Inflation vs Deflation
          (2008-11-06 18:16:50)
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There is a good discussion about inflation and deflation. Here is some my thoughts.
Reasons for deflation.
 1) Unemployment rate will go higher;
 
 2) Consumers do not have money to spend;
 3) Deleveraging will reduce wealth among all kind of assets;
 4) Economy is in recession;
 5) This recession will be a bad one
 6) Money velocity slows down significantly;
Reasons for Inflation:
  1) Inflation is the only solution to solve US high debt issues;
  2) Fed would print money to stimulate economy;
  3) High Deficit effcts;
My personal opinions:
  1) Cash could be a good choice in short term;
  
  2) Investment better has cash flow incomes;
  3) Gold could be a good choice in both inflation and deflation period.
  4) We would have a deflation first, then inflation late.