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例解:理解主力資金的意圖及其操盤手法

(2013-08-01 00:06:30) 下一個
例解:理解主力資金的意圖及其操盤手法

Sub-Title 盤外因素幫助洗盤:Case Study SNDK

SNDK在2-5連跌後,Tues July 30, 2013開盤前被Downgrade:

July 30, 2013 BEFORE MARKET OPEN:

Goldman Sachs Downgrades SanDisk (SNDK) to Neutral, Sees Greater NAND Supply

July 30, 2013 7:16 AM EDT

http://www.streetinsider.com/Analyst+Comments/Goldman+Sachs+Downgrades+SanDisk+(SNDK)+to+Neutral,+Sees+Greater+NAND+Supply/8543645.html

Goldman Sachs downgraded SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) from Buy to Neutral with a price target of $65, saying faster industry supply additions create margin risk.

In its downgrade, Goldman analyst James Schneider, Ph.D. cited three main reasons: (1) We now believe greater NAND supply may be added in the next few quarters than we previously assumed, which could drive meaningful near-term price declines; (2) The stock is correlated to gross margins, and we think gross margins are likely to peak in 2H13 given price compression and slower cost reductions in this timeframe; (3) With the stock trading within 14% of our price target, we see limited upside."

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on SanDisk click here. For more ratings news on SanDisk click here.

Shares of SanDisk closed at $55.40 yesterday, with a 52 week range of $38.47-$63.97.

當日Gap-Down Open然後收反轉陽線,放大量=4倍Average日成交量。這已經表明是階段性行情裏最後一跌式的洗盤。

Wedn July 31, 2013開盤前接著又被Downgrade:

July 31, 2013 BEFORE MARKET OPEN:

BMO Capital Downgrades SanDisk (SNDK) to Underperform

July 31, 2013 6:53 AM EDT

http://www.streetinsider.com/Analyst+PT+Change/BMO+Capital+Downgrades+SanDisk+(SNDK)+to+Underperform/8549026.html

BMO Capital downgraded SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) from Market Perform to Underperform with a price target of $40.00 (from $59.00).

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on SanDisk click here. For more ratings news on SanDisk click here.

Shares of SanDisk closed at $54.53 yesterday, with a 52 week range of $38.47-$63.97.

當日略微低開(機構也是分等級的,BMO Capital沒有GS的分量重,所以衝擊小一些,當然主力資金可以隨意解讀,要的是必須有個如此這般的消息),收陽線,雖然成交量隻有昨日量的一半,但相比於Average日成交量,依然是2倍量的溫和放量。最後一跌的洗盤後加強效果,雙保險!

Wedn July 31, 2013收盤後出所謂“實質性FA好消息”:

July 31, 2013 AFTER MARKET CLOSE:

SNDK went up $1.88 to $57 after closing at $55.12 with the following news:

SanDisk Up 4%: Initiates $0.225/Sh Dividend, $2.5B Billion New Buybacks

July 31, 2013, 6:48 P.M. ET

http://blogs.barrons.com/techtraderdaily/2013/07/31/sandisk-up-4-initiates-0-225sh-dividend-2-5b-billion-new-buybacks/?mod=yahoobarrons

Shares of memory chip maker SanDisk (SNDK) are up $2.31, or 4.2%, at $57.43, after the company this evening announced its board approved initiation of a dividend of 22.5 cents per share per quarter, and $2.5 billion in new share buybacks.

The buybacks add to the current authorization for $3.75 billion in buying authority. The company said $1 billion will be spent via an accelerated share repurchase during the current quarter.

The initial dividend payment is expected on August 30th to holders of record as of August 12th. The payout has a current yield of 1.6% based on SanDisk’s close today of $55.12.

AH股價大漲4%至100SMA.
場外沒有低價格進入的機會了!

2-5連跌後還在苦熬拒絕交出籌碼的人被這個連環拳組合洗出來了,洗不出來的就是堅定多頭了!

被洗出來的就沒有機會再以低價格重新進入了!

SNDK階段性風險被完全釋放!無任何風險了!

這是所有交易信號類型裏最好的、最安全的買點!

盤後出FA消息(無論TA還是FA都是“實質性”利好!)使得股價Gap-up,表明,不隻是風險被完全釋放,而且是主力資金下重手、幹淨徹底完成階段性洗盤目的的表現!

經曆了異常漂亮的200SMA之上懸空島型反轉洗盤,SNDK必將快速創新年高!

這是盤外因素結合TA進行分析,並理解主力資金意圖的經典案例!

Successful Trading與FA完全無關!

點擊圖片可看大圖:

SNDK20130731

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閱讀 ()評論 (3)
評論
rp2002 回複 悄悄話 是麽?我怎麽覺得它會反彈一些然後繼續走低,58-60似乎會有強力的賣盤壓力,
St-watcher 回複 悄悄話 它可能走出4月中5月初那樣的雙底嗎?可能性會因這次兩降級而降低,對嗎?
豬邏輯 回複 悄悄話 強!
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