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左派和右派,哪一派更容易得精神病?

(2017-09-09 04:34:25) 下一個

你相信科學嗎?你的回答如果不是100%肯定的話,馬上有人會給你貼上反智、紅脖子、頑固分子等標簽。其實,除了在可控環境或很少變量環境裏經反複實驗的科學結果可信度可以接近100%外,在開放和很多變量環境裏的科學研究其實隻是使用了科學的方法,其結論的可信度經常遠低於前者,這本來也沒什麽,實事求是就好,但因為有個“科學”的頭銜,因為有的人除了探求真理外還有別的目的,你不接受其結論經常會導致你被嘲笑。Global Warming就是這樣一個課題,我上一篇剛討論過。

這裏再舉一個例子,課題遠沒有Global Warming那麽龐大:2012年美國政治科學雜誌發表了一篇文章,論證說右派更容易有精神方麵的問題。嚴肅的學術期刊發表的文章當然是有根據的啦,課題也沒那麽複雜,無非是采樣人的政治偏向性、再采樣他們有精神問題的比例,一比較結果就出來了,再經過專家審稿,結論不可能錯吧?

哈哈,它的結論剛好搞反了,雜誌社2016年承認錯誤:是左派而不是右派更容易有精神方麵的問題。“科學家”犯這麽低級的錯誤不可思議吧? 好了,是人都可能犯錯的,沒必要大驚小怪,隻要不過分迷信科學就好了,這就是本文的中心思想。

這裏還有一篇好像是自媒體上發表的文章,其結論和上麵更正後的結論是一樣的。Gallup Poll的結論也是類似的。所以我假設以上結論有很高可信度。

我好奇為什麽是這樣的結論,有文章論證了左派比右派聰明,而聰明人更容易得精神病。也有右派不服氣,發網文論證說是因為左派洗腦把人的腦子洗壞了。你想知道哪一邊的更可信請點擊鏈接後自己看吧。

說到人的智商,這裏有個比較各國人平均智商的鏈接, 也許對我們思考上述問題有幫助?

最後我偏心右派,在此放個諷刺搞笑左派的網文鏈接,但它引用的數據沒有出處,有誰找到的請告訴我。

 

Science says liberals, not conservatives, are psychotic

 

Turns out liberals are the real authoritarians.

A political-science journal that published an oft-cited study claiming conservatives were more likely to show traits associated with “psychoticism” now says it got it wrong. Very wrong.

The American Journal of Political Science published a correction this year saying that the 2012 paper has “an error” — and that liberal political beliefs, not conservative ones, are actually linked to psychoticism.

“The interpretation of the coding of the political attitude items in the descriptive and preliminary analyses portion of the manuscript was exactly reversed,” the journal said in the startling correction.

“The descriptive analyses report that those higher in Eysenck’s psychoticism are more conservative, but they are actually more liberal; and where the original manuscript reports those higher in neuroticism and social desirability are more liberal, they are, in fact, more conservative.”

In the paper, psychoticism is associated with traits such as tough-mindedness, risk-taking, sensation-seeking, impulsivity and authoritarianism.

The social-desirability scale measures people’s tendency to answer questions in ways they believe would please researchers, even if it means overestimating their positive characteristics and underestimating negative ones.

The erroneous report has been cited 45 times, according to Thomson Reuters Web of Science.

Brad Verhulst, a Virginia Commonwealth University researcher and a co-author of the paper, said he was not sure who was to blame.

“I don’t know where it happened. All I know is it happened,” he told Retraction Watch, a blog that tracks corrections in academic papers. “It’s our fault for not figuring it out before.”

The journal said the error doesn’t change the main conclusions of the paper, which found that “personality traits do not cause people to develop political attitudes.”

But professor Steven Ludeke of the University of Southern Denmark, who pointed out the errors, told Retraction Watch that they “matter quite a lot.”

“The erroneous results represented some of the larger correlations between personality and politics ever reported; they were reported and interpreted, repeatedly, in the wrong direction,” he said.

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評論
不合群 回複 悄悄話 回複 '龍灣故事會' 的評論 : Science本來和政治是沒有直接關係的,有的都是pseudo science.
被你看穿了你加引號,沒看穿的不會加,原作者更不會加,所以現在專業性這麽強的science也需要外行人自己來判斷真偽了,確實有點悲哀。
龍灣故事會 回複 悄悄話 "'Science', 誰的'science'".忘了打引號了
龍灣故事會 回複 悄悄話 肯定有人心裏在想Science, 誰的science. Politicized country, politicized news.悲哀啊!
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