歐洲經濟可怕下滑的毀滅性原因

這是歐洲經濟可怕下滑背後的毀滅性原因

科技革命 2023年7月16日
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rIC_MyANfCo&ab_channel=TechRevolution

這是歐洲經濟可怕下滑背後的毀滅性原因

當前，金融危機迫在眉睫，歐洲各地陷入混亂。 這場危機感覺就像一場愈演愈烈的風暴，希臘、西班牙和意大利等國在借貸方麵都遇到了挑戰。

他們的經濟不穩定並麵臨負麵影響。

在今天的視頻中，我們將深入探討歐洲和法國當前麵臨的經濟挑戰。 我們將探討歐洲債務危機、整個歐洲大陸的經濟衰退、影響德國經濟的問題以及法國最近的抗議活動。

歐元區連續第二個季度陷入衰退。 盡管經濟動態的下降幅度很小——僅占 GDP 的 0.1% 左右——但務實的專家認為這是未來困難時期的開始。

隨著外國投資者放棄希臘、意大利、西班牙和葡萄牙債券，新一輪歐元區債務危機可能比看上去更迫近。 與歐元區強國德國相比，希臘、意大利、西班牙和葡萄牙的借貸成本已從 2022 年夏初的高水平小幅下降。

當借款人由於利率上升或經濟放緩而無法償還債務時，可能會發生債務債務危機。 當投資者認為借款人可能違約時，這種情況尤其可能發生。

當前的經濟狀況使債務危機更有可能發生。 各國央行正在加息以應對通貨膨脹，許多國家的通貨膨脹率已經很高。

烏克蘭戰爭還導致原材料和食品成本上漲，進一步加劇通脹壓力。

隨著利率上升和通貨膨脹減緩經濟增長，政府將發現償還債務變得更加困難。 這可能會導致一波違約潮，從而對整個全球經濟產生連鎖反應。

為了降低債務危機的風險，政府和企業需要謹慎管理債務水平，投資於經濟增長，並加強金融體係。

當利率超過經濟增長率時，保持債務穩定的唯一方法是維持基本預算盈餘。 初始債務越高，你就越需要勒緊褲腰帶。

高通脹也會壓低實際利率，但即使貨幣當局設法實現通脹穩步下降，利率仍將維持高位，歐元區可能麵臨主權債務危機重演。

葡萄牙、西班牙、希臘和意大利的情況尤其令人擔憂，因為這些國家的政府目前支付的十年期貸款金額從百分之三以上到近百分之四不等。

歐洲今年的夏天可能和去年一樣炎熱，當時歐洲三分之二的地區麵臨著過去五個世紀以來最嚴重的幹旱。 天氣越熱，能源供應問題越尖銳。

政治短視加劇了自然災害，歐洲已經停止購買俄羅斯煤炭和石油，對俄羅斯的製裁導致天然氣供應大幅下降。

總之，由於高利率、低經濟增長和能源短缺，歐元區主權債務危機的風險正在增加。 隨著歐洲國家對俄羅斯實施製裁，損害其經濟，政治短視加劇了這些因素。

雖然在歐盟觀察到了影響，但並不限於歐盟內部。 一些經濟學家預計經濟增長將在未來幾個月內開始回升，但將是緩慢且漸進的。經濟合作與發展組織已經預測歐元區經濟增長將是美國的一半，為0.9%。

此外，預計美國將在未來幾個月陷入衰退，因為高利率的影響將逐漸降低，目前 4.9% 的通脹率將降至可控的 2%。

分析人士希望美國經濟能夠避免嚴重衰退，且對經濟的損害有限。 2012年，歐洲爆發債務危機，導致整個歐洲大陸出現信貸緊縮。 這讓美聯儲感到擔憂，擔心危機可能蔓延至美國經濟。

Here's The Devastating Reason Behind Europe's Economy's TERRIFYING Downfall

Tech Revolution 2023年7月16日 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rIC_MyANfCo&ab_channel=TechRevolution

Here's The Devastating Reason Behind Europe's Economy's TERRIFYING Downfall

A financial crisis is currently looming, causing chaos across Europe. This crisis feels like a growing storm as countries like Greece, Spain, and Italy are encountering challenges in borrowing and lending money. 

Their economies are unstable and facing negative impacts. 

In today's video, we'll dive into the current economic challenges that Europe and France are facing. We'll explore the European debt crisis, the economic downturn across the continent, the issues affecting  the German economy, and the recent protests in France.

The Eurozone is in recession for the second quarter in a row. Even while the fall in economic dynamics is tiny - only approximately 0.1 percent of GDP - realistically oriented specialists feel this is the start of difficult times ahead. 

With foreign investors abandoning Greek, Italian, Spanish, and Portuguese bonds, a new Eurozone debt crisis may be closer than it appears. In comparison to the Eurozone's powerhouse, Germany, borrowing costs in Greece, Italy, Spain, and Portugal have fallen marginally from high levels in early summer 2022. 

ebt crises can occur when borrowers are unable to pay their debts due to rising interest rates or economic slowdowns. This is especially likely when investors believe that the borrower is likely to default.

The current economic conditions are making debt crises more likely. Central banks are raising interest rates to combat inflation, which is already high in many countries. 

The war in Ukraine is also causing the cost of raw materials and food to rise, which is further adding to inflationary pressures.

As interest rates rise and inflation slows economic growth, governments will find it more difficult to service their debts. This could lead to a wave of defaults, which would have a ripple effect throughout the global economy.

To reduce the risk of debt crises, governments and businesses need to manage their debt levels carefully, invest in economic growth, and strengthen their financial systems.

When interest rates exceed the growth rate of the economy, the only way to keep debt stable is to run a primary budget surplus. The higher the initial debt, the more you need to tighten your belts.

High inflation also pushes down real interest rates, but even if monetary authorities manage to achieve a steady reduction in inflation, interest rates will remain high and the Eurozone may face a repeat of the sovereign debt crisis.

The situation in Portugal, Spain, Greece, and Italy is particularly concerning, as their governments now pay on ten-year loan sums ranging from more than three percent to almost four percent.

This summer in Europe may be as hot as it was last year when two-thirds of Europe faced the worst drought in the past five centuries. The hotter the weather, the more acute the problem of energy supply.

Natural disasters are being exacerbated by political shortsightedness, as Europe has already stopped buying Russian coal and oil, and sanctions against Russia have led to a significant drop in natural gas supplies.

In short, the risk of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone is increasing due to high-interest rates, low economic growth, and energy shortages. These factors are being worsened by political shortsightedness, as European countries have imposed sanctions on Russia that are harming their economies.

While effects are observed in the EU, it is not limited within. Some economists expect economic growth to start picking up in the next few months, but it will be slow and gradual.The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development was already predicting that the Eurozone's economic growth to be half of the U.S. 's at 0.9%.

Also, the U.S. is expected to enter into a recession in the coming months as the effects of high-interest rates take their toll and slowly lower the current 4.9% inflation rate to a manageable 2%.

Analysts hope that the U.S. economy will avoid a severe recession and that the damage to the economy will be limited. In 2012, Europe experienced a debt crisis that led to a credit crunch across the continent. This concerned the US Federal Reserve, which was worried that the crisis could spread to the US economy.