Housing: no bull market for a whole generation? ZT

來源: hercules007 2012-04-11 13:30:46 [] [博客] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀: 次 (771 bytes)

Charles Hugh Smith:

What If Housing Is Done for a Generation?

What if housing valuations are in a structural, multi-decade decline?

A strong case can be made that the fundamental supports of the housing market-- demographics, employment, creditworthiness and income--will not recover for a generation. It can even be argued that housing has lost its status as the foundation of middle class wealth, not for a generation, but for the long term. ...

full article: http://www.oftwominds.com/blogapril12/housing-done4-12.html

所有跟帖: 

聽起來很嚇人,能否介紹一下著者的背景 -commonsense888- 給 commonsense888 發送悄悄話 (30 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 15:58:03

這有啥嚇人的? --企鵝-- 給 -企鵝- 發送悄悄話 -企鵝- 的博客首頁 (49 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 16:31:38

越悲觀越好!物極必反 - housing bottom up -逍遙流雲- 給 逍遙流雲 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 17:17:01

look at the issues, consider the merits of the article,,, -hercules007- 給 hercules007 發送悄悄話 hercules007 的博客首頁 (380 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 18:19:54

一個generation是不是10年?好像80後,90後之類的。如果是10年也不長,現在都6年過去了。 -Luckyd- 給 Luckyd 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 20:34:05

My understanding: 40 years -hercules007- 給 hercules007 發送悄悄話 hercules007 的博客首頁 (401 bytes) () 04/11/2012 postreply 21:06:58

這摩西也夠壞的,為一己選擇就能讓同胞跟他在沙漠裏受苦40年 -canyonbear- 給 canyonbear 發送悄悄話 (37 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 13:24:25

Moses was carrying out God's wish, so says the Bible -hercules007- 給 hercules007 發送悄悄話 hercules007 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 17:00:14

過度恐慌說明市場已經像鍾擺一樣走向極端了,下一步應該會往回修正 -canyonbear- 給 canyonbear 發送悄悄話 (377 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 13:15:55

多說一句,我認為任何號稱對今後40年世界形勢的預測都是瞎扯 -canyonbear- 給 canyonbear 發送悄悄話 (145 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 14:06:58

maybe you can put the question to Mr. Hugh-Smith -hercules007- 給 hercules007 發送悄悄話 hercules007 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 15:00:23

Look,,,, -hercules007- 給 hercules007 發送悄悄話 hercules007 的博客首頁 (546 bytes) () 04/12/2012 postreply 15:06:25

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