十二(勿入)

笨狼 (2021-12-16 14:11:59) 評論 (0)
強世功|貿易與人權(上)——世界帝國與“美國行為的根源”|文化縱橫網
強世功|貿易與人權(下)——世界帝國背景下的中美競爭|文化縱橫網
【強世功】族群融合是新疆政策的最高目標,精神基礎是儒家文化 - 儒家網
The Hot Peace Paradigm - Wang Jisi - CHINA US Focus
Where’s the Law in the Rules-based International Order of the Indo-Pacific? — U.S.-Asia Law Institute
 
 
 
 
彭帥出麵說「從未說過被性侵」(新加坡早報),肯定是因為覺得被西方當成子彈,當槍使覺得不滿。說被中國“做工作”,施壓、要挾,都有可能,但她本人可能沒預料到西方一下子把她當成向中國政府聲討的大旗,覺得被耍了。
中國網球女將彭帥現身上海城市越野滑雪賽 接受《聯合早報》采訪 | 早報
彭帥首度對外媒發聲 稱「從未說過被性侵」 | 德國之聲 | DW | 20.12.2021
 
【西方媒體趣聞】
Canadian Editorial Boards Are Cheerleaders For War (readpassage.com)
MoA - When China Does Great Question Its Cost (moonofalabama.org)
The American Empire and its Media – Swiss Policy Research (swprs.org)
 
 
【世界離開美國行不行?】
The Myth of the Indispensable Nation – Foreign Policy
Paul Poast: "Is ???????? still seen as the "indispensable nation"? Sort of. To see why, let's compare the movies "Armageddon" (from 1998) and "Don't Look Up" (from 2021)"
 
 

The Beekeper

Ivan Nikolaevich Kramskoy - 140 artworks - Art Renewal Center

 

Beryl Cook OBE, British 1926-2008- ''The Bridge Party'', 1997

 

【種族主義是西方(白人)的核心價值】
The Deeper History of Empire and White Supremacy Behind Anti-Asian Racism (ucpress.edu)鄭文浩(Moon-Ho Jung)
為何美國亞裔和黑人難以實現團結? - 紐約時報中文網
Opinion | What Does ‘White Freedom’ Really Mean? - The New York Times
亞裔華裔是如何成為“模範小族”的?
 
I Would Rather Be Born A Woman In China Than India - NOEMA (noemamag.com)
 
【華郵】
Omicron Means Parents Are Doing It All Again, Except Dead Inside (romper.com)
isi baehr-breen (its pronounced ‘izzy’) on Twitter: "The CDC’s own cowardly political waffling on this shit is going to allow republicans to forever say that COVID didn’t actually kill that many people. https://t.co/G9ujSAPbI3" / Twitter
BNO Newsroom on Twitter: "BREAKING: U.S. reports 1,459,005 new coronavirus cases as weekend backlogs are released" / Twitter
東進西退
Taibbi: A Tale Of Two Authoritarians
 
 
【 中國外交誤國】
France’s Shifting Relations with China - War on the Rocks
The good news is that, despite the tensions of the past few months, there is more common ground between the United States and France than there may seem to be. France, like other European countries, has actually hardened its position on China in recent years. This is the result of China’s human rights abuses in Xinjiang; its antagonistic approach to diplomacy; and, for France in particular, its growing threat to maritime security across the Indo-Pacific
China’s olive branch to sanctioned German think tank ‘poorly timed’ | South China Morning Post
 
【台灣】
Japan, U.S. draw up plan for any Taiwan emergency - Kyodo | Reuters
Japan, U.S. draft operation plan for Taiwan contingency: sources (kyodonews.net)
西媒曾驚呼解放軍模擬攻太,而他們自己:
Rising Threat From China Pushes U.S. and Japan to Deepen Military Cooperation - WSJ
如果大陸奪去東沙,台灣將毫無對策
Microsoft Word - TaiwanWargameReport_Formatted (1).docx (s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com)
解放軍如何攻台
China's Special-Ops Forces Are Taiwan's Real Problem, Not Warships (businessinsider.com)
Meeting China's Military Challange: Collective Responses of U,S, Allies and Security Partners (nbr.org)
習近平簽署中央軍委2022年1號命令 向全軍發布開訓動員令 - 中國軍網
Taiwan Stages Military Drills to Deter Chinese Aggression - WSJ
台灣厲害了
Taiwan’s global prominence grows in 2021 | East Asia Forum
印度在緬甸製造內戰
In Myanmar's Chin state, a grassroots rebellion grows | Reuters
第一島鏈
US eyes using Japan's submarines to 'choke' Chinese navy - Nikkei Asia
Japan, U.S. draw up plan for any Taiwan emergency -Kyodo | Reuters
Opinion | Biden’s efforts to build alliances against China are bearing fruit - The Washington Post
New wave of Asian defense pacts no magic template for countering China - Nikkei Asia
The policy gap in the Indo-Pacific - The Washington Post
Bigger Than A U.S. Navy AEGIS Cruiser: China Is Building More Type-055s - Naval News
 
台灣海軍這麽厲害?(特種部隊)就幾十人,沒用
Inside Taiwan's brutal navy frogman bootcamp | Reuters
 
卡普蘭把中俄稱之為“倒退的帝國主義”,嗬嗬,一定要守住台灣
Russia, China and the Bid for Empire - WSJ
粉絲很多哦
行走的思想家:羅伯特·D.卡普蘭 - 知乎
The Ideology Delusion | Foreign Affairs
(反駁)The Revenge of Ideology - War on the Rocks(沒勁,播客)
The One-Sided War of Ideas With China (foreignpolicy.com)
(反駁)U.S.-China Competition Is an Ideological Battle Between Democracy and Authoritarianism (foreignpolicy.com)
America must rediscover human-rights realism | The Japan Times
反人道、人權和中俄帝國主義是一致的(新疆),卡普蘭“選擇性利用人權”眼睛都不眨,還承認美國盟友皆如此,不放權“人權”,但“悶聲發大財”,中國揭穿、指出你們不能通吃,也是有理由的。卡普蘭說美國要“利用”盟友沒放棄人權這一立場,
 
Imagining the unimaginable: The U.S., China and war over Taiwan – Grid News
China’s hegemonic intent increasingly hard to deny - Asia Times
 
Beijing and Taipei are united – in their South China Sea claims | South China Morning Post
(反駁:Bill Hayton on Twitter: "More nonsense history of the South China Sea published by the South China Morning Post - this time written by the CEO of a private equity firm. I guess this is what corporate bosses have to do to gain favour from Beijing these days. Anyway, rebuttal... https://t.co/DLzISjT9ti" / Twitter
台灣耍詭計:半導體
Lithuania wins microchip windfall from Taiwan in China clash – POLITICO
 
 
【經濟】
糧食緊缺
China hoards over half the world's grain, pushing up global prices - Nikkei Asia
唉,中國擔心美國疫情,美國也擔心中國疫情
 
其實
China-Australia trade booming despite political tensions - The Australian
沒法脫鉤
 
 
America’s Asia Strategy Has Reached a Dead End - Foreign Policy
Biden and Asia After One Year: Modest Progress, Ongoing Confusion (foreignpolicy.com)
Assessing the Biden Administration’s policy toward the Indo-Pacific — 9DASHLINE
 
半導體變化
陳經:英特爾涉疆聲明背後的中美鬥爭邏輯 (guancha.cn)(英特爾撒野,但中國隻能忍了)
Chip Shortage Creates New Power Players - The New York Times
Chipmakers' nightmare: Will shortages give way to a supply glut? - Nikkei Asia
SMIC Poses Policy Dilemma for Biden’s China Chip Crackdown - Bloomberg
China’s Share of Global Chip Sales Now Surpasses Taiwan's, Closing in on Europe's and Japan's - Semiconductor Industry Association (semiconductors.org)
 
China Plans Millions of Low-Cost Rental Homes in Common Prosperity Push - Bloomberg
 
How U.S. Businesses View China’s Growing Influence in Tech Standards - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
U.S.-China technology competition (brookings.edu)
China’s smallest firms failing at historic pace as 4.37 million close up shop and registrations plummet | South China Morning Post
Michael Pettis
Lower fees and taxes, easier credit, better infrastructure, and other supply-side measures can help private-sector businesses if their problem consists mainly of high costs, scarce or expensive credit, or other constraints on their abilities to serve burgeoning demand
 
任澤平:2021中國中小微企業經營現狀研究_新浪財經
中小微企業的運行很依賴地方政府,但地方政府也不好過
林采宜:中國各地政府的債務地圖_新浪財經
The Chinese state has long placed greater value on resilience over efficiency, which has dragged down its performance on metrics that economists care about, like return on assets
2021 letter | Dan Wang
The Local Government Squeeze - The Wire China(2021.10)
土地出售死循環
 
 
美國說是不在乎,但企業可不能視若無睹,美國近20000班航班被取消,是一個側麵,對經濟是有影響的
【】China to remain renewable energy leader with strong capacity growth in 2022, despite subsidies phase-out | South China Morning Post
再生能源是中國和世界唯一共同認可的,不是“浪費”的基建投資
中國另外兩個可以大幅投資而不必擔心浪費的領域是醫療和教育,可惜這兩個領域都不能隻靠簡單燒錢,都需要人才和規則(Institutions)
China’s Unpredictable, Heavy-Handed Governance Threatens Growth - WSJ
習近平有改革的決心,但是不是因為極端,尤其是在動用國家力量壓製不同觀點過度而毀了
戰略谘詢國內公司歐亞集團把中國
As Beijing Takes Control, Chinese Tech Companies Lose Jobs and Hope - The New York Times
 
Eurasia Group | Top Risks 2022
岸田作為自民黨內著名鴿派宏池會(Kochikai)的領導,能不能維持宏池會對華務實的傳統很難說,但他似乎表麵上沒有安倍那麽凶
 
一是外貿規模再上新台階。預計今年全年我國貨物進出口有望達到6萬億美元,增長超過20%,也就是說,今年一年我們將跨越“兩個萬億”美元的大關,第一貿易大國的地位更加鞏固。與去年相比,進出口增量約1.3萬億美元,也就是相當於過去10年增量的總和。前三季度,出口和進口國際市場份額分別達到了15%和12.1%,再創曆史新高。
區域協定給中國提供了巨大的影響力
既是增加對外的影響力(吸引、依賴),也可以給國內發展提供一個刺激
Tariffs on more than 65 per cent of China’s trade in goods with Asean, Australia and New Zealand are expected to immediately reach zero under the regional agreement
Ren expected on Thursday that the total value of China’s exports and imports would exceed US$6 trillion this year – up over 20 per cent from 2020 – further consolidating the country’s status as the world’s largest trader.
2021,結果2022年不好過
Imports and exports between China and the other 14 members of the RCEP totalled 10.96 trillion yuan (US$1.72 trillion) in the first 11 months of this year, accounting for 31 per cent of China’s total foreign trade value
沒算港台
***************************
 
 
Figure 1. The recovery is relatively sluggish
美國今年相當強盛,但人民幣更盛,不僅對美元,人民幣對全世界貨幣都上升,大家看看中國的貿易順差,看看外匯儲備,都不知道順差到哪去了,覺得中國玩貓膩,還是在操縱貨幣
 
Political map of Latin America (AFP/Gustavo IZUS)
 
英國真的能混
 
【對中國質疑的】
小微企業不行
 
 
【軍備競賽】
 
【百萬】
美國在睡王“美國重新偉大”之後還是一點辦法都沒有,因為睡王一點也沒準備,美國的測試能力還是(發達國家)幾乎墊底的,美國人還以此為自豪,別看睡王這幾天說什麽
次,5樣本、10樣本混合檢測
 
2022《金融時報》更新
 
 
“We didn’t see Delta coming. I think most scientists did not — upon whose advice and direction we have relied — didn’t see Delta coming.
“We didn’t see Omicron coming”
方舟子是損點,但是禁不住事實對不?
With No Way to Identify Omicron and Delta Patients, US Doctors Struggle With Treatment Decisions - The New York Times
 
疫苗有沒有用了?借了種還感染,說明奧型毒株傳染力強,但症狀不重,說明疫苗在起作用,據專家解釋,抵抗病毒一是靠抗體,疫苗隨著事件藥力大幅減弱,抗體數量尤其衰減得厲害,但第二重抵抗力,免疫細胞(T-cell),還相當強,這是防止重症的關鍵,因為這個原因,不能把中國疫苗簡單否定,中國疫苗在防止重症上還是有效力的
 
 
【中(國)西(方)印(度)怎麽看印度?】
我的選擇,三個角度,沒什麽相關,
 
【對比】
 
【事無巨細?】
 
【不擇手段】
 
【】
 
【新疆的種族滅絕和美國的反恐戰】
新疆管製和美國反恐戰在精神上有著驚人的相似,新疆遠不如反恐戰殘酷,卻被西方圍剿
無聊:
 
 
【中國抗疫】
上海團隊與北京團隊已經完成了對中國的同源性與異源性第三針接種作用的第三方評估,研究結果已經與國際疫苗專家同行進行了充分溝通,完成國際同行評議後將會在新近正式公布,主要的研究證實,中國的第三針接種仍能保留對奧密克戎與德爾塔的中和作用,具備降低重症病例發生的潛力。中國後續的第三針疫苗優化接種策略在2021年將有望全麵完成,與國際社會共同進入2022年。迎接世衛組織所說的對新冠病毒的全麵控製,全球的民眾將會迎接普通而平穩的生活
 
否定了?用輝瑞當加強針沒什麽用
 
 
 
 
英國人任大偉難以壓抑對中國的蔑視、怨恨,而台灣作為西方民主盟友,則網開一麵
 
反華譏諷
 
【口水戰】
中國的苦衷:中國太亂,各種操作手太多、太壞
大紀元成了在美國攪渾水的主力之一
 
美國學生債
 
【雜】
 
 
 
德國,立陶宛
 
曆史
 
At its peak, opium was the third-highest source of revenue for the British in India, after land and salt.
Opium Inc: How A Global Drug Trade Funded the British Empire, Thomas Manuel
 
 
西方怎麽看新疆
唐誌學(Joseph Torigian)
 
在重大風險、強大對手麵前,總想過太平日子、不想鬥爭是不切實際的,得“軟骨病”、患“恐懼症”是無濟於事的。“善戰者,立於不敗之地,而不失敵之敗也。”唯有主動迎戰、堅決鬥爭才有生路出路,才能贏得尊嚴、求得發展,逃避退縮、妥協退讓隻會招致失敗和屈辱,隻能是死路一條。
 
 
 
 
【美國內亂】
As always, when you dig deeper, the origins of domestic and foreign policies are to be found in economic interests. An oft-used aphorism says that “all politics is local”. It would be more appropriate to say that “all politics is about money”.