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Gordon Brown Gordon Brown

(2024-05-13 07:13:41) 下一個

修複全球治理

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/global-governance-g20-imf-world-bank-wto-need-reform-by-gordon-brown-2023-09

戈登·布朗 2023 年 9 月 25 日

全球治理的持續失敗反映了從單極世界向多極世界的更廣泛轉變。 由於政治驅動經濟,而不是相反,形勢要求重新構建全球秩序,首先要對二十國集團和布雷頓森林機構進行雄心勃勃的改革。

愛丁堡—本月印度二十國集團峰會和聯合國大會結束後,世界領導人將出席在馬拉喀什舉行的國際貨幣基金組織和世界銀行會議,然後前往迪拜參加聯合國氣候變化大會(COP28)。 但對於這些峰會能否在應對我們麵臨的最大挑戰方麵取得有意義的進展,人們並不樂觀,這並不是因為缺乏決心,而是因為我們自二戰結束以來一直遵循的全球規則手冊已不再適用。

世界日益分裂的現象在 G20 峰會上得到了證實。 盡管這次會議標誌著印度成為一個大國,但總理納倫德拉·莫迪的勝利時刻轉瞬即逝。 這次峰會並沒有阻止 2020 年代幾乎肯定成為低增長十年。

盡管非洲聯盟被接納為二十國集團的正式成員,但南半球國家的巨額債務卻沒有得到多少減免。 盡管二十國集團成員的碳排放量占全球碳排放量的 75%,但此次峰會未能解決氣候融資缺口的規模問題。 根據 G20 資本充足率審查的結果,拜登政府承諾為世界銀行額外提供 250 億美元; 但這個數字遠遠低於美國前財長勞倫斯·H·薩默斯在今年向二十國集團提交的辛格-薩默斯報告中建議的每年 2600 億美元的刺激計劃。

Fixing Global Governance

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/global-governance-g20-imf-world-bank-wto-need-reform-by-gordon-brown-2023-09

   

Persistent failures of global governance reflect the broader shift from a unipolar to a multipolar world. With politics driving economics, rather than the other way around, the situation demands a rewiring of the global order, starting with ambitious reforms of the G20 and the Bretton Woods institutions.

EDINBURGH – After India’s G20 summit and the UN General Assembly this month, world leaders will attend the International Monetary Fund and World Bank meetings in Marrakesh, before heading to the UN Climate Change Conference (COP28) in Dubai. But there is little optimism that these summits will deliver meaningful progress in tackling our greatest challenges, not because of any lack of resolve, but because the global rulebook we have been following since the end of World War II is no longer fit for purpose.

The world’s growing fragmentation was confirmed at the G20 summit. Though the meeting signaled India’s arrival as a major power, Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s moment of triumph was fleeting. The summit did little to prevent the 2020s from almost certainly becoming a low-growth decade.

Despite the African Union’s admission as a full member of the G20, the Global South received scant relief for its crushing debts. And though G20 members are responsible for 75% of global carbon emissions, the summit failed to address the scale of the climate financing gap. Acting on the findings of the G20’s Capital Adequacy Review, the Biden administration has committed to secure an additional $25 billion for the World Bank; but that figure falls far short of the $260 billion annual fillip that former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence H. Summers recommended in the Singh-Summers report to the G20 this year.

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