問了一下GPT, Tesla 認為FSD已經超過了99%的人類司機,但是如我估計,統計上很難講誰是top1%的司機。

According to Tesla's data, their Full Self Driving (FSD) technology is statistically safer than the average human driver, and even surpasses the driving ability of a top 1% human driver in terms of accident rates, with significantly fewer crashes per million miles driven; however, independent testing and safety concerns remain regarding FSD's capabilities in complex driving scenarios, especially when compared to a truly exceptional human driver in edge cases. 
 
 
Key points about FSD vs top 1% human driver: 
 
 
  • Full Self Driving (FSD) Beta crashes significantly less frequently than the average driver, with a crash rate of 0.31 times per million miles on non-highway roads, compared to the national average of 1.53 crashes per million miles for human drivers, suggesting that even a top 1% human driver would likely still have a higher crash rate than FSD in most driving scenarios; however, it's important to note that this data is self-reported by Tesla and may not be fully verified by independent researchers.
  • Sensor capabilities:
    FSD utilizes advanced sensors and computer vision to process information much faster than a human, potentially allowing for quicker reactions to changing road conditions. 
     
     
  • Consistency:
    While a top human driver may consistently perform well, FSD aims to maintain a high level of driving performance across all situations, eliminating distractions like fatigue or inattention. 
     
     
  • Limitations of FSD:
    Critics argue that while FSD may excel in routine driving, it can struggle with unpredictable situations, edge cases, and challenging weather conditions where a skilled human driver might adapt better. 
     
     
  • Testing and regulation:
    Independent testing and regulatory oversight are crucial to fully assess the safety and capabilities of FSD compared to top human drivers. 

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