風蕭蕭_Frank
以文會友
CIA局長：與中國脫鉤很蠢 現在是招俄間諜好時機
▲美國中央情報局局長伯恩斯。（圖／達誌影像／美聯社）
美國中情局（CIA）局長伯恩斯（WilliamBurns）於1日表示，考慮到美中經濟高度互相依賴，與中國脫鉤將是愚蠢的做法。他也提到，俄羅斯內部對烏克蘭戰爭的不滿，是招募間諜“千載難逢”的機會，CIA不會白白浪費。
伯恩斯1日前往英國牛津郡，在關注英美關係的“迪奇利基金會”（DitchleyFoundation）發表演說，“中國是既有意圖重塑國際秩序，也擁有越來越大的經濟、外交、軍事及科技力量做到這一點的唯一國家”，不過“在當今的世界裏，沒有國家希望自己在關鍵礦產及科技領域任由『一國聯盟』擺布。”
伯恩斯認為，美國必須嚐試讓供應鏈更多元化，並對中國“去風險”，“不要與一個像是中國這樣的經濟體脫鉤，這將是愚蠢的，但要明智地去風險並且多元化，透過確保供應鏈的彈性，保護我們的科技優勢，並且投資工業產能。”
路透社指出，伯恩斯曾經擔任美國駐莫斯科大使，他在同一場演說中也提到俄羅斯局勢，“在國家宣傳及鎮壓下，對戰爭的不滿將持續侵蝕俄羅斯領導層。這種不滿為CIA的我們創造了千載難逢的機會，而我們的核心正是人類情報服務。我們不會讓它白白浪費。”
CIA's Burns Chooses To Attack Putin, Praise 'Anglo-American Partnership' in Ditchley Foundation Speech
July 2, 2023, 2022 (EIRNS)—CIA Director William Burns chose an address to Britain's Ditchley Foundation to make repeated attacks yesterday against Russian President Vladimir Putin and Russia, stating that the CIA has a wide opening to recruit people in Russia, and expressing “an enduring appreciation of the power and purpose of the trans-Atlantic Alliance and of the particular significance of Anglo-American partnership.”
The Ditchley Foundation, a force of British intelligence, was founded in 1958, in Oxfordshire to promote Anglo-American working relationships. Chairman Jonathan Hopkin Hill, Baron Hill of Oareford, is a director of The Times newspaper, member of the House of Lords, former Leader of the House of Lords, and former Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, responsible to the British Sovereign for administration of the Duchy, which is a private estate owned by the monarch.
In the course of the 59th Ditchley Annual Lecture July 1, Burns, former U.S. Ambassador to Russia (2005-2008), described his speech as a homecoming: “I first came here in 1979 as a young and unformed Marshall Scholar at Oxford ... but the effect it had on me was profound.” His enduring appreciation of the Anglo-American partnership was a guiding thread of his speech.
Burns remarked:
“In a transition memo that I drafted for the incoming Clinton Administration at the end of 1992, I tried to capture the dim outlines of the challenges ahead. ‘While for the first time in 50 years we do not face a global military adversary,’ I wrote, ‘it is certainly conceivable that a return to authoritarianism in Russia or an aggressively hostile China could revive such a global threat.’?”
Casting Russian President Vladimir Putin as an authoritarian, Burns asserted:
“The most immediate and acute geopolitical challenge to international order today is Vladimir Putin’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.... One thing I have learned is that it is always a mistake to underestimate Putin’s fixation on controlling Ukraine and its choices, without which he believes it is impossible for Russia to be a major power or him to be a great Russian leader. That tragic and brutish fixation has already brought shame to Russia and exposed its weaknesses.... Putin’s war has already been a strategic failure for Russia—its military weaknesses laid bare; its economy badly damaged for years to come; its future as a junior economic colony of China being shaped by Putin’s mistakes....”
Increasingly, Burns’ tone against Putin is viscerally bitter. He calls Putin “brutish.”
“I’m proud of the work that CIA and our partners across the U.S. intelligence community have done to help President Biden and senior policymakers, and especially Ukrainians themselves, thwart Vladimir Putin’s aggression in Ukraine. And I’m proud of our close partnership with our British allies, in particular the women and men of the Secret Intelligence Service [MI6] led by my friend Sir Richard Moore, for whom I have the greatest respect.... Together, we provided early and accurate warning of the war that was coming—the essential function of any intelligence service....
“Disaffection with the war will continue to gnaw away at the Russian leadership beneath the steady diet of state propaganda and practiced repression. That disaffection creates a once-in-a-generation opportunity for us at CIA—at our core a human intelligence service. We’re not letting it go to waste....”
Burns did warn, as U.S. Ambassador to Russia, that Russia saw the expansion of NATO as a threat, but 15 years later, while he still may have acuity, his earlier mindset may have somewhat diminished.
With respect to China, Burns said, “we pay special attention to what they do, and here President Xi’s growing repression at home and his aggressiveness abroad—from his no-limits partnership with Putin to his threats to peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait—are impossible to ignore.” Burns did say that, “The answer to that is not to decouple from an economy like China’s, which would be foolish, but to sensibly de-risk and diversify....” Chinese leaders have pointed out several times that “de-risking” is no different than decoupling.
He concludes: “And it is an honor to highlight that partnership here at Ditchley, where so much of the trans-Atlantic spirit found its spark.”
