昨日,物理GOLD,包括石油曾一度下跌,但石油股和黃金股確最終上升,出現背離現象,是不是反轉信號?
推論:當在局部底部或頂部出現商品期貨與其相關的股票的背離現象時,有可能是相關股票的反轉信號.
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TSX自4.19高點下滑調整以來,已三月餘,市場熊汽十足.
目前,TSX處於什麽形勢?MM在過去三月在幹些什麽?未來的底部在哪?作為投資人應采取何種對策應得?
本文就這些問題做不成熟的分析和探討,不對之處,歡迎批評指正.
1)有專家認為指數回調幅度超過10%被認為是趨勢改變.TSX在4.19到達其曆史高點12464.49,並在6.13回調到10860.72,回調幅度為-12.87%.按這一觀點衡量,TSX的上升趨勢已改[
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Editor'snote:ChrisCiovacco'ssevenpartserieswillresumeshortly.ExecutiveSummary:·Investorscandowellinbothgoodandbadeconomictimes(seebelow).·Theoddsnowhighlyfavorasignificanteconomicslowdownorarecession.·TheNASDAQhasrecentlybrokenits3.6yearuptrend.·Historically,stockshavenotperformedwellinthisseasonalperiodwhenaU.S.Presidentisatthemidpointofhistermandelectionsareheldinthefall.·Interestrates...[
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June26,2006TheRoleofPreciousMetalsinanInvestmentPortfolio
byNickBarisheff
Whilesomeinvestorsviewpreciousmetalsasashort-termcyclicalspeculation,thereareactuallythreeimportantreasonsforincludingpreciousmetalsineveryinvestmentportfolio.Theseare:strategicassetallocation,hedgingandtacticalassetallocation.StrategicAssetAllocationStrategicassetallocationisamethodusedtofullydiversifyinvestmentport...[
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昨日TSX在支撐點11400處反彈.11400~11500是敏感地帶,因為:
1.是支撐區間;
2.是200天均線出;
3.靠近50天均線;
突破這個敏感地帶對TSX未來的走勢具有重要意義:
若向上突破,則為N型BULLPANTERN,若進一步突破11900,則為三個月的頭肩底部形態;
若向下突破,則50天均線下穿200天均線,形成死交叉,同時指數跌破200天均線,則進一步下探10900.
何去何從?讓我們拭目以待.[
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截至六月三十日止,2006年TSX領先板塊TOP5如下:
1.S&P/TSXCappedDiversMetals&Mining(32.22%);
2.S&P/TSXCappedGold(17.69%);
2.S&P/TSXCappedMaterials(15.21%);
4.S&P/TSXCappedEnergy(9.24%);
5.S&P/TSXCappedINCOMETRUST(3.86%);
前四名的排序較上月沒有變化.
THEWORST5板塊如下:
1.S&P/TSXCappedInfoTech(-12.19%);
2.S&P/TSXCappedUtilities(-9.96%);閱讀全文]
ANGELABARNESWednesday,July5,2006TheCanadianequitiesmarketmayhaveweakenedinrecentweeks,butthathasn'tchangedfundmanagerPeterHarrison'supbeatviewfortheyearasawhole.HestillexpectstheS&P/TSXcompositeindex,whichisup4.1percentsofarin2006,toshowagainofabout10percentfortheyearasawhole.Heseesthemarketmovingsidewaystoslightlydowninthesummer.Buttheninthefall,"thefundamentalswillcomebackintoplay,"pushingthemar...[
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看了今天的報道,石油真的可能會到$100.
技術上,$WTIC,今天可能突破75.4,近期這一波可能到$80.上升通道的上沿逐次逼近100.
http://today.reuters.com/business/newsarticle.aspx?type=ousiv&storyID=2006-07-06T103410Z_01_L06887107_RTRIDST_0_BUSINESSPRO-ENERGY-ROGERS-DC.XML&pageNumber=0&imageid=&cap=&sz=13&WTModLoc=BizArt-C1-ArticlePage3
http://today.reuters.com/business/newsar...[
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今日AMEX石油指數$XOI出現旗行突破,是BULL信號.同樣的形態TSXCAPPEDENERGY指數$SPTEN需要到突破345,而今日SPTEN是337.49;LIGHT Crude$WTIC不太象旗行,實現同樣的突破需達到$73,今日收72.15;[
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今日TSX在遭遇200天均線處阻力衝高回落.MM獲利回吐.
跟上次反彈500點一樣,這掄反彈也恰在多重阻力(200天均線和11400阻力)處出現烏雲蓋頂,500點回落,有可能短期轉向.未來兩周有可能再次測試前期底部10900.[
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