穿越大洋
紅日初升，我們昂首海天，萬千心事飄落海的中央......相望於大洋，時代予我僅僅幾十年，我行走的軌跡在永恒中隻是一瞬。
希拉裏說與奧巴馬同台令她“榮幸”。兩人的辯論不夠精彩激烈,都沒有明顯得分.這樣沉悶的辯論是政客的舞台,不是人民的盛宴.Obama的黑人口音在我聽起來不如Hillary的發音清晰.德州與俄州將成為真正的絞肉場.拭目以待!
26日俄州辯論
巴拉克.奧巴馬和希拉裏.克林頓在一對一的高層辯論中激烈交鋒，互相指責.最後一博的希拉裏有些落寞. 更多的超級代表支持奧巴馬.更多的人們開始客觀冷靜地評論和分析奧巴馬現象.如果各取一州,雙方將進入真正的疲勞期,最終的結果會很難預料.
Never count out Hillary
精彩的一連串競選過後,是漫長的等待.絕望的Hillary贏得了調整的機會,10萬誌願者開進徳俄兩州,88小時88縣掃票,競選機器完全運轉. 3月4日美國總統選舉的四個州預選結束，希拉裏終於連勝3場，贏得了俄亥俄州、得克薩斯州和羅得島州的初選勝利，這也挽救了她岌岌可危的競選之路。Obama隻拿下Vermont.這一幕很容易讓人聯想到希拉裏在今年1月輸掉第一場預選後，頂住壓力贏得了第2場預選的勝利。共和黨方麵，總統競選人麥凱恩則以全勝戰績，完全鎖定了黨內提名戰的勝局. 美聯社說，希拉裏之所以能使奧巴馬的獲勝勢頭放緩，一方麵因為奧巴馬輕敵，另一方麵要歸功於希拉裏陣營行之有效的戰術。2月26日俄州辯論後，奧巴馬對反擊共和黨總統競選人麥凱恩過於專注，卻忽略黨內勁敵希拉裏。不經意間，希拉裏投放的一則電視廣告直擊奧巴馬要害。廣告把希拉裏塑造成擁有豐富國家安全決策經驗的總統，“淩晨3時，你的孩子正在安睡”，希拉裏應是那時那刻接聽危機電話的白宮主人。5日公布的投票站出口民意調查結果顯示，希拉裏的戰術對搖擺不定的選民相當奏效，一些調頭支持奧巴馬的選民群體也重回希拉裏懷抱。
德州奇異的黨團競選居然要到三月底才分曉.有約100萬人出席黨團,結果拖得太長了.最終的結果將在6月黨代會揭曉,看來Obama在德州的總成績會不錯.
Obama必須正視Hillary為最大的勁敵.Obama在大州的糟糕表現讓人們不得不擔憂,他必須用勝利證明他麵對挫折的危機處理能力.整個團對要樹立持久作戰的方案.我以為,贏得30-35歲白人男性的支持是取勝的關鍵.祝福他,希望和變革的象征! 這個世界的話語權是很重要的.Hillary最後的瘋狂反擊不斷上演,但同時,她的陣營卻指責Obama的支持者太過狂熱,極大地侮辱了正直的人們.運動中的激情不能喪失,否則就中了奸計.
Obama在3月8日Wyoming攻下一城,看來他在黨團會議中占有絕對優勢.Obama3月11日在密西西比初選再勝!90%的黑人票和三分之一的白人票突顯了南方種族分野十分明顯.Obama在選戰早期的非種族意識形態仍然是選勝的關鍵.
4月22日,盡管Obama在資金上的投入兩倍於Hillary,Hillary仍在關鍵的賓州以55%對45%擊敗Obama. Hillary贏來了可能是最後一次的高潮.她的身影閃爍,漸漸隱去.
| Ohio | PA | Indiana | ||
| Caucasian | 83% | 82% | 66% | |
| Hispanic | 2% | 4% | 15% | |
| African-American | 12% | 10% | 12% | |
| Asian | 2% | 2% | 4% | |
| Others | 1% | 2% | 3% | |
| Under 30 | NA | 12% | NA | |
| 65 and above | NA | 22% | NA | |
| Decide within 1 month | NA | 40% | NA | |
| Suburb | NA | 50% | NA | |
| Samll city and rural | NA | 25% | NA | |
| Big city over 50000 | NA | 25% | NA | |
| New democratic | NA | 10% | NA | |
| Ohio | Ohio | PA | PA | |
| Hillary | Obama | Hillary | Obama | |
| Vote | 54% | 44% | 55% | 45% |
| Women | 55% | 39% | NA | NA |
| Men | 39% | 55% | NA | NA |
| Lower income | 50% | 44% | NA | NA |
| Higher income | 55% | 39% | NA | NA |
| Under 45 | 37% | 58% | NA | NA |
| Under 30 | NA | NA | 40% | 60% |
| Black | 10% | 90% | 8% | 92% |
| White | 60% | 34% | NA | NA |
| White men | 46% | 47% | 55% | 45% |
| Whit women | 68% | 26% | 65% | 350% |
| W/o degree | 41% | 43% | 60% | 400% |
| W/ degree | 45% | 49% | NA | NA |
| Loyalty voters | 88% | 86% | NA | NA |
| Suburb | NA | NA | 60% | 40% |
| New Democratic | NA | NA | 40% | 60% |
5月6日關鍵一戰,終於倔強的Hillary無法再堅強下去了.她接下來隻能算頑抗了.
INDIANA RESULTS - 99% Reporting: Clinton 638,192 (51%) Obama 615,753 (49%).
NORTH CAROLINA RESULTS - 99% Reporting: Obama 889,513 (56%) Clinton 657,616 (42%).Candidates Uncommitted[1] Hillary
ClintonBarack
ObamaJohn
EdwardsEstimated delegates needed to win[2][3]
(472½ remaining of 4,048, 12%; 2,024½ needed)- 327½
69%165
35%- Grand total estimated delegates
(3,575½ of 4,048, 88%)255½ 1,697
47%1,859½
52%19
<1%Total estimated superdelegate endorsement[4]
(539½ of 795, 68% of 20%)255½[5] 270½
50%269
50%0 Total estimated pledged delegates[6]
(3,036 of 3,253, 93% of 80%)0 1,426½
47%1,590½
52%19
<1%Total bound pledged delegates[7]
(2,728 of 3,253, 84% of 80%)0 1,311½
48%1,400½
51%16
<1%
此後Obama在Indianna幾乎戰平Hillary;在北卡大勝.超級代表選邊,Obama幾乎鎖定勝局.
Hillary在West Virgina Hillary大勝,妄圖繼續糾纏,瘋狂之態,毫無政治家的風度.
5月20日她在Kentucky2:1再勝,已經毫無意義.同日Obama在Oregon扳回一城.
民主黨大傷,Obama開始治愈創痛,劍指McCain.
5月31日，WASHINGTON - Democratic Party leaders agreed Saturday to seat Michigan and Florida delegates with half-votes at this summer's convention with a compromise that left Barack Obama on the verge of the nomination but riled Hillary Rodham Clinton backers who threatened to fight to the August convention.
The resolution increased the number of delegates needed to clinch the nomination to 2,118, leaving Obama just 66 delegates away from the majority needed to secure the nomination.Candidates Uncommitted[1] Hillary
ClintonBarack
ObamaJohn
EdwardsEstimated delegates needed to win[2][3]
(291 remaining of 4,233, 7%; 2,117 needed; 86 are pledged)- 240½
83%64
22%- Grand total estimated delegates
(3,942 of 4,233, 93%)205 1,876½
48%2,053
52%12½
<1%Total estimated superdelegate endorsement[4]
(618½ of 823½, 75% of 19%)205[5] 290
47%328½
53%0 Total estimated pledged delegates[6]
(3,323½ of 3,409½, 97% of 81%)0 1,586½
48%1,724½
52%12½
<1%Total bound pledged delegates[7]
(3,164½ of 3,409½, 93% of 81%)0 1,526½
48%1,628½
51%9½
<1%
The deal passed 19-8. Ironically, thirteen members of the committee had endorsed Clinton for president, so she wasn't even able to keep her supporters together. Candidates Uncommitted[1] Hillary
ClintonBarack
ObamaJohn
EdwardsGrand total estimated delegates
(4,089½ of 4,233, 97%)143½ 1,923
47%2,162
53%4½
<1%Total estimated superdelegate endorsement[2]
(680 of 823½, 83% of 19%)143½[3] 283½
42%396½
58%0 Total estimated pledged delegates[4]
(3,409½ of 3,409½, 100% of 81%)0 1,639½
48%1,765½
52%4½
<1%Total bound pledged delegates[5]
(3,274½ of 3,409½, 96% of 81%)0 1,588½
49%1,684½
51%1½
<1%
