History repeats itself: Plaza Accord

本帖於 2025-04-09 15:05:50 時間, 由版主 移花接木 編輯

"History repeates itself, first as tragedy, second as farce" by Karl Marx 

Plaza Accord  AKA 廣場協議 

From 1980 to 1985, the US dollar had appreciated by about 50% against the Japanese yen, Deutsche Mark, French franc, and British pound, the currencies of the next four biggest economies at the time. This caused considerable difficulties for the American industry, but at first, their lobbying was largely ignored by the government. The financial sector was able to profit from the rising dollar, and a depreciation would have run counter to the Reagan administration's plans for bringing down inflation.

The Plaza Accord was a joint agreement signed on September 22, 1985, at the Plaza Hotel in New York City, between France, West Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States, to depreciate the U.S. dollar in relation to the French franc, the German Deutsche Mark, the Japanese yen and the British pound sterling by intervening in currency markets. The U.S. dollar depreciated significantly from the time of the agreement until it was replaced by the Louvre Accord in 1987.

Some commentators believe the Plaza Accord contributed to the Japanese asset price bubble of the late 1980s.

Effects:

Trade deficit:  For the first two years after the Accord, the US trade deficit worsened, as rising prices of imports outweighed the decline in import quantity and rise in export quantity in the short run. However, the deficit eventually began to fall, as imports had fallen and exports had risen sufficiently for quantity effects to outweigh the valuation effect.

Successes and failures:  The Plaza Accord was successful in reducing the U.S. trade deficit with Western European nations, but largely failed to fulfill its primary objective of alleviating the trade deficit with Japan. This deficit was due to structural conditions that were insensitive to monetary policy, specifically trade conditions. ...  The Louvre Accord was signed in 1987 to halt the continuing decline of the U.S. dollar.

The signing of the Plaza Accord was significant in that it reflected Japan's emergence as a real player in managing the international monetary system. However, the rising yen may also have contributed to recessionary pressures for Japan's economy, to which the Japanese government reacted with massive expansionary monetary and fiscal policies. That stimulus, in combination with other policies, led to the Japanese asset price bubble of the late 1980s. Because of this, some commentators blame the Plaza Accord for the bubble, which, when it burst, led into a protracted period of deflation and low growth in Japan known as the Lost Decade, which has effects still heavily felt in modern Japan.

hahahahaha, these countries are dying to make deal,... are kissing my ass哈哈哈哈

 

 

 

所有跟帖: 

Was aware of economic issues in Japan, but didn’t know Plaza -最西邊的島上- 給 最西邊的島上 發送悄悄話 最西邊的島上 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 15:05:14

Accord bf. Thx 4 sharing interesting history! -最西邊的島上- 給 最西邊的島上 發送悄悄話 最西邊的島上 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 15:06:58

it's also trade deficit related -移花接木- 給 移花接木 發送悄悄話 移花接木 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 15:44:07

that and more: the debts 4 spending, IMHO -最西邊的島上- 給 最西邊的島上 發送悄悄話 最西邊的島上 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 16:02:45

美國隻有三億人口確是世界最大的消費市場,空前的超前消費靠什麽支撐? -移花接木- 給 移花接木 發送悄悄話 移花接木 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 16:08:42

Bonds, bonds, & more bonds (not James Bond;-) -最西邊的島上- 給 最西邊的島上 發送悄悄話 最西邊的島上 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 16:29:15

Treasury securities -移花接木- 給 移花接木 發送悄悄話 移花接木 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 16:50:13

u'd better click back, the new short video just added,哈哈哈哈哈 -移花接木- 給 移花接木 發送悄悄話 移花接木 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 15:07:09

Hahaha, show time! he never changes since “The Apprentice” -最西邊的島上- 給 最西邊的島上 發送悄悄話 最西邊的島上 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 15:23:42

Except withered quite bit -移花接木- 給 移花接木 發送悄悄話 移花接木 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 15:49:43

;-))))) -最西邊的島上- 給 最西邊的島上 發送悄悄話 最西邊的島上 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 18:22:38

Has the US dollar lost value? -妖妖靈- 給 妖妖靈 發送悄悄話 妖妖靈 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 17:10:04

history repeats but not copy&paste, tariff this time -移花接木- 給 移花接木 發送悄悄話 移花接木 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 17:24:57

知道嗎當年日本經濟泡沫破滅前,日元升值,日本人是世界最富的人,與最近中國人一樣全世界的奢侈品買買買 -移花接木- 給 移花接木 發送悄悄話 移花接木 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 17:37:37

不知中國人買買買能持續多久 -移花接木- 給 移花接木 發送悄悄話 移花接木 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 17:38:06

那曆史就是驚人的相似,知道國內做房地產的不行了~ 希望美國房地產也趕緊下跌:) -妖妖靈- 給 妖妖靈 發送悄悄話 妖妖靈 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/09/2025 postreply 17:52:51

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