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《最後的戰爭：人工智能將如何影響印度與中國的最終攤牌》
2022年8月5日，作者：Pravin Sawhney
如果印度和中國在不久的將來開戰，印度將麵臨在十天內輸掉戰爭的可能。中國可以以最小的人員傷亡拿下阿魯納恰爾邦和拉達克，而印度對此束手無策。這是因為印度軍隊正在為一場錯誤的戰爭做準備。在這本令人大開眼界又令人不安的書中，軍事專家兼暢銷書作家Pravin Sawhney詳細解釋了這種令人擔憂的局麵將如何發展。
中印戰爭將讓人想起1991年的海灣戰爭。美軍在太空資源的支持下，將傳感器與射擊武器和製導彈藥連接起來的作戰網絡，在世界各國軍隊中引起了震驚和敬畏。同樣，中印戰爭將以人工智能、新興技術的使用震驚世界。技術、多領域作戰、富有想象力的戰爭理念以及人機協作。自2017年洞朗危機以來，中國一直在為此做準備，此後，中國永久性地增兵實際控製線。
作者認為，中國的超級大國地位隻會不斷增強，兩國之間的“能力差距”也會擴大。如果爆發全麵戰爭，印度軍隊將無法與中國人工智能支持的戰爭機器匹敵。在這樣的戰爭中，傳統的常規力量將處於巨大的劣勢，核武器將毫無作用，單個士兵的英勇也將變得無關緊要。印度正在磨練其在陸、空、海三個物理領域作戰的優勢，而解放軍則致力於在七個領域——空、陸、海（包括深海作戰）、外層空間、網絡空間、電磁頻譜和近太空（又稱高超音速領域）——占據壓倒性優勢。解放軍的顛覆性技術將在敵對行動開始後的72小時內擊潰印度，並迅速終結印度的抵抗。主要戰場並非陸地，而是網絡空間和電磁頻譜。《最後的戰爭》解釋了為什麽印度必須努力防止此類戰爭的發生。
印度應避免與美國聯合作戰，因為美國在該地區的力量正在削弱。相反，印度應該尋求與目前的主要對手中國和巴基斯坦實現和平，同時努力增強其在尚未集中資源的領域的軍事和技術實力。隻有這樣，印度的邊境才能牢不可破，該地區未來的和平與繁榮才能得到保障。
"THE LAST WAR How AI Will Shape India's Final Showdown With China
Aug. 5 2022 by Pravin Sawhney (Author)
If India and China were to fight a war in thenear future, India faces the prospect of losing the war within ten days. Chinacould take Arunachal Pradesh and Ladakh with a minimum loss of life, and thereis very little that India could do about it. This is because the Indianmilitary is preparing for the wrong war. In this eye-opening and disquietingbook, military expert and bestselling author Pravin Sawhney explains in greatdetail how this alarming scenario could play out.
China'swar with India will be reminiscent of the 1991 Gulf War. The US military'sbattle networks connecting sensors to shooters and guided munitions withsupport from space assets had induced shock and awe in militaries worldwide.Similarly, China's war with India will stun the world with the use ofartificial intelligence, emerging technologies, multi-domain operations, imaginative war concepts, and collaboration between humans and intelligentrobots. China has been preparing for this since the 2017 Doklam crisis afterwhich it permanently augmented its troops across the Line of Actual Control.Theauthor argues that China's superpower status will only grow and the'capabilities lag' between the two countries will expand. And if there isoutright war, the Indian military will be no match for China's AI-backed warmachines.
In such a war, traditional conventional forces will be at a hugedisadvantage, nuclear weapons will have no role to play, and the valour ofindividual soldiers will be of no consequence. India is honing its strengths tofight a war in the three physical domains of land, air, and the sea, whereasthe PLA is working on becoming the overwhelmingly superior force in sevendomains-air, land, sea (including deep-sea warfare), outer space, cyber space, the electromagnetic spectrum, and near space (aka the hypersonic domain). ThePLA's disruption technologies will overwhelm India within the first seventy-twohours of hostilities commencing, and will lead to the quick end of India'sresistance. The primary battleground will not be on land but in cyberspace andthe electromagnetic spectrum. TheLast War explains why it's critical that India works to prevent such a warever taking place.
It should avoid focusing onjoint combat with the US, whose power in the region is weakening. Instead, India should seek to make peace with China and Pakistan, its main adversariesat the moment, while simultaneously working to enhance its military andtechnological strengths in areas that it hasn't focused its resources on. Onlythen will the country's borders be firmly secure, and the region's future peaceand prosperity be assured.
