Glenn Diesen 西方注定要滅亡

為什麽西方真的注定要滅亡

2024年2月21日
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dr5fAFlYBqE&ab_channel=

格倫·迪森教授在他的新書《烏克蘭戰爭與歐亞世界秩序》中令人信服地指出，世界過去的運作方式不僅在過去一個世紀，而且在過去 500 年都已經結束。 從現在開始，全球體係將變得更加動態、多極、更加複雜。 迪森教授還展示了烏克蘭如何成為北約戰爭販子手中的棋子，盡管他們盡了最大努力，但仍未能擊敗該體係中的一個戰略對手。 西方有罪不罰的時代正在結束。 問題是，接下來會發生什麽？

烏克蘭戰爭與歐亞世界秩序

格倫·迪森

https://www.indigo.ca/en-ca/the-ukraine-war-the-eurasian-world-order/9781949762952.html

五百年的西方霸權時代已經結束，全球大多數人對建立在多極化和主權平等基礎上的世界秩序的渴望日益高漲。 這本深刻的著作探討了自由主義霸權的消亡，同時也指出多極威斯特伐利亞世界秩序尚未形成，世界正處於一個空位期。 法律真空已經出現，衝突雙方競相定義未來秩序。

北約擴張主義是自由主義霸權的重要組成部分，因為它旨在鞏固西方的集體霸權，作為自由民主和平的基礎。 相反，它摧毀了泛歐洲安全架構，並使歐洲走上了戰爭之路，而且不可能糾正路線。 烏克蘭作為分裂的歐洲中的一個分裂國家，過去三十年來一直是北約與俄羅斯大國競爭的重要棋子。

烏克蘭戰爭是世界秩序崩潰的一個征兆。 這場戰爭暴露了自由主義霸權在權力和合法性方麵的功能失調，並引發了西方和俄羅斯之間的代理戰爭，而不是確保其合法性的源泉和平。
代理人戰爭、史無前例的製裁以及在更廣闊的世界中孤立俄羅斯的努力導致了自由主義霸權的滅亡，而不是其複興。 世界許多國家通過加緊向拒絕霸權和自由普世主義的歐亞世界秩序過渡來應對這場戰爭。 隨著世界擺脫對西方技術、工業、交通走廊、銀行、支付係統、保險係統和貨幣的過度依賴，經濟架構正在重組。 基於西方價值觀的普遍主義被文明獨特性所取代，主權不平等被主權平等所取代，劣等社會化被談判所取代，基於規則的國際秩序被國際法所取代。 威斯特伐利亞世界秩序正在重新確立自己的地位，盡管它帶有歐亞特征。

西方擊敗俄羅斯將恢複單極世界秩序，而俄羅斯的勝利將鞏固多極世界秩序。 國際體係現在正處於最危險的時期，因為不存在妥協的前景，這意味著贏家將通吃。 因此，美國領導下的北約和俄羅斯都準備承擔巨大風險並升級，使核武的可能性越來越大。

Why The West Is Really Doomed

2024年2月21日
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dr5fAFlYBqE&ab_channel=

In his new book "The Ukraine War and the Eurasian World Order", Professor Glenn Diesen argues compellingly that the way the world used to work not only for the past century, but for the past 500 years is over and done with. From here on, the global system will be much more dynamic, multi-polar, and much more complex. Professor Diesen also shows how Ukraine has been a pawn in the hands of NATO warmongers who despite their best efforts, however, have not been able to break even one of their strategic rivals in the system. The time of Western impunity is ending. The question is, what comes next?

The Ukraine War & the Eurasian World Order
By Glenn Diesen

Glenn Diesen
PhD in Politics and International Relations Professor at the University of South-Eastern Norway. 

https://www.indigo.ca/en-ca/the-ukraine-war-the-eurasian-world-order/9781949762952.html

Five hundred years of Western hegemony has ended, while the global majority’s aspiration for a world order based on multipolarity and sovereign equality is rising. This incisive book addresses the demise of liberal hegemony, though pointing out that a multipolar Westphalian world order has not yet taken shape, leaving the world in a period of interregnum. A legal vacuum has emerged, in which the conflicting sides are competing to define the future order.

NATO expansionism was an important component of liberal hegemony as it was intended to cement the collective hegemony of the West as the foundation for a liberal democratic peace. Instead, it dismantled the pan-European security architecture and set Europe on the path to war without the possibility of a course correction. Ukraine as a divided country in a divided Europe has been a crucial pawn in the great power competition between NATO and Russia for the past three decades.

The war in Ukraine is a symptom of the collapsing world order. The war revealed the dysfunction of liberal hegemony in terms of both power and legitimacy, and it sparked a proxy war between the West and Russia instead of ensuring peace, the source of its legitimacy.

The proxy war, unprecedented sanctions, and efforts to isolate Russia in the wider world contributed to the demise of liberal hegemony as opposed to its revival. Much of the world responded to the war by intensifying their transition to a Eurasian world order that rejects hegemony and liberal universalism. The economic architecture is being reorganised as the world diversifies away from excessive reliance on Western technologies, industries, transportation corridors, banks, payment systems, insurance systems, and currencies. Universalism based on Western values is replaced by civilisational distinctiveness, sovereign inequality is swapped with sovereign equality, socialising inferiors is replaced by negotiations, and the rules-based international order is discarded in favour of international law. A Westphalian world order is reasserting itself, although with Eurasian characteristics.

The West’s defeat of Russia would restore the unipolar world order while a Russian victory would cement a multipolar one. The international system is now at its most dangerous as the prospect of compromise is absent, meaning the winner will take all. Both NATO under US direction and Russia are therefore prepared to take great risks and escalate, making nuclear wan increasingly likely.