特朗普時代：權力向中國轉移，新的全球規則遲遲未能出台
一項關於如何幫助非洲國家（世界上大多數最貧困人口的所在地）的新全球契約至關重要。
溢價
插圖：比奈·辛哈
T N Ninan 2025年1月14日
隨著唐納德·特朗普再次就任美國總統，世界正處於一場重大變革之中。自二戰以來，即使是最強大的國家也願意限製國家主權，因為它們在很大程度上同意遵守全球規則並采取合作行動。這些規則涵蓋了廣泛的領域——不僅包括貿易和關稅，還包括核武器、海洋法以及國家邊界的神聖性。
這種情況的改變有兩個原因。首先是中國的崛起以及隨之而來的全球力量轉移。中國是
穀歌人工智能
https://www.google.com/search?q=In+a+Trumpian+world%3A+Power+shift
在一個以“特朗普式”國際關係模式為主導的世界，其特點是“美國優先”政策和注重雙邊協議，全球權力向中國轉移，可能會推遲新的國際規則和規範的建立。這是因為，在特朗普領導下，美國更加孤立，這為中國創造了空間來展現其影響力，並可能製定自己的標準，尤其是在科技和綠色能源等領域，而傳統的西方主導的機構則難以適應。
以下是更詳細的分析：
多邊主義的侵蝕：
特朗普式的做法優先考慮雙邊協議而非多邊合作，削弱了現有的國際秩序及其既定規則。
中國崛起為全球大國：
隨著美國逐漸退出國際領導地位，中國越來越有能力填補這一空白，尤其是在其擁有技術或經濟優勢的領域，例如綠色技術。
中國對標準的影響：
中國在某些技術領域（例如綠色能源和人工智能）的主導地位，可能導致其使用受到中國標準的約束，從而有效地塑造全球格局。
新規則製定的難度：
由於美國專注於雙邊協議，而中國正在積極維護自身影響力，新的全球規則和規範的製定出現了延誤，而這些規則和規範通常需要通過國際合作來製定。
對全球治理的影響：
這種轉變可能導致國際體係更加碎片化和交易化，合作將由特定利益驅動，而非廣泛的共同目標。
從本質上講，“特朗普式”的做法，雖然可能旨在振興美國，但可能會無意中加速中國在全球的崛起，並阻礙建立一個普遍認可的新全球秩序。
In a Trumpian world: Power shift to China delays new global rules
In a Trumpian world: Power shift to China delays new global rules
A new global compact on how to help African countries, home to most of the world's poorest, will be essential
As Donald Trump assumes office again as US President, the world is caught amidst seminal change. Since World War II, even the most powerful countries were willing to limit national sovereignty, in that they agreed, for the most part, to abide by global rules and cooperative action. Such rules were framed on a wide range of subjects — not just trade and tariffs, but also nuclear arms, the law of the sea, and the sanctity of national borders.
This has changed for two reasons. The first is the rise of China, and the accompanying shift of global power. China is
Google AI
In a world shaped by a "Trumpian" approach to international relations, characterized by an "America First" policy and a focus on bilateral deals, the shift in global power towards China is likely to delay the establishment of new international rules and norms. This is because a more isolationist United States under Trump creates space for China to assert its influence and potentially set its own standards, particularly in areas like technology and green energy, while traditional Western-led institutions struggle to adapt.
Here's a more detailed look:
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Erosion of Multilateralism:
A Trumpian approach, prioritizing bilateral agreements over multilateral cooperation, weakens the existing international order and its established rules.
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China's Rise as a Global Power:
As the US retreats from international leadership, China is increasingly positioned to fill the void, particularly in areas where it holds a technological or economic advantage, like green technology.
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China's Influence on Standards:
China's dominance in certain technologies, like green energy and AI, may lead to the adoption of Chinese standards governing their use, effectively shaping the global landscape.
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Difficulty in Establishing New Rules:
With the US focused on bilateral deals and China asserting its own influence, there is a delay in forging new global rules and norms that would typically be shaped through international cooperation.
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Impact on Global Governance:
This shift can lead to a more fragmented and transactional international system, where cooperation is driven by specific interests rather than broad, shared goals.
In essence, the "Trumpian" approach, while perhaps intended to revitalize the US, may inadvertently accelerate China's rise to global prominence and hinder the establishment of a new, universally agreed-upon global order.
