哈,經老玩家嘴就放大,不過這次還好你給個LINK,還是讀CDC Director原話靠譜:)

本文內容已被 [ pickshell ] 在 2020-08-24 17:51:08 編輯過。如有問題,請報告版主或論壇管理刪除.

CDC Director變“CDC老板”。在真實感染數據未出爐前,CDC Director目前的粗略預估已被感染人數可能介於30 and 60 million之間,到你這立刻變“已有6千萬人感染了新冠” 唉。。

把你提供的LINK原文貼這。。。

As many as 60 million Americans could have been infected with coronavirus, Director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Dr. Robert Redfield told the Journal of the American Medical Association Thursday.

The CDC released a report in June, published in JAMA, showing an infection rate in the United States of about 10%. Redfield said at the time he believed testing had missed 90% or more of cases. 

Redfield said Thursday an infection rate of between 10-20% translates into as many as 60 million people who may have already been infected, but there’s not really any good data on the numbers yet.

“We’re in the process of obviously following up with the report that we did in JAMA that kind of let us understand that maybe for the 2 million cases we diagnosed, we had an estimated 20 million people infected,” Redfield said in the video interview.

“We've now expanded that throughout the country, so very large surveillance work in progress,” he said.

Redfield said he didn’t want to speculate on the number of Americans who may actually be infected with the virus, but he did offer an estimate.

“I really want to be data driven but there is enormous geographic variation. I can tell you that we have some areas that we're looking at less than 1% and we have other areas we're looking at 20%,” he said.

“I think if you're going to do a crude estimate, somewhere between 30 and 60 million people -- but let's let the data come out and see what the data shows.”

Confirmed cases: As of Thursday night, at least 5,573,501 coronavirus cases have been recorded across the US, according to Johns Hopkins University. The total includes at least 174,248 deaths

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好像意思不大一樣。 “預估” ~ 預先估計; “could have been infected” ~ 可能已經被感染。 -欲千北- 給 欲千北 發送悄悄話 欲千北 的博客首頁 (294 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 05:54:51

唉。估計可能介於30 and 60 million之間 =/= 真實已經60 million。 -pickshell- 給 pickshell 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 06:04:39

都知道是估計值,對這沒有異議。“預估” 的意思不一樣吧。預先估計?預估 =/= 估計。 -欲千北- 給 欲千北 發送悄悄話 欲千北 的博客首頁 (163 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 06:26:00

唉,統計數據未出來前 那叫預估/估計,等真實數據出來後還需“估計”嗎? -pickshell- 給 pickshell 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 18:09:50

你把 "預估“ 兩字已經改成 “估計” 了,沒有爭論的必要了。 -欲千北- 給 欲千北 發送悄悄話 欲千北 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 06:28:49

讀文章請抓重點:數據。即在真實感染數據未出來前,目前的估算。"預估““估計”啥區別? -pickshell- 給 pickshell 發送悄悄話 (768 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 06:40:56

如果你開始寫的 “預估” 與 估計 的意思一樣,你為什麽要改動? 不可能有整個群體的真實感染數據,隻有可靠性不一樣的群體估計值。 -欲千北- 給 欲千北 發送悄悄話 欲千北 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 06:53:16

真無所謂,改預估。此文章焦點是在數據出來之前的估算,你給歪成疫情新冠感染前。。 -pickshell- 給 pickshell 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 07:02:42

老兄不僅英文沒讀對,帖子裏的中文“估計”是什麽意思也沒理解對嘛,LOl -老玩家- 給 老玩家 發送悄悄話 老玩家 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 08:34:12

這招一直是老玩家理虧窮盡標配。來看看這句原文,你的翻譯?別說你不會。。 -pickshell- 給 pickshell 發送悄悄話 (204 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 08:44:29

即使用抗體實測結果分析感染比率,強調絕對數字也毫無意義。也隻是“也許,估計".,何況統計計算結果。LOL -老玩家- 給 老玩家 發送悄悄話 老玩家 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 09:00:16

哈哈,老玩家明擺著在歪,在躲避問題焦點。。 -pickshell- 給 pickshell 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 09:04:59

CDC老板用“也許有6千萬人被感染了”,說法很專業。LOL -老玩家- 給 老玩家 發送悄悄話 老玩家 的博客首頁 (239 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 09:11:41

別歪別附加你個人臆想,把CDC Director原話翻譯下有那麽難嗎? -pickshell- 給 pickshell 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 09:47:56

這麽簡單的英文還讀不懂,中文也看不懂,這樣黃帝經怎麽念?無理取鬧,LOL -老玩家- 給 老玩家 發送悄悄話 老玩家 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 11:35:59

你扯那麽多無聊廢話,唯沒膽直視2句原文,你究竟躲/害怕什麽? -pickshell- 給 pickshell 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/24/2020 postreply 13:18:19

請您先登陸,再發跟帖!