy money
and so uh this money after 2008 was
already drastically reduced and now if
there are further uh shall we say
further disturbances and we already saw
some disturbances in the spring of 2023
with the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank
and several other Banks I would say that
um if inflation persists and the Federal
Reserve has to keep interest rates high
or maybe even raise them higher then
this financial structures will collapse
and that will mean that the dollar
system
systems credibility will um waver
because you know all the Advocates of
the dollar system the ones who say oh
the dollar system is working very well
they are constantly referring to the
broad and deep financial markets of the
United States well they will seem very
quickly appear to be very shallow and
narrow and so in that sense we will we
will see what happens and then on the
other hand if the Federal Reserve
decides to preserve Financial stability
and not increase interest rates it's
going to have a serious problem because
because essentially the inflation itself
will undermine the value of the dollar
and so in in both cases it's caught
between a rock and a hard play so that's
one thing and as I said the other thing
is that I don't think that they can
expect inflation not to continue because
increasingly the US power is receding
and with us power will recede its
ability to compel the rest of the world
to yield up their Commodities their
manufactured goods their labor at a low
price and this is what the United States
has benefited from for the last four
four and a half
decades it's be why the reason the most
profound reason why this has happened is
because the United States and West
Western Elites in general are living in
the past they think that their relative
power compared to the rest of the world
continues to be as great as it once was
but this is no longer true so it's like
somebody who thinks they have got a very
powerful
you know weapon in their hands but all
they have is a water pistol because you
see this so having having Point made
that analogy let me get down to the
concrete reasons first of all the
imposition of sanctions themselves has
been very patchy what do I mean by that
they have tried to design the sanctions
in such a way that existing businesses
in their own countries whether it is the
United States or Germany or Canada are
not unduly hurt which means that a lot
of these businesses are continuing to do
business with Russia simply because they
don't want to hurt them secondly the
Russia has been able to rebuild its
economy very quickly and remember it had
a long lead period because the first
sanctions were imposed in the aftermath
of the events of 2014 so Russia had
already Russia faced agricultural
sanctions and in the period since 2014
Russia managed to turn around its its
agricultural economy in such a way that
it is today a major exporter of grain
fertilizers etc etc so that experience
was already there and Russia has been
able to essentially engage in a form of
import substituting
industrialization and it has proved very
good at that and I think the government
has has done that so I would say that a
combination of things the West's power
to essentially cut off the rest of the
world is not as great as it once was and
uh the fact of the matter is that Russia
is has has taken a proactive stance on
this so it has been able to uh to outdo
those sanctions there Remains the
question of financial sanctions but the
fact again is that there are especially
now that if today the financial
sanctions only matter to you if you are
greatly desirous of participating you
and your capitalist classes are greatly
desires of participating in the casino
that is the US financial sector if you
don't wish to participate in that you
can organize your trade and even your
investment relations outside the Ambit
of the US Financial system why is that
because the US Financial system in fact
is not exist to facilitate trade in fact
it distorts trade and investment
relations by artificially increasing the
value of the US dollar Etc and also of
course introducing fluctuations in it
and so on but on the other hand as well
the the other reason is that
historically this system has been
created for instance by asking other
countries to lift Capital controls so
that the rich people of their country
could participate in these Casino life
Arrangements this creation of this
system was justified by saying to
countries who people you know and the
Clinton Administration they would say to
countries if you lift Capital controls
it's very good for you because you will
get the much needed Capital that you
need for your productive investment but
in reality this never happened the only
kind of money that went into these the
countries that lifted Capital controls
was essentially short-term capital which
was there to not invest productively but
in fact to engage in speculation and
make quick gains and then leave and so
this of course was also very volatile
destabilizing it led to financial crisis
and so on so quite frankly the world
does not need the dollar system the
world does not need the US Financial
system but so for all these reasons I
would say that the dollar system is
going to unravel pretty soon
yeah I would say say that there was the
China celebrating decade of the belt and
Road initiative and its success I think
that was an important thing I think
events in Latin America particularly
Visa uh the us being forced to soften
its position Visa Venezuela was another
very important thing I think that the
bricks the the admission of five new
countries into the bricks and now
speaking of Venezuela the possibility
that in 2024 under the Russian
presidency new countries including
countries like Venezuela would be
admitted to the bricks I think all of
these will be very momentous
developments I would also say that uh
other developments that are important is
the sharpening of the confrontation
between the United States and China
although we have seen certain
developments taking place top level us
officials going to China and even
president she and President Biden having
a meeting but as you know very quickly
after the meeting the whole thing has
unraveled so it is not at all very clear
so the United States is kind of
essentially leaving pots boiling on many
different elements in the sense that
it's a problematic relationship with
China is far from resolved remember 2022
ended with the promise of better
relations because president she and
President Biden met on the sidelines of
that meeting in Indonesia I forget which
one it was I think it was a G20 meeting
and then uh uh everybody expected that
there would be good relations but then
the United States went hysterical over
the Spy balloon and everything else
happened and and so on but I would say
that throughout all of this the United
States has acted irresponsibly
provocatively
rudely and in in ways that are in ways
that you know it cannot sustain because
it has threatened things that it cannot
actually back up uh there is no back it
cannot actually do whereas I would say
that the president she and his
government and his diplomats and
everyone have essentially engaged with
the United States in particular with a a
remarkable combination of a calm
demeanor against provocation you know
not taking it as a personal insult but
behaving calmly even when the United
States has been behaving insultingly
because they know that the prospects for
World Peace depend on them and so I
would say that China has very good
reasons to be proud of its government of
its president of its diplomats because I
think that this has been generally the
demeanor they have kept the larger
picture in mind that you cannot create a
warlike situation between the United
States and China and not endanger World
Peace So they have kept that larger view
in mind and I think they have behaved
exceedingly responsibly and I would say
with with as I say great self-command
and restraint China is very happy to see
be a prosperous Society in a world of
prosperous societies the United States
is the opposite it has on the one hand
organized its internal economy so badly
that actually it cannot beat China China
is going to beat it unless it there is a
180° turn in US economic policy but we
don't see any Prospect of that at the
same time therefore because it cannot
actually quietly look after itself and
you know compete with China it is trying
to thwart China and so this is what we
see and also it is doing so increasingly
so in its attempts what will happen
inevitably is that if it does manage to
provoke a confrontation it is not going
to necessarily win that confrontation it
is not going to necessarily successful
toward China it may of course set China
back a year or two but at the end of the
day it does not have the ability to win
Wars even against countries like
Afghanistan or Iraq or Libya or how is
it going to cope against a powerful
country like China it is just nonsense
but unfortunately like I often say the
US has no plan B it has only plan a and
plan a consists of world domination
which it is increasingly out of its
grasp
but because there is no sensible voice
saying you know what folks we don't need
this we can be like other good s good
International citizens we can be a
country that looks after its own which
the US clearly does not if you look at
the levels of poverty inequality
homelessness lack of Medical Care Etc
but the US does not wish to address
those things and instead it wishes to
engage in some this hollow competition
it can only end badly and all one can
hope is that the kind of restraint which
which is being showed by leaders like Ai
and I would also say President Putin
will prevail in the end they will not
lead to any unnecessary Wars and we may
even Prevail over the US's worst
provocations and leave the world give
the world the peace it needs to pursue
development finally I should say that I
I think I can't remember exactly whether
they were published in 2023 or the
previous year but the various policy
documents that China has brought forward
the Global Security initiative the
development initiative Etc these
documents have also provided a very
important guideline so to speak for the
emerging definitely emerging multi-polar
World Order because that's the flip side
of the unraveling of us power is that
the world order is creating greater
space for countries to choose
development and to develop their own
countries that's a difficult question
because the very point about
multipolarity is that your power is
being dispersed in the system so in that
sense I would say that this focus on a
single person is difficult but in any
case since I said that it's Gaza I would
say that it's Palestine as a personality
I think the Palestinian cause is I would
say the most important personality in
2020 you know 2024 is going to be that
it's going to be a really a pivot point
because think about it the United States
the United Kingdom India and several
other countries that are you know
essentially part of the US Alliance
they're all going to the polls and this
is where you're going to see the
domestic forces adding to the
possibility of
destabilization of the US system because
the fact is that all the US's actions
whether it is the proxy war against
Russia or whether it is the support the
unstinting support for Israel these are
deeply unpopular among the American
public even very significant numbers of
Jewish Americans have taken to the
streets and are demonstrating that they
do not want this unconditional support
for the nanahu regime and the fact of
the matter is that the United States is
not doing this because of any support
for Jewish people it has historically
done this in order to establish a
foothold on in the Middle East in which
case of course Israel is an instrument
for the United States at the end of the
day is nothing more than that but anyway
so to me so that's one thing again in
the UK I mean it looks as though there
will be an election and I think the
election will be quite divisive
everybody thinks that Pama is going to
win and of course if he wins then the UK
support for the United States will not
decrease but that will only create
further instability within the UK
because this support for the United
States is not it's not viable it is not
a viable policy for the UK to have any
longer the UK is suffering from profound
domestic Crisis crisis of the economy
crisis of Social Services crisis of
every POS institutions every possible
Direction and I think that a Kama
government will be unable to resolve
these crisis and of course in the case
of India as well I mean India has
already it seemed many people would say
turned away from its sort of Simply Pro
Us St so exactly how this appears bans
out in the election we will have to see
uh so in all of these ways I think the
domestic concerns and the ordinary
popular concerns will increasingly will
essentially make it very difficult for
existing pars to win convincingly and
you know in the case of the UK or for
that matter in the US but certainly in
the UK the same establishment will win
if Kama wins right but the fact is that
this establishment's ability to or this
establishment's legitimacy has been
massively undermined so for all these
reasons for all these reasons there are
going to be some Prof found interactions
I would say between the domestic and the
international and we are going to have
to observe again what happens here
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