08/31/11：短線市場進入消息靜默期

08/31/11：短線市場進入消息靜默期

將延續目前最小阻力方向：向上，即要麽小漲，要麽橫盤。經曆短線連續強勢上漲之後，以橫盤代替回調，就是強勢的表現。

原定於9月2日的總統振興經濟演講，將移到9月8日：

Obama yields to Boehner's Sept. 8 speech timing
http://news.yahoo.com/obama-yields-boehners-sept-8-speech-timing-023856606.html

到9月7日Boehner's的演講之前的三個交易日（下周一Labor Day休市），將會是消息靜默，日線不會波動太大。

大動靜將視BAC  which 島形反轉後日線上在窄幅橫盤強勢調整。AMZN/AAPL/IBM/BIDU等前期領漲股已經調整完畢，日線上恢複了強勢。Rotated Leader  CSCO日線上也確認了強勢。

TA自8月26日上個星期五開盤一小時後重新開始高概率地起作用了。從8月2日SPX徑直跌下200SMA 1285，到8月25日，除了8月9日星期二，在Fed Chairman Bernanke 沉默地Release FOMC  result後，先誘空向下連跌破位，最後一個小時強勢迅速大幅反轉，預示了中短線鐵底之外，其它所有時間，TA在這種幅度的振幅和Votality之下，可靠度不高。這種情況下的策略，在判斷中長線後市的基礎上，要麽空倉，要麽不調倉。

[feile]

There are so much information from Wall Street everyday, a solid judgement is much needed. I believe expert like you do have your own approach/sense. I am trying to get there one day.
Many thanks and enjoy the weekend!

[FreeTrader]

回複feile的評論:
Target prices never make sense, neither how long it takes to get some price does.

My personal methodology appreciates no FA, so Ipad etc has nothing to do with AAPL price.

However, I do think AAPL will go new all time high before year end.

[feile]

Thanks again for sharing your very timely thoughts!
AAPL has a target price of $490, could you mind provide your sence of view? Be there in 6 months? I would think so considering that the majority of people still do not have Ipad, Iphone yet; and of cource they have lots of cash on hand. Have a peaceful day ~