個人資料
正文

63%美國人望普選選總統 拋棄選舉團舊製

(2022-08-11 04:59:59) 下一個

Historians privately warn Biden that America's democracy is teetering

https://www.bendbulletin.com/nation/historians-privately-warn-biden-that-americas-democracy-is-teetering/article_b6d34672-512e-5458-a41f-00652afc8901.html 

Most Americans support using the popular vote to decide U.S. presidents, data shows

https://www.npr.org/2022/08/10/1116688726/most-americans-support-using-the-popular-vote-to-decide-u-s-presidents-data-show? 

世界說  2022/08/10 23:52 PM

據華盛頓郵報 8月10日報道 美國總統拜登上周在白宮與一群曆史學家舉行了會談,這些專家就美國國內外民主的狀況向拜登發出了警告。

Histrians privately warn Biden that America's democracy is teetering

據多位熟悉會談情況的人士透露,8月4日的談話是拜登與一群精英學者之間的對話,這些學者認為當前是現代曆史上民主治理最危險的時刻之一。

據報道,學者們將美國麵臨的威脅與美國內戰前夕以及二戰前夕的情況進行了比較,其中一些討論集中在當今形勢與二戰前狀況的相似之處。一位熟悉交流情況的人士表示,這次談話中的很多內容都是關於民主價值觀和製度之間的較量以及全球走向專製的趨勢。
 
報道指出,長期以來,對反民主趨勢的擔憂一直激勵著拜登,他在2020年競選活動開始時曾表示,一場國家靈魂之戰正在進行中。民主黨人普遍預計,如果拜登決定推進這一想法,特別是如果川普再次成為他在大選中的對手,那麽同樣的想法將成為拜登競選連任的基礎。

據介紹,總統曆史學家會定期向總統通報情況,上周在白宮進行的會談就屬於此類活動。這種做法至少可以追溯到裏根政府時期,美國前總統奧巴馬曾多次召集此類團體進行會談,但在美國前總統川普執政時,這種活動失寵了。

對拜登而言,此類會談是利用外部專家來幫他解決任內所麵臨的多重危機的常規做法之一,美國前總統克林頓曾在今年5月就如何應對通貨膨脹和中期選舉與拜登進行了交談;在俄烏衝突爆發之前,包括前共和黨顧問在內的一群外交政策專家,在今年1月曾前往白宮向拜登通報了情況。

63%美國人望普選選總統 選舉團舊製遭批

洛杉磯華人資訊網   2022/08/11 00:45 AM

據NPR新聞美東時間8月10日報道 根據美國民調中心皮尤研究中心(Pew Research Center)的數據,多數美國人支持普選選舉總統,而不是通過選舉團投票選舉總統。

Most Americans support using the popular vote to decide U.S. presidents,

據報道,目前,約63%的美國人支持普選,較2021年1月有所上升,據悉,2021年1月,該比例為55%。而支持保留選舉人團製度的比例從1月的43%下降至如今的35%。

報道稱,該占比與政黨息息相關。據報道,80%的民主黨人讚成采用普選製,而僅42%的共和黨人支持這一舉措,這一比例與2016年大選後相比有較大的提升,當時共和黨人的支持率僅為27%。

此外,此選擇與年齡也存在關係。在18歲至29歲的美國人中,10人中有7人支持普選(70%),而65歲以上的美國人中,有56%支持普選。

據悉,美國選舉人票共538張,其中100名參議員和435名眾議員每人一票,華盛頓特區三名代表各一票。此外,選舉人團製度下多州實行“贏者通吃”製度,即任何一個總統候選人,如果贏得了一個州的多數人投票,就算贏得了這個州所有的選舉人票。候選人在各州贏得的選舉人票累計超過538票的一半(270張),則當選總統。

在美國曆史上,大多數總統候選人既贏得了普選,又贏得選舉人票而當選總統。此前,有五位總統贏得了選舉人票,但沒有贏得普選,喬治·W·布什(George W. Bush)和川普就是其中兩位。

報道稱,如今,越來越多的人對選舉團製度帶來的問題提出批評。哈佛大學政治學家高塔姆·穆昆達(Gautam Mukunda)稱,選舉團製度之所以不公平,其中一點原因是,每個州根據其在眾議院和參議院的代表人數獲得選舉人,這意味著小州獲得了額外的選票。據悉,美國參議員每州2名,共100名,任期6年,每兩年改選1/3,而眾議員按各州的人口比例分配名額選出,共435名,任期兩年,期滿全部改選。

穆昆達表示,在總統選舉中,懷俄明州(約58萬)的人擁有的權力是加利福尼亞州(約3,930萬,位列美國各州第一)的人的近四倍,這在最基本的層麵上與民主製度的主張背道而馳。

此外,該製度使得“關鍵州”權重更重。1月6日,當川普及其支持者向國會施壓,要求推翻拜登在選舉團的勝利時,這種脆弱性得到了充分展現。報道稱,如果沒有選舉團,他們就很難要求國會推翻700萬選民的意願。而這也意味著選舉團製度使得幾個州可能對總統選舉產生巨大的控製力。

Previous

 
Historians privately warn Biden that America's democracy is teetering
By Michael Scherer, Ashley Parker and Tyler Pager   
 

President Joe Biden paused last week, during one of the busiest stretches of his presidency, for a nearly two-hour private history lesson from a group of academics who raised alarms about the dire condition of democracy at home and abroad.

The conversation during a ferocious lightning storm on Aug. 4 unfolded as a sort of Socratic dialogue between the commander in chief and a select group of scholars, who painted the current moment as among the most perilous in modern history for democratic governance, according to multiple people familiar with the discussions who requested anonymity to describe a private meeting.

Comparisons were made to the years before the 1860 election when Abraham Lincoln warned that a "house divided against itself cannot stand" and the lead-up to the 1940 election, when President Franklin D. Roosevelt battled rising domestic sympathy for European fascism and resistance to the United States joining World War II.

The diversion was, for Biden, part of a regular effort to use outside experts, in private White House meetings, to help him work through his approach to multiple crises facing his presidency. Former President Bill Clinton spoke with Biden in May about how to navigate inflation and the midterm elections. A group of foreign policy experts, including former Republican advisers, came to the White House in January to brief Biden before the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

These meetings have come as Biden faces the isolation that is endemic to presidency, a problem that some Democrats say has been worsened by the coronavirus pandemic, which restricted visitors through much of the first year of his presidency, and by the insular quality of Biden's inner circle, made up of staffers who have worked with him for decades.

Biden, at these tabletop sessions, often spends hours asking questions and testing assumptions, participants say.

Michael McFaul, a former U.S. ambassador to Russia under President Barack Obama, briefed Biden with other experts before the Russian invasion of Ukraine and before the president's 2021 meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Geneva.

"They get out of their bubble," McFaul said. "I worked at the White House for three years before going to Moscow, and comparatively I think they do that in a much more strategic way than we used to do in the Obama administration. It feels that they are more engaged."

McFaul was among a socially distanced group that met to discuss Ukraine in the East Room earlier this year, along with former diplomat Richard Haass, journalist Fareed Zakaria, analyst Ian Bremmer, former National Security Council adviser Fiona Hill and retired Adm. James Stavridis, a former Supreme Allied Commander of NATO.

Biden sat at the center of a dining table with the experts gathered at either end to keep the president a COVID-safe 6 feet from the group. As some participants, including McFaul and Stavridis, appeared remotely on a screen, Biden began with brief comments and then spent about two hours asking questions.

"They really wanted outside-the-box thinking of, is there any way that this war, which will be horrible for everyone involved, can be stopped? Can we stop it? How can we stop it?" Bremmer said. "All of my interactions [with the White House] in the last few years have been uniformly open, constructive and really wanting to get my best sense of where they're getting it right and where they're not."

White House spokesman Andrew Bates said the president "values hearing from a wide range of experts." NSC spokeswoman Adrienne Watson said, "We are in regular touch with a diverse, bipartisan collection of experts and stakeholders on a variety of topics, including Russia's unprovoked war in Ukraine."

At a news conference in January, Biden said a priority of his second year in office was to get more input from academia, editorial writers, think tanks and other outside experts. "Seeking more input, more information, more constructive criticism about what I should and shouldn't be doing," he told reporters.

Some meetings have been more exclusive. At a private lunch with Biden on May 2, Clinton praised his successor's efforts to build a multinational coalition supporting Ukraine.

But he also urged Biden to lean into speaking about his administration's efforts to battle inflation, with the expectation that price pressures would ease in the weeks before the midterm elections, according to people briefed on the exchange. Clinton suggested that Biden position himself to take credit for inflation reductions, if they come.

Clinton also urged Biden to create a sharp policy contrast with Republicans, latching especially onto the policy proposals of Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla., who had proposed a five-year sunset on all federal laws, including Social Security and Medicare, and tax increases on many Americans who are not working.

As it happened, the White House was already planning a similar contrast, and days later Biden publicly laid into what he called the "ultra MAGA agenda," a reference to the Make America Great Again movement organized around former president Donald Trump.

The historians Biden has invited to the White House generally take a longer view, placing his presidency in the context of America's path since its founding. Biden — who is 78 and has seen nine presidents up close, starting with Richard Nixon — has signaled that he has thought about what makes some presidencies more successful than others.

The group that gathered in the White House Map Room last week was part of a regular effort by presidential historians to brief presidents, a practice that dates at least as far back as the Reagan administration. Obama convened such groups multiple times, though the sessions fell out of favor under Trump.

Following a similar meeting with Biden last spring, the Aug. 4 gathering was distinguished by its relatively small size and the focus of the participants on the rise of totalitarianism around the world and the threat to democracy at home. They included Biden's occasional speechwriter Jon Meacham, journalist Anne Applebaum, Princeton professor Sean Wilentz, University of Virginia historian Allida Black and presidential historian Michael Beschloss. White House senior adviser Anita Dunn and head speechwriter Vinay Reddy also sat at the table.

Biden, who was still testing positive for the coronavirus, appeared on a television monitor that was set up next to the room's fireplace, taking notes as he sat two floors up in the Treaty Room that is part of the White House residence. Senior adviser Mike Donilon also appeared on-screen, say people familiar with the events.

During the discussion, a loud crack of thunder could be heard, which the participants later found out coincided with a lightning strike that killed three people in Lafayette Square, across the street from the White House.

One person familiar with the exchange said the conversation was mostly a way for Biden to hear and think about the larger context in which his tenure is unfolding. He did not make any major pronouncements or discuss his plans for the future.

"A lot of the conversation was about the larger context of the contest between democratic values and institutions and the trends toward autocracy globally," the person said.

Most of the experts in attendance have been outspoken in recent months about the threat they see to the American democratic project, after the attack on the Capitol on Jan. 6, the continued denial by some Republicans of the 2020 election results and the efforts of election deniers to seek state office.

Applebaum, a contributor to the Atlantic, recently published a book on eroding democratic norms called "Twilight of Democracy: The Seductive Lure of Authoritarianism." Black, a longtime adviser to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, was recently named to the board of Vanderbilt University's Project on Unity and American Democracy, which aims to reduce political polarization.

Beschloss, a presidential historian who regularly appears on NBC and MSNBC, has recently become more outspoken about what he sees as the need for Biden to battle anti-democratic forces in the country.

"I think he has got to talk tonight about the fact that we are all in existential danger of having our democracy and democracies around the world destroyed," Beschloss said in March on MSNBC, before Biden delivered the State of the Union address.

Wilentz, prizewinning author of "The Rise of American Democracy: Jefferson to Lincoln," has also voiced alarm in recent months about the state of the country. "We're on the verge of what Hamilton in 'The Federalist' called government by brute force," Wilentz told the Hill last month.

Some of last week's discussion focused on similarities between today's landscape and the period leading up to World War II, when growing authoritarianism abroad found its disturbing echo in the United States.

As Germany's Adolf Hitler and Italy's Benito Mussolini consolidated their power in the 1930s, the Rev. Charles Coughlin used his radio broadcast to spread a populist anti-Semitic message in the United States. Sen. Huey Long, D-La., also rallied Americans against Roosevelt and showed sympathies for dictatorial government.

Concerns about anti-democratic trends have long animated Biden, who began his 2020 campaign by arguing that a "battle for the soul of the nation" was underway, a play on the phrase used by Meacham to title his 2018 book "The Soul of America: The Battle for Our Better Angels."

Democrats broadly expect the same ideas will anchor Biden's reelection campaign, if he decides to move forward with one, especially if Trump is his opponent again.

Biden has continued to bring up such themes in his public speeches, most recently in a July address to a law enforcement group, where he criticized Trump for taking no immediate action as the rioters he had inspired attacked the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, in an effort to overturn the results of the recent presidential election.

"You can't be pro-insurrection and pro-democracy," Biden told the National Organization of Black Law Enforcement Executives. "You can't be pro-insurrection and pro-American."

Most Americans support using the popular vote to decide U.S. presidents, data shows

https://www.npr.org/2022/08/10/1116688726/most-americans-support-using-the-popular-vote-to-decide-u-s-presidents-data-show?

In this Jan. 20, 2001, file photo, standing in the rain, President George W. Bush waves as he watches his inaugural parade pass by the White House viewing stand in Washington, Saturday afternoon, Jan. 20, 2001. With him are his wife and first lady Laura Bush and his father, former President George H.W. Bush.

STEPHAN SAVOIA/AP

Most Americans support using the popular vote and not the electoral college vote to select a president, according to data from the Pew Research Center.

About 63% of Americans support using the popular vote, compared to 35% who would rather keep the electoral college system.

Approval for the popular vote is up from January 2021, when 55% of Americans said they back the change; 43% supported keeping the electoral college at that time.

Opinions on the systems varied sharply according to political party affiliation. 80% of Democrats approve of moving to a popular vote system, while 42% of Republicans support the move. Though, many more Republicans support using the popular vote system now than after the 2016 election, when support was at 27%.

There is also an age divide: 7 out of 10 Americans from ages 18 to 29 support using the popular vote, compared to 56% in Americans over 65 years old.

 
A Growing Number Of Critics Raise Alarms About The Electoral College

There have been five presidents who won the electoral vote, but not the popular vote — John Quincy Adams, Rutherford B. Hayes, Benjamin Harrison, George W. Bush and Donald Trump.

There are 538 electors, one for each U.S. senator and U.S. representative, plus three for Washington, D.C., which gets three electoral votes in the presidential election even though it has no voting representation in Congress.

The number of electors has changed through history as the number of elected members of Congress has changed with the country's expansion and population growth.

How electors get picked varies by state, but in general state parties file slates of names for who the electors will be. They include people with ties to those state parties, like current and former party officials, state lawmakers and party activists. They're selected either at state party conventions or by party central committees.

The Pew survey was conducted from June 27 to July 4 of this year.

[ 打印 ]
閱讀 ()評論 (0)
評論
目前還沒有任何評論
登錄後才可評論.