ROBCARRICKSaturday,March3,2007Thecommonwisdomoninvestingriskisthatthingsgodownaswellasup,butinthelongrunyouwin.Ifyou'rehappywiththatlevelofunderstandingaboutthehazardsofbeinginthestockmarket,that'sfine.Butifyou'vewatchedthemarketgyrationsofthepastweekandwanttoknowmoreaboutthepotentialdangerspotsinyourportfolio,thenreadonbecausethiseditionofthePortfolioStrategycolumnisallaboutrisk.We'llrunsomeriskd...[
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1.一個具有較大成交量的向下跳空,被一個較小成交量填補,將成為阻力區;
2.一個具有較大成交量向上跳空,被一個較小成交量填補,將成為支持區;
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1.大盤(TSX):收:13095,漲61(0.47%).
今日兩次測試:13100會落.成當日M頭部.近兩天成交量均小於均量.反彈力度有限,反映投資者謹慎從事.
2.石油(WTIC),收61.81.仍收在短期趨勢線上.阻力:62,支持:59.5.若跌破59.5,則短期趨勢線破壞.
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今天,黃金繼續上漲,GLD如期到達設置的目標64.95.獲利了結.不計手續費,獲利3.21%.[
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前幾天,石油,黃金極其相關的商品期指(CCI,CRB)均跌破上升趨勢線,發出賣出信號.這兩天,石油,黃金極其相關的商品期指有出現反彈,其中石油和商品期指又重回上升趨勢線,剛好CLOSE在趨勢線上.見下圖:
先考察石油圖:
1.石油去年9月直到年底有一個近四個月的箱型盤整理區:58~64.然後跌坡整理區;快速下跌到52.觸底反彈;
2.自今年一月中,石油開始上行,形成一契型上升形態,並突[
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今日,因石油重上上升通道,TSX出現第二天反彈.是買入機會來了嗎?
試圖分析一下,下圖是TSX在11:00AM的日線圖:
圖中幾個觀察如下:
1.TSX在2月28日出現大幅度SELL-OFF,跌坡短期上升趨勢線(S2);
2.再接下來的三天中,TSX再次跌破中期(1~6個月)上升趨勢線(S1)和水平支持線(R,後成為現在的阻力線);是非常看熊的形式;
3.TSX在這兩天反彈,上行的阻力是13000(R).
由於TSX逼近阻力,現在[
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ByCraigTorres
March6(Bloomberg)--FormerFederalReserveChairmanAlanGreenspansaidthere'sa``one-thirdprobability''ofaU.S.recessionthisyearandthecurrentexpansionwon'thavethestayingpowerofitsdecade-longpredecessor.
``Weareinthesixthyearofarecovery;imbalancescanemergeasaresult,''Greenspan,81,saidinaninterviewyesterdayathisofficeindowntownWashington.``Ten-yearrecoverieshavebeenpartofamuchbroa...[
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Greenspanfearsrecession-reportFormerFedchiefwarnsthatU.S.economynearingendofgrowthperiod.February262007:9:06AMESTNEWYORK(CNNMoney.com)--FormerFederalReserveChairmanAlanGreenspanwarnedMondaythattheeconomymayfallintorecessionbytheendof2007,accordingtoapublishedreport.Greenspantoldabusinessconferencethatit'sdifficulttoforecastthetimingofrecessionsbutthatitwas"possible"thatonecouldoccurlaterthisyear,t...[
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byJohnRubino
byJohnRubinoAllyouworriedgoldbugsoutthere,repeatafterme:Correctionshappen.Everybullmarkethaslotsof5%-10%squigglesthatlookliketheendoftheworldtothosewhodon'tunderstand,andlikeentrypointstothosewhodo.GoldMoney'sJamesTurkdevotesapageofhislatestFreeMarketGold&MoneyReporttothepropositionthatthesecularbullmarketinpreciousmetals(andtheseculardeclineinthedollar)isaliveandwell.Here'sso...[
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MoneyandMarketsTuesday,March6,2007
DearSubscriber,TheShenzhen/ShanghaiIndexof300stocksfell9.2%lastTuesday.Why?BecausetheStateCouncil,China’shighestrulingbody,saiditstartedaspecialtaskforcetoclampdownonillegalshareofferingsandotherbannedactivities.Investorswereworriedthatthegovernment’szealcoulddamagethewholestockmarket.There’snoquestionthat9.2%isabigsingle-daydrop.However,justlookingatthato...[
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