該文可能的局限性：似乎武漢與世界各地的parameters有差別？

Our study has several limitations. First, as our simulations were
based on parameters estimated for symptomatic cases found in the
early stage of the outbreak in Wuhan, which may not account for
asymptomatic and mild infections, we may have underestimated the
total number of infections.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2293-x_reference.pdf#page4

所有跟帖： 

• 這篇Lancet上的文章研究了武漢病人診斷標準的前後變化，既然標準變化了，病例數和措施是否也變化了？ -有事也不生非- ♀ (194 bytes) () 05/10/2020 postreply 12:27:47

• 武漢測了1萬多人的抗體，卻一直不敢公布結果，因為一公布，死亡和感染人數做假就會顯原形，LOL -老玩家- ♂ (401 bytes) () 05/10/2020 postreply 14:15:03