金山投資理財

風險聲明:這是一個記載學習理財炒股的個人心得筆記. 對他人采用本博客信息導致的失誤和損失本人不承擔任何義務和責任,敬請鑒涼.
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來源:粉腸仔於06-09-2220:09:24[檔案][博客][舊帖][轉至博客][給我悄悄話]
一、空間、時間、動量 
 看盤時,要掌握空間、時間、動量三要素。 
 (一)阻力與支撐——空間的兩種表現形式。
 指數走勢圖是多空雙方力量對比的明證,當多方力量強時,向上走,當空頭力量強時,向下降,就這樣簡單。好比一個人爬山與滑雪。爬山時會遇到障礙,影響向上的力度,[閱讀全文]
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(2006-09-26 06:15:42)

KeltnerChannelTheKeltnerChannelisbasedontheAverageTrueRangeandissensitivetovolatility.Itmaybeusedinplaceofstandarddeviation(Bollinger)bandsorpercentageenvelopes.OverviewTheKeltnerChannelismadeupoftwobandsplottedaroundanExponentialMovingAverage(EMA),usuallythe20-dayEMA.Pricesbreakingthroughthebandsoftenproducebuyandsellsignals.TheindicatorwasoriginallydevelopedbyChesterKeltnerandlatermodifiedbyLind...[閱讀全文]
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(2006-09-26 05:49:10)


觀察結論:
1.在過去20年中石油在50周KELTNER波段低端得到支撐,最近的50周KELTNER波段低端是59;
2.在一個牛市的KELTNER波段軌跡中,指數通常衝破波段高端,調整的支撐點通常在波段中線;
3.反之在一個熊市的KELTNER波段軌跡中,指數通常跌破波段低端,反彈的的阻力點通常在波段中線;
4.最近的50周KELTNER波段中線阻力在67~71;
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(2006-09-25 18:16:20)
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(2006-09-25 09:42:56)
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SixredflagsLightlyregulatedhedgefundsarethefastest-growingsegmentoftheCanadianfinancialmarket.Withexpertssayingmoreflameoutsareboundtohappeninthesector,hereareafewwarningsignsthatinvestorsshouldconsider.1.Higher-than-averagereturnsIfyoubelieveyou'reinvestinginalow-riskhedgefund,lookatyourreturns.Adouble-digitreturninasinglemonthmayindicateyou'renotinalow-riskfund,accordingtoTimMungovan,apartneratN...[閱讀全文]
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(2006-09-19 19:14:18)
Lazy,Boring...PortfolioWinnersThursday,July20,2006ByPaulB.FarrellARROYOGRANDE,Calif.—Dull,boringsnoozers.Yep,that'sourfive"LazyPortfolios!"WhenImentionthemtomybuddiesatthePismoBeachAthleticClubtheyyawnandshaketheirheads:"Yeahlazy,butnofun!"Mycomeback:"Ifyouwanttogamble,gotoVegas—atleastyou'llenjoyCeline,CatsandCirqueduSoleilwhilelosingyourretirementnestegg.Remember,WallS...[閱讀全文]
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(2006-09-19 18:07:08)
PaulB.Farrel寫了一篇文章:"StrategiesforaBearMarket",原文見:http://www.foxnews.com/printer_friendly_story/0,3566,197187,00.html.
現摘要如下"
Strategy1.GetoutnowandgotocashRememberthe2000-2003bearmarket,themassive43%lossofmarketcapandabrutaltechcrash.Soonceagain,rememberWarrenBuffett'sNo.1ruleofinvesting:Neverlosemoney.Maybeusethecashtopaydownmortgages,payoffdebt.Strategy2.Ult...[閱讀全文]
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(2006-09-17 05:55:36)

唐人街同誌的退休計劃(本案例為虛構,如有雷同,純屬巧合)唐人街同誌,現年36歲,計劃65歲退休,預期壽命93歲.定期買RRSP,目前RRSP帳戶現有金額:$10,000投資帳戶考慮增長型基金,假定長期平均回報率為8%.退休目標家庭年收入(稅前):$47,058.82(今日價值);退休時除RRSP帳戶外的其他收入來源:老年金(OAS):$5,311,CPP:$9,465;NON-RRSP帳戶:$2,000,合計:$16,776.退休時,稅率:23%假定通貨膨脹率,年平均為:3%.計劃[閱讀全文]
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