美國百姓解讀中國出口經濟貿易

老X (2025-09-23 09:42:48) 評論 (0)

美國百姓解讀中國出口經濟貿易

    美國主流財經新聞媒體【彭博社(Bloomberg)】有一篇很有意思的報道:

    “China Floods the World With Cheap Exports After Trump’s Tariffs

    (川普加征關稅後,中國廉價出口湧向全球https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/china-floods-world-cheap-exports-064330955.html)

    大意是,在川普實施高壓關稅的五個月以來,中國的出口趨勢非但沒有受阻,而是開啟美國除外的多方渠道,出口貿易更是勢不可擋,使中國貿易順差達到創紀錄的 1.2 萬億美元($1.2 trillion trade surplus)。對此,美國百姓怎麽看呢?

    百姓一:所以,普的關稅戰除了嚴重損害美國消費者、美國農民等等之外,毫無成效。普試圖損害的那些國家之間,彼此的貿易往來卻更加頻繁。普一直在努力讓中國再次偉大。(So, Trump's tariff wars didn't work except hurting American consumers, American farmers, etc. badly. Those countries Trump tried to hurt are doing much more business with each other. Trump has been Making China Great Again.)

    百姓二: 多虧了川普,外國(中國、印度)的矽穀正在蓬勃發展,發展速度飛快,並把最優秀的人才留在了國內,還給他們提供了優厚的薪酬。如今,在美國科技公司工作的博士中,超過50%的人持有H1B簽證。想想川普為了阻止這種情況而采取的措施是多麽愚蠢。現在的博士數量根本無法滿足需求,所以任何想找工作的美國博士都能找到工作,所以不要相信他或利特尼克的說辭。關於“科技領域需要為美國人騰出空間”的純粹謊言。簡直荒謬。

    正如中國因為川普的管理不善找到了新的商品出口一樣,同樣的情況也發生在我們未來增長的關鍵技術上,例如芯片和人工智能。

    在川普的領導下,美國將失去其技術主導地位(現在幾乎已經實現),甚至可能在他下台之前就落後於印度。他現在把我們最好的芯片賣給了中國——所以我們落後多少還不得而知。是落後一點點,還是落後一大截。

    川普為了個人政治利益而對美國企業造成的打擊,需要幾十年甚至更久才能恢複。這正是美國人投票的結果。

    等到這屆災難性的政府不再讓美國經濟崩潰之後,下一屆政府就能真正地利用“讓美國再次偉大”的口號了。

(Thanks to Trump, Silicon Valleys in foreign countries (China, India) are sprouting up, gaining speed, and keeping their most talented people home and paying them exceptionally well. Over 50% of PhDs working in US technology companies today are on H1B visas. Think how idiotic Trump's moves have been to help deter that. There are not enough PhDs now to meet the demand, so any American PhD who wants a job can get one, so do not believe his jawboning or Litnick's. Pure lies about the need to "make room for Americans in technology". Ridiculous.

Just as China has found new outlets for goods because of Trump's mismanagement, the same is happening with our most critical technologies for future growth, such as chips and AI.

Under Trump's leadership, the USA will lose its technological dominance (it is almost there now) and may even fall behind India before he is done. He is selling our best chips to China now - so all bets are off as to how far we fall behind. A little or a massive amount.

The hit Trump is taking against America's businesses now for his personal political gain will take decades—if ever - to recover from. This is what Americans voted for.

The next administration will be able to co-opt the Make America Great Again slogan for real after this disastrous administration is done caving in the US economy.)

    百姓三: 我寧願購買所謂的廉價出口產品,也不願購買美國的昂貴產品,而且順便說一句,與中國相比,美國的建築質量更差。

(I prefer to obtain the so-called inexpensive exports rather than the costly products from the United States, and incidentally, they are of lesser quality in construction when compared to China.)

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