Tharman 中美脫鉤將讓位於一個“極其危險”的世界

尚達曼：中美脫鉤將讓位於一個“極其危險”的世界

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/china-us-decoupling-will-give-way-to-a-profoundly-dangerous-world-tharman?

By  Ovais Subhani 高級記者 2022 年 11 月 16 日

尚達曼表示，緩和中美之間的緊張局勢，可能無法確保持久和平，但會讓世界變得更加安全。
 

新加坡 — — 尚達曼表示，中美之間的無摩擦關係可能是不可能的，但這並不一定會導致世界經濟分裂為兩個互不相幹的陣營。

周二，他在新加坡嘉佩樂酒店舉行的 2022 年彭博新經濟論壇上發表講話時補充道：“想象一個中國和美國在貿易、投資、數據、支付、金融體係、知識產權創造方麵脫鉤的世界。 那將是一個極其危險的世界。”

“多極世界永遠不會一帆風順。 但這比脫鉤的世界安全得多，”他說。

在他發表上述言論之前，美國總統喬·拜登和中國國家主席習近平周一在印度尼西亞巴厘島舉行了自拜登近兩年前上任以來的首次麵對麵會晤。 雙方同意在氣候變化、糧食安全等問題上恢複合作。

在巴厘島二十國集團峰會會談後，中國外交部長王毅表示，雙方“希望阻止雙邊關係的下滑，穩定關係”。

近年來，中美關係惡化，從 2018 年開始針鋒相對的進口關稅，以及最近美國禁止某些先進半導體技術出口。

尚達曼表示，中美之間緊張局勢的緩和可能無法確保持久和平，但會讓世界變得更加安全。
“我認為有一條前進的道路。 我們還沒有到達懸崖，”他補充道。

“我們必須從根本上通過不確定性的視角來看待世界，預計事情的發展可能與我們希望的完全不同，不要隻押注於好的一麵，不要押注於我們希望看到的東西，預測 可能會出現什麽問題，做好準備，並盡力防止出現問題。”

他表示希望拜登與習近平的會晤將在幫助全球經濟應對多重挑戰和威脅方麵發揮重要作用，包括從Covid-19大流行中複蘇、可能導致衰退的高通脹和氣候變化。

他表示，世界需要持續、大規模的投資，以確保能源和糧食安全以及向綠色經濟轉型。

“所需的投資規模隻能通過公私合作夥伴關係來實現，”他指出。

第五屆年度彭博新經濟論壇將於 11 月 15 日至 17 日周二至周四舉行，預計將吸引來自 53 個國家的 500 多名企業高管和政策製定者參加。

China-US decoupling will give way to a 'profoundly dangerous' world: Tharman

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/china-us-decoupling-will-give-way-to-a-profoundly-dangerous-world-tharman?

Senior Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam said easing tensions between China and the United States may not assure lasting peace, but it will make the world a safer place. ST PHOTO: FELINE LIM

 Ovais Subhani Senior Correspondent   NOV 16, 2022

 

SINGAPORE – Frictionless relations between China and the United States are probably not possible, but that should not necessarily lead to the division of the world economy into two disengaged camps, said Senior Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam.

Speaking at the 2022 Bloomberg New Economy Forum at the Capella Singapore on Tuesday, he added: “Imagine a world where China and the US are decoupled in trade, in investments, data, payments, financial systems, intellectual property creation. That would be a profoundly dangerous world.”

“A multipolar world was never going to be frictionless. But it is much safer than a world that is decoupled,” he said.

His comments followed the first in-person meeting on Monday in Bali, Indonesia, between United States President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping since Mr Biden took office almost two years ago. Both sides agreed to resume cooperation on issues including climate change and food security.

After the talks at the Group of 20 summit in Bali, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said both sides “hope to stop the tumbling of bilateral ties and to stabilise the relationship”.

China-US relations have soured in recent years, starting in 2018 with tit-for-tat import tariffs and, more recently, a US ban on exports of certain advanced semiconductor technologies.

Mr Tharman said easing tensions between China and the US may not assure lasting peace, but it will make the world a safer place.

“I think there is a way forward. We haven’t reached the precipice yet,” he added.

“We have to look at the world fundamentally through the lens of uncertainty, expect that things may pan out very differently from what we hope for and don’t just bet on the upside, don’t bet on what we hope to see, anticipate what can go wrong, prepare for it, and try to prevent things from going wrong.” 

He expressed the hope that the Biden-Xi meeting will go a long way in helping the global economy confront multiple challenges and threats, including recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic, high inflation that may lead to recession and climate change.

He said the world needs sustained, large-scale investments to ensure energy and food security and transition to a green economy.

“The scale of investment required is one that can only be delivered through public-private partnerships,” he noted.

The fifth annual Bloomberg New Economy Forum, held from Tuesdsay to Thursday, Nov 15 to 17, is likely to attract more than 500 top company executives and policymakers from 53 countries.