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股市打臉

(2025-10-25 08:19:50) 下一個

股市真是打臉啊。那幾天市場風聲鶴唳,納指暴跌800點、幣圈崩盤,川普一句 100%關稅 , 直接砸穿市場情緒。

那幾天我也隻能轉入防守。

清掉了 ARKK(90賣出,83買回一半),HOOD 全部清倉(135 賣出,沒有買回,昨天138,前天還120)。同時賣出 FIG、CRWV 的 put,趁機在低位35 加倉了 INTC 的正股和 LEAP,214 買了亞馬遜(AMZN),244 買了穀歌(GOOGL)。

不過大部分股票沒有動:我的 QQQ 一股也沒賣,核心倉依然堅定拿著。

MSTR 幸虧跑了,至今還沒回到 300。關閉了 賣的MSTR 的 300 put,少賺了一些,但至少安心。昨天coin300 put,特斯拉400 put交割收了全款。

結果市場又反彈。

算下來,比不動稍微好一點,也算抄了點底。

ARKK 撿了個便宜,INTC 表現不錯,又有一些put 慢慢吃權利金。

好處是,風險小了一點,多了笑看回調的心態。

即使哪天真的崩盤,有抄底的資金。

壞處嘛,今年波段操作下來交稅要交到手軟。 

這些收益都是已經兌現的,下半年爭取別再賣太多了,爭取少交稅:但說到底,也由不得我。

市場就是這樣:想動不敢動,想不動又被逼著動。

回頭看,總是 Vision 2020。

交稅歸交稅,總比虧本金強。

更何況,賬戶又創了新高。 

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閱讀 ()評論 (4)
評論
BrightLine 回複 悄悄話 回複 'dep_blue' 的評論 : 謝謝Edward O. Thorp的更正
BrightLine 回複 悄悄話 回複 '雲起千百度' 的評論 : 不錯,交易時不能考慮太多稅的問題。但是能不交稅還是不交稅,哈哈
雲起千百度 回複 悄悄話 交稅有啥關係,曆史上沒有一個交易大師在交易操作上注重省稅,甚至都不提到稅,這是有道理的。短炒的本金你今年已經賺了一輪又一輪,比放QQQ好太多了,LOL
dep_blue 回複 悄悄話 Thanks for sharing, great returns! It seems that many people are very interested in knowing your trading capital and net worth. I’d like to take a bold guess: it appears you have about $50–80 million in individual stocks, with the rest in ETFs. Your net worth could be in the range of $200–300 million. What an incredible accomplishment! We’ve benefited quite a bit from your real stories.

Your explanation of option pricing was excellent. You’ve clearly mastered the key points of options in such a short time. However, the Black-Scholes model wasn’t first invented or used by those three; it was actually discovered and used earlier by Edward O. Thorp. Since Professor Thorp applied it in trading and didn’t publish his findings, he missed the Nobel Prize that went instead to Myron Scholes and Robert C. Merton.

Dr. Thorp has written several famous books, such as Beat the Dealer and Beat the Market. I’m quite sure you’ve read them before. Keep up your great writing so we can continue benefiting from your generosity.
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