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默克爾的話震驚波羅的海國家——卡裏什回應前總理
https://bnn-news.com/merkels-words-shock-the-baltics-karins-responds-to-the-former-chancellor-272742
波羅的海航運服務 LETA 2025 年 10 月 6 日
精選、安格拉·默克爾、克裏斯賈尼斯·卡裏什、波羅的海國家、波蘭、烏克蘭戰爭、烏克蘭、俄羅斯、弗拉基米爾·普京
拉脫維亞前總理、現任國際戰略傳播機構“克裏布”（Kreab）地緣政治事務高級顧問克裏斯揚尼斯·卡林什（Krišjānis Kari?š）向拉脫維亞通訊社LETA表示，德國前總理安格拉·默克爾關於波羅的海國家和波蘭在挑起俄羅斯侵略中所扮演角色的言論，反映出某些西方政客對獨裁者弗拉基米爾·普京的行為和目標存在根本性誤解。
在接受匈牙利媒體“遊擊隊”（Partizán）采訪時，默克爾實際上將俄羅斯的侵略行為歸咎於波蘭和波羅的海國家，聲稱他們在2021年拒絕支持與莫斯科進行直接對話，加劇了緊張局勢。她的理由是擔心歐盟成員國無法對俄羅斯形成統一的立場。
默克爾表示，無法與俄羅斯獨裁者弗拉基米爾·普京進行直接對話影響了後續事態的發展。她認為，波蘭和波羅的海國家的立場導致了俄羅斯與歐盟外交關係的破裂，這位前總理聲稱，這為幾個月後俄羅斯再次入侵烏克蘭鋪平了道路。
卡林什強調，默克爾擔任德國總理期間，人們普遍認為“如果我們行為得當，普京也會行為得當”。
他指出，
西方普遍認為，可以影響普京的行動，
盡管事實清楚地表明並非如此。
“普京的行事風格就是那樣，西方唯一的選擇要麽屈服，要麽反抗。令人驚訝的是，這位前德國總理今天竟然會說出這樣的話，俄羅斯的政權本該是顯而易見的。我很高興新任德國總理弗裏德裏希·梅爾茨不認同默克爾的觀點，”卡林什說道。
談到2021年，卡林什回憶說，當時曾有傳言稱歐盟領導人可能與普京舉行會晤。他指出，2021年9月，俄羅斯和白俄羅斯武裝部隊舉行了大規模戰略軍事演習“西方”（Zapad），但俄羅斯非但沒有從烏克蘭邊境撤軍，反而繼續逐步增加軍事存在，直至2022年入侵。
“當時，許多國家都不理解俄羅斯——包括德國和前總理本人。我一直告訴她，你不能‘真誠地’與普京打交道，但她認為波羅的海國家錯了。我很清楚默克爾的觀點，但令我驚訝的是，在烏克蘭發生了這麽多事之後，她竟然仍然這麽想。”卡林什說道。
他進一步指出，美國總統唐納德·特朗普已經開始與普京進行談判，
雙方在阿拉斯加舉行了會晤，但自特朗普上任以來，雙方仍未實現和平。卡林什強調，對拉脫維亞人來說，這並不意外，因為隻有當俄羅斯無力繼續戰爭，或者反擊力量強大到迫使其撤退時，烏克蘭的和平才有可能實現。
這位前總理總結道，如果這位前德國總理用這樣的措辭談論波羅的海國家和波蘭，那就意味著她還沒有完全理解局勢。
此前有報道稱，根據默克爾的說法，波蘭拒絕遵守明斯克協議——該協議是在俄羅斯首次入侵烏克蘭後，在法國和德國的直接軍事威脅下，於2015年強加給基輔的——據稱鼓勵了普京在2022年再次發動入侵。
這些協議是在默克爾和時任法國總統弗朗索瓦·奧朗德的幫助下強加給烏克蘭的，但事實上基輔無法接受，因為它們實際上賦予了莫斯科對烏克蘭政治進程的控製權。
然而，默克爾在采訪中堅稱，明斯克協議在烏克蘭2015年軍事失敗後，為烏克蘭提供了從2015年到2021年的數年和平，其目的是讓基輔收複失地，鞏固實力，並“成為一個不同的國家”。2021年前後，默克爾表示，她開始覺得普京不再認真對待明斯克協議。
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Merkel's words shock the Baltics – Kari?š responds to the former Chancellor
https://bnn-news.com/merkels-words-shock-the-baltics-karins-responds-to-the-former-chancellor-272742
Baltic shipping services LETA
The statements made by former German Chancellor Angela Merkel about the role of the Baltic States and Poland in allegedly provoking Russia’s aggression reflect a fundamental misunderstanding among certain Western politicians about the behavior and aims of dictator Vladimir Putin, former Latvian Prime Minister and current Senior Advisor on Geopolitical Affairs at the international strategic communications agency Kreab, Krišjānis Kari?š, told the Latvian news agency LETA.
Merkel stated that the inability to hold direct talks with Russian dictator Vladimir Putin influenced the course of subsequent events. According to her, the position of Poland and the Baltic States led to a breakdown in diplomatic relations between Russia and the EU, which, the former chancellor claimed, paved the way for Russia’s renewed invasion of Ukraine a few months later.
He pointed out that
THERE HAD BEEN A WIDESPREAD ASSUMPTION IN THE WEST THAT IT WAS POSSIBLE TO INFLUENCE PUTIN’S ACTIONS,
even though events have clearly shown the opposite.
“Putin acts the way he acts, and the only options for the West are either to submit or to resist. It is surprising that the former German chancellor would say something like this today, when it should be obvious to everyone what kind of regime Russia is. I am glad that the new German Chancellor, Friedrich Merz, does not share Merkel’s views,” Kari?š said.
Speaking about the year 2021, Kari?š recalled that at that time there had been talk of a possible meeting between EU leaders and Putin. He noted that in September 2021, the Russian and Belarusian armed forces conducted the large-scale strategic military exercise Zapad, but instead of withdrawing troops from the Ukrainian border, Russia continued to gradually increase its military presence until the invasion in 2022.
“At that time, many countries did not understand Russia — including Germany and the former chancellor herself. I consistently told her that you cannot deal with Putin ‘in good faith,’ but she believed that the Baltic States were wrong. I was well aware of Merkel’s views, but I am astonished that after everything that has happened in Ukraine, she still thinks this way,” Kari?š said.
HE FURTHER NOTED THAT TALKS WITH PUTIN HAVE NOW BEEN TAKEN UP BY U.S. PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP,
with a meeting having taken place in Alaska, but no peace has been achieved since Trump took office. Kari?š emphasized that for Latvians, this comes as no surprise, as peace in Ukraine will only be possible when Russia can no longer afford to continue the war, or when the counterforce becomes so strong that it is forced to retreat.
The former Prime Minister concluded that if the former German chancellor spoke about the Baltic States and Poland in such terms, it means that she still has not fully understood the situation.
As previously reported, according to Merkel’s version of events, Poland’s refusal to support the Minsk agreements — which were imposed on Kyiv in 2015 under direct military threat through mediation by France and Germany after Russia’s initial invasion of Ukraine — allegedly encouraged Putin to launch a renewed invasion in 2022.
The agreements, imposed on Ukraine with the help of Merkel and then-French President François Hollande, were in fact unacceptable to Kyiv, as they effectively granted Moscow control over Ukraine’s political processes.
However, in her interview, Merkel insisted that the Minsk agreements had provided Ukraine with several years of peace from 2015 to 2021 following its 2015 military defeat, and that their purpose had been to allow Kyiv to recover lost territories, consolidate its strength, and “become a different country.” Around 2021, Merkel said she had begun to feel that Putin no longer took the Minsk agreements seriously.
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