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科學能揭示恐怖分子的哪些心理特征

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科學能揭示恐怖分子的哪些心理特征

科拉爾·丹多,威斯敏斯特大學心理學教授,2017年5月26日

https://theconversation.com/what-science-can-reveal-about-the-psychological-profiles-of-terrorists-78304

披露聲明

科拉爾·丹多教授不為任何可能從本文中獲益的公司或組織工作、提供谘詢、持有股份或接受資助,除其學術職務外,未披露任何其他相關關係。

威斯敏斯特大學作為英國對話平台(The Conversation UK)的成員提供資助。

本周,自殺式炸彈襲擊者薩爾曼·阿貝迪在曼徹斯特引爆炸彈,造成22人死亡。在爆炸發生前,他的腦子裏究竟在想些什麽?我們起初常常把恐怖分子視為非人類、怪物。但當我們了解到他們看似是擁有家庭和工作的普通人時,就很難不去思考他們的內心世界究竟是如何運作的。

在20世紀70年代和80年代,探尋恐怖分子的“人格”或“思維模式”主導了心理學研究,時至今日,這仍然是一個重要的研究領域。一項發表在《自然人類行為》雜誌上的新研究評估了66名因實施恐怖活動而被監禁的哥倫比亞準軍事人員的認知和心理特征,該研究認為,道德推理能力低下才是恐怖分子的本質特征。

這類研究背後的理念顯而易見——旨在識別恐怖分子人格的穩定、可預測的特征或“標誌”。如果我們能夠做到這一點,或許就能預測誰會成為恐怖分子,甚至可能阻止他們的發生。但包括我在內的許多心理學家對這類研究持極其謹慎的態度。進行此類研究的研究人員通常會在各種情境下使用大量的心理測量方法、人格測試和智商測試。但對於這些測試的有效性,目前尚無共識。

即便我們真的找到了恐怖分子的標誌,我們又該如何利用這些知識呢?難道我們要終生接受測試嗎?如果我們有一個標記會怎樣?

大規模殺人犯安德斯·布雷維克的上訴案。LISE AASERUD/EPA

“恐怖分子思維”這個術語本身就存在問題,因為它助長了恐怖分子不正常的觀念,導致人們本能地試圖找出這種“異常”。對心理學家來說,“異常”意味著存在某種障礙、缺陷或疾病,使恐怖分子“病態”或與眾不同。這種觀點似乎合情合理,因為它有助於我們理解極端行為。

但恐怖暴行無疑是一係列事件的終點,隻有在事後看來,這些事件才具有意義。如果我們隻關注事件本身,關注恐怖分子當時的行為或他們在行凶前的心理狀態,我們的理解就會被扭曲。這是因為我們忽略了成為恐怖分子的過程。

由學者撰寫,記者編輯,並有證據支持

關於哥倫比亞準軍事組織的研究

當然,在襲擊發生前抓獲恐怖分子並非易事。因此,大多數研究都集中在已被抓獲或被懷疑是恐怖分子的人身上。這項新研究正是如此。被監禁的哥倫比亞準軍事組織成員完成了一係列社會認知測試,並建立了個人檔案——包括對道德認知、智商、執行功能、攻擊性行為和情緒識別能力的評估。然後,研究人員將他們與66名非犯罪人員進行了比較。

研究人員發現,恐怖分子的攻擊性水平高於非犯罪人員,而情緒識別能力則低於非犯罪人員。然而,兩組在智商或執行功能方麵沒有發現差異。恐怖分子與另一組之間最大的差異體現在道德認知上——研究發現,恐怖分子過度依賴結果。作者認為,這種扭曲的道德推理——即“目的可以證明手段正當”——是恐怖分子思維的“標誌”。他們通過讓參與者根據不合理攻擊程度對各種故事進行評分來評估其道德判斷能力。

照片中是1991年至2008年間在哥倫比亞衝突中被遊擊隊或準軍事組織殺害的受害者的親屬。(圖片來源:EPA/Luis Eduardo Noriega)

研究結果引人入勝,似乎也符合直覺。但我們無法確定這種人格特征是否是監禁造成的——我們知道監獄會扭曲認知。如果不是監禁造成的,那麽這種人格特征是與生俱來,還是在加入恐怖組織之前逐漸形成的?

這些問題無法解答,但卻至關重要。此類備受矚目的研究的標題可能會誤導人,甚至適得其反。盡管“恐怖分子是精神病患者或患有人格障礙”的說法頗具吸引力,但目前尚無科學依據支持這一觀點。研究結果往往相互矛盾——一些研究人員認為他們的發現表明恐怖分子有自殺傾向,而另一些研究人員則聲稱他們性格外向、情緒不穩定、放蕩不羈、好鬥、防禦心強或自戀。

事實上,精神病理學

行為更有可能與恐怖主義議程相衝突而非為其提供幫助——畢竟,恐怖主義依賴於承諾、動機和紀律。

激進化的心理學

許多心理學家認為,恐怖襲擊發生前幾年發生的事件,即所謂的激進化過程,對於解釋一個人為何會轉向政治暴力最為重要。然而,恐怖主義心理學的研究尚不深入。現有的概念模型缺乏實證支持,而且往往局限於特定的極端主義團體和意識形態。

越來越多的心理學家開始相信,一些關鍵的心理因素是激進化過程的基礎。這些因素包括動機、群體意識形態以及促使人們逐漸疏遠昔日朋友的社會過程。與其試圖通過測量來預測,我們或許應該將資源投入到更好地理解是什麽驅使個人加入暴力極端主義的行列。是人類渴望被認可的基本需求驅使人們去尋找與自己有著相似經曆的人嗎?心理學證據表明,對意義的追求或許確實是極端主義行為的重要驅動因素。

所謂的“伊斯蘭國”(IS)。圖片來源:Alibaba2k16/wikipedia,CC BY-SA

然而,顯而易見的是,許多複雜因素與激進化直接或間接相關。人格和認知能力會隨時間變化,因此似乎與預測無關。但值得注意的是,由於認知障礙、殘疾或精神疾病,社會上的許多人容易受到恐怖組織的操縱和控製,從而實施恐怖行為。

鑒於恐怖主義的複雜性和不斷演變的特性,承認預測可能永遠不可能,或許有助於改進該領域的研究。高質量的心理學研究旨在尋找激進化過程的標誌,例如著裝、行為和社交圈的變化——這些變化似乎在阿貝迪等人身上有所體現——可能會卓有成效。事實上,去激進化方案在反恐鬥爭中正變得越來越重要。

幸運的是,我們對恐怖分子尋求意義的探索了解得越多,就越能理解激進化背後的身份認同和社會問題。因此,我們完全有理由樂觀地認為,心理學可以成為反恐鬥爭中的有力工具。

What science can reveal about the psychological profiles of terrorists

 Professor of Psychology, University of Westminster  May 26, 2017 

https://theconversation.com/what-science-can-reveal-about-the-psychological-profiles-of-terrorists-78304?

 

 

Disclosure statement

Coral Dando does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

University of Westminster provides funding as a member of The Conversation UK.

What went though the mind of the suicide bomber Salman Abedi just before he blew himself up in Manchester this week, killing 22 people? We often dismiss terrorists as non-humans, monsters, at first. But when we learn that they were seemingly normal individuals with families and jobs, it’s hard not to wonder about how their minds really work.

The search for a terrorist “personality” or “mindset” dominated psychological research in the 1970s and 1980s and remains a significant area for research today. A new study published in Nature Human Behaviour, which assessed the cognitive and psychological profiles of 66 Colombian paramilitaries imprisoned for committing terrorist acts, now argues that poor moral reasoning is what defines terrorists.

The idea behind such research is obvious – it’s to identify stable, predictive traits or “markers” of terrorist personalities. If we could do that, we may be able to predict who will become a terrorist – and perhaps prevent it. But this type of research is viewed by many psychologists, myself included, with extreme caution. Researchers carrying out such studies typically use a myriad of psychometric measures, personality and IQ tests in various contexts. But there’s no consensus on how useful these tests are.

And even if we did manage to pin down terrorist markers, what would we do with this knowledge? Would we all be tested across our lifespan? What would happen if we had a marker?

Appeal case of mass murderer Anders Breivik. LISE AASERUD/EPA

The term “terrorist mindset” is also problematic because it fuels the notion that terrorists are abnormal, resulting in knee-jerk endeavours to uncover the abnormality. For psychologists, abnormal suggests presence of a disorder, deficit or illness which makes terrorists “sick” or different. This idea seems plausible because it helps us come to terms with extreme behaviour.

But terrorist atrocities are undoubtedly the end of a chain of events which only achieve significance with the benefit of hindsight. By focusing on the event itself, how the terrorist was behaving at that time or how he/she may have been thinking in the immediate run up, our understanding becomes distorted. This is because the process of becoming a terrorist has been overlooked.

Written by academics, edited by journalists, backed by evi

Study on Colombian paramilitaries

Of course it’s not easy to get hold of terrorists prior to an attack. Most research therefore concerns terrorists that have been caught or are suspected terrorists. The new study did just this. Imprisoned Columbian paramilitaries completed a battery of social-cognitive tests, creating individual profiles – including assessments of moral cognition, IQ, executive functioning, aggressive behaviour and emotion recognition. They were then compared with 66 non-criminals.

The researchers found terrorists had higher levels of aggression and lower levels of emotion recognition than non-criminals. However, no differences were found between the groups for IQ or executive functioning. The biggest difference between the terrorists and the other group was seen in moral cognition – they found that terrorists are guided by an abnormal over-reliance on outcomes. The authors argue that this distorted moral reasoning – that the ends justify the means – is the “hallmark” of a terrorist mindset. They assessed moral judgement by asking participants to rate various stories according to levels of unjustified aggression.

Relatives of a victim killed in a Colombian conflict by guerrilla or paramilitaries between 1991 and 2008. EPA/Luis Eduardo Noriega

The results are intriguing and seem intuitive. But we cannot be sure that this profile wasn’t a result of their incarceration – we know that prison distorts cognition. If not, was it present from birth or did it develop in the run up to becoming part of a terrorist group?

These questions cannot be answered, yet they are fundamental. Headline statements from high-profile research of this nature can be misleading and counter-productive. Despite its appeal, there is no scientific support for the idea that terrorists are psychopaths or have a personality disorder. Often research is contradictory – some researchers argue that their findings show terrorists to be suicidal while others claim they are extrovert, unstable, uninhibitedaggressive, defensive or narcissistic.

In fact, psycho-pathological behaviours are more likely to conflict with a terrorist agenda than aid it – it after all relies on commitment, motivation and discipline.

The psychology of radicalisation

Many psychologists believe that the events which occur in the years before a terrorist attack, referred to as radicalisation, offer most in terms of trying to answer why a person might turn to political violence. However, the psychology of terrorism is not well advanced. There is little empirical evidence to support existing conceptual models – and they are often limited to particular extremist groups and ideologies.

More and more psychologists are now beginning to believe that a number of key psychological components are fundamental to the radicalisation process. These include motivation, group ideologies and social processes that encourage progressive distancing from former friends, for example. Rather than measuring to predict, we might be better off devoting resources to improve understanding of what motivates individuals to join the ranks of violent extremists. Is it the fundamental human need to matter that makes people seek out others who share their reality? Psychological evidence indicates the quest for significance may indeed be an important driver of extremist behaviour.

The so-called Islamic State (IS). Alibaba2k16/wikipediaCC BY-SA

However, it is clear that a number of complicated factors are directly and indirectly related to radicalisation. Personality and cognitive performance may change over time and therefore seem irrelevant for prediction purposes. But it is important to note that many in society are vulnerable to being manipulated and managed by terrorist groups to perform terrorist acts because of a cognitive impairment, disability or mental illness.

Accepting that prediction may never be possible because of the complex, evolving nature of terrorism might improve the nature of research in this domain. Quality psychological research aimed at searching for markers of the radicalisation process, such as changes in dress, behaviour and social circles – which appear to have been present in the case of Abedi and others – may be fruitful. Indeed de-radicalisation schemes are increasingly important in the fight against terrorism.

Luckily, the more we find out about terrorists’ quest for significance the better we can understand the identity and social issues that are fundamental to radicalisation. So there’s every reason to be optimistic that psychology can be a powerful tool in the fight against terrorism.

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