吃鹹肉能致癌?

http://www.cancer.org/cancer/news/world-health-organization-says-processed-meat-causes-cancer

 

如果每天吃一個熱狗腸,一輩子的大腸癌發病率會提高到6%, 而一般人的發病率是5%。  是這麽解讀嗎? 

 

Processed meat includes hot dogs, ham, bacon, sausage, and some deli meats. It refers to meat that has been treated in some way to preserve or flavor it. Processes include salting, curing, fermenting, and smoking. Red meat includes beef, pork, lamb, and goat.

Twenty-two experts from 10 countries reviewed more than 800 studies to reach their conclusions. They found that eating 50 grams of processed meat every day increased the risk of colorectal cancer by 18%. That’s the equivalent of about 4 strips of bacon or 1 hot dog. For red meat, there was evidence of increased risk of colorectal, pancreatic, and prostate cancer.

Overall, the lifetime risk of someone developing colon cancer is 5%. To put the numbers into perspective, the increased risk from eating the amount of processed meat in the study would raise average lifetime risk to almost 6%.

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法國媒體有說過這個研究的10個國家裏沒有法國和意大利,2個美食大國,不知道中國是否在其中。有人了解更多原研究報告? -Gbdjw- 給 Gbdjw 發送悄悄話 (77 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 09:17:00

當年那個關於fat free的報告也沒有法國和意大利的數據。 -Gbdjw- 給 Gbdjw 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 09:18:12

同意,過度吃任何一樣食物都會出unintended consequences,即便是所謂的“好”食物。 -Gbdjw- 給 Gbdjw 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 10:10:32

這個研究裏也是假設每天都吃一個熱狗或等量的其他醃製。煙熏肉食,一生如此。 誰會這麽吃? 統計學如果沒有 -雙喜丸子- 給 雙喜丸子 發送悄悄話 (136 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 13:21:51

我個人是這麽理解的:大腸癌發病率增加1%,單看這個好像沒有什麽;但是,我越來越多 -蓍草為yarrow- 給 蓍草為yarrow 發送悄悄話 蓍草為yarrow 的博客首頁 (167 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 10:09:58

為啥隻看見每個因素的遞增,而沒人研究相互抵消的機製?大自然絕不可能無限製地遞增,一定同時還有相反的抵消 -Gbdjw- 給 Gbdjw 發送悄悄話 (26 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 10:12:43

不同癌症發病率不能相互抵消。每個癌症發病率都要拿健康和生活質量去抵消。 -蓍草為yarrow- 給 蓍草為yarrow 發送悄悄話 蓍草為yarrow 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 10:17:25

按隻遞增的理論,把各個單一癌症的發病率加一起已超過100%=人人都應該得癌了 -Gbdjw- 給 Gbdjw 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 11:12:15

超不過的。因為大部分的癌症發病率都極低。腸癌則不同,它是高發癌種。 -好好先生*- 給 好好先生* 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 12:00:59

啊? 其他studies -雙喜丸子- 給 雙喜丸子 發送悄悄話 (108 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 13:35:58

當然是不同的研究。沒有一個研究能夠涵蓋所有的癌症心髒病所有的疾病。我家 -蓍草為yarrow- 給 蓍草為yarrow 發送悄悄話 蓍草為yarrow 的博客首頁 (44 bytes) () 12/17/2016 postreply 14:21:05

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