Counting waves in stock trading typically refers to Elliott Wave Theory, a popular form of technical analysis that attempts to forecast market movements by identifying recurring price patterns driven by investor psychology.
Basic Elliott Wave Structure
Elliott Wave Theory identifies two main phases in market movement:
1. Impulse Waves (trending market)
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Move in the direction of the overall trend.
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Consist of 5 waves:
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Wave 1: Price begins to rise.
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Wave 2: Price pulls back (but doesn’t go below the start of Wave 1).
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Wave 3: The strongest and longest upward wave.
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Wave 4: Another pullback (shallower than Wave 2).
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Wave 5: Final push up, often showing signs of weakening momentum.
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2. Corrective Waves (counter-trend)
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Move against the trend.
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Consist of 3 waves:
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Wave A: Initial drop.
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Wave B: Partial retracement upward.
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Wave C: Final drop, usually equaling or exceeding Wave A.
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How to Count the Waves
Here’s a basic process:
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Start with a clean chart – Use a daily or weekly chart to see the big picture.
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Identify the trend – Look for a major uptrend or downtrend.
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Look for the 5-wave impulse pattern – Try to spot the five distinct moves.
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Use Fibonacci retracement and extensions:
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Wave 2 usually retraces 50–61.8% of Wave 1.
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Wave 3 is often 1.618 times the length of Wave 1.
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Wave 4 usually retraces 38.2% of Wave 3.
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Wave 5 can be equal to Wave 1 or 0.618 of Wave 1-3.
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Label waves as you go – Use 1–5 for impulse waves and A–C for corrective waves.
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Confirm using volume and momentum indicators – Momentum often peaks at Wave 3, and divergence often appears in Wave 5.
? Tools You Can Use
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Charting Platforms like TradingView, MetaTrader, Thinkorswim
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Elliott Wave indicators/plugins
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Fibonacci tools (retracement/extension)
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RSI and MACD to spot divergences in Wave 5
? Tips & Cautions
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Wave counting is subjective and requires practice.
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Always combine with other technical tools—don’t rely solely on wave counts.
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Patterns don’t always play out exactly; markets can be messy or irregular.
Would you like a real example chart or a breakdown of a specific stock’s wave count?