黃油油的閑話
油油膩膩的二話
《國家利益》，噩夢連連哈。這裏收集了幾篇有關航母的噩夢。
先是說海軍的噩夢非常真實且無法解決：
海軍的航空母艦噩夢非常真實且無法解決
摘要：自二戰以來，美國就將航空母艦作為其海軍戰略的核心。現在這可能是一個巨大的錯誤。
-然而，當今來自中國和俄羅斯等大國以及中型國家和非國家行為者的全球威脅迫使美國進行戰略改革。
-美國海軍對航母的依賴是可以預見的，這使得它們容易受到這些對手開發的先進反介入/區域拒止 (A2/AD) 係統的攻擊。
-高超音速武器和反艦導彈（如中國的 DF-21）可能會嚴重削弱美國航母在未來衝突中的效力。
The Navy's Aircraft Carrier Nightmare Is Very Real and Unsolvable
The United States has made aircraft carriers the core of its naval strategy since World War II. That now might be one giant mistake.
-However, today's global threats from major powers like China and Russia, as well as medium-sized states and non-state actors, necessitate a strategic overhaul.
-The U.S. Navy's reliance on carriers is predictable, making them vulnerable to advanced anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) systems developed by these adversaries.
-Hypersonic weapons and anti-ship missiles, such as China’s DF-21, could severely undermine the effectiveness of U.S. carriers in future conflicts.
The Navy's Aircraft Carrier Nightmare Is Very Real and Unsolvable | The National Interest
然後就是沒有解決辦法，這可咋整？
美國海軍真正的航空母艦噩夢沒有簡單的解決辦法
摘要：美國海軍的航空母艦艦隊規模龐大，但分布不均，持續的維護和現代化改造常常導致多艘航空母艦無法服役。
福特級等新型航母成本高、建造時間長，再加上招募和供應鏈方麵的挑戰，阻礙了艦隊的擴張。
盡管存在這些問題，海軍仍致力於維持其航母部隊，但必須適應預算和後勤限製。
The U.S. Navy's Real Aircraft Carrier Nightmare Has No Easy Solution
The U.S. Navy's aircraft carrier fleet is extensive but spread thin, with ongoing maintenance and modernization efforts often keeping several carriers out of service.
Summary: The U.S. Navy's aircraft carrier fleet is extensive but spread thin, with ongoing maintenance and modernization efforts often keeping several carriers out of service.
The high costs and long construction times for new carriers like the Gerald R. Ford-class, coupled with recruitment and supply chain challenges, hinder the expansion of the fleet.
Despite these issues, the Navy is committed to maintaining its carrier force, but must adapt to budgetary and logistical constraints.
The U.S. Navy's Real Aircraft Carrier Nightmare Has No Easy Solution | The National Interest
結果就是海軍的噩夢已經到來，因為航母時代似乎已經結束了：
海軍的噩夢已經到來：航空母艦時代似乎已經結束
摘要：批評人士認為，由於國防技術的不斷發展，近 80 年來一直是美國海戰和力量投射基石的航空母艦時代可能即將終結。潛艇、水麵艦艇，尤其是高超音速導彈等現代威脅對這些昂貴的艦艇構成了重大風險，而美國目前缺乏防禦能力。盡管航空母艦具有標誌性地位，並有能力在全球範圍內投射空中力量，但中國等潛在對手不斷增強的能力使航空母艦未來的生存能力受到質疑。這種轉變反映了軍事史上更廣泛的模式，即戰爭的進步使以前的主導技術過時。
The Navy's Nightmare Has Arrived: The Aircraft Carrier Age Looks Done
Critics argue that the era of the aircraft carrier, a cornerstone of U.S. naval warfare and power projection for nearly eighty years, may be ending due to evolving defense technologies.
Summary: Critics argue that the era of the aircraft carrier, a cornerstone of U.S. naval warfare and power projection for nearly eighty years, may be ending due to evolving defense technologies. Modern threats like submarines, surface vessels, and especially hypersonic missiles, which the U.S. currently lacks defenses against, pose significant risks to these expensive vessels. Despite their iconic status and ability to project airpower globally, the growing capabilities of potential adversaries like China question the aircraft carrier's future viability. This shift reflects a broader pattern in military history, where advances in warfare render previous dominant technologies obsolete.
The Navy's Nightmare Has Arrived: The Aircraft Carrier Age Looks Done | The National Interest
然後就直接說大航母時代已經成為過去時：
海軍航空母艦時代已經結束
摘要：本文批評了美國對航空母艦的持續投資，稱它們與過去過時的戰艦相似，因為它們容易受到現代導彈技術的攻擊。
-文章強調了海戰的轉變，強調中國等國家和胡塞叛軍等非國家行為者已經開發出具有成本效益的反艦導彈，能夠挑戰美國的海上霸權，特別是在印度洋-太平洋和紅海等地區。
-作者主張戰略轉向潛艇和更靈活的水麵艦艇，同時投資高超音速和太空武器，以保持美國軍方應對不斷演變的威脅的全球效力。
The Age of the Navy Aircraft Carrier Is Over
Much as the battleship was the byproduct of a bygone era when World War II erupted in the Pacific, the modern aircraft carrier is symbol of a long-gone age.
Summary: The article critiques the United States' continued investment in aircraft carriers, likening them to obsolete battleships of the past due to their vulnerability to modern missile technologies.
-It highlights the shift in naval warfare, emphasizing that countries like China and non-state actors like the Houthi Rebels have developed cost-effective anti-ship missiles capable of challenging US naval supremacy, particularly in regions like the Indo-Pacific and the Red Sea.
-The author advocates for a strategic pivot towards submarines and more agile surface ships, alongside investment in hypersonic and space weapons, to maintain the US military's global effectiveness against evolving threats.
The Age of the Navy Aircraft Carrier Is Over | The National Interest
然後幹脆就說航母對中國沒用，毫無用處：
美國海軍航空母艦對中國毫無用處
摘要和要點：如果西方主流軍事分析家認為潛在的中美衝突將類似於二戰太平洋戰區，那就錯了。現代戰爭，尤其是與中國的戰爭，涉及灰色地帶作戰和複雜的反介入/區域拒止 (A2/AD) 係統，這使得傳統航空母艦無法發揮作用。
-中國已經開發出高超音速武器、網絡戰和電子戰能力，旨在抵消美國的軍事優勢。
-美國必須利用太空係統和高超音速武器等新技術進行創新，以應對中國的 A2/AD 威脅。在與中國的衝突中，依靠航空母艦作為美國軍事力量的頂峰已經過時且不切實際。
U.S. Navy Aircraft Carriers Are Useless Against China
China has developed hypersonic weapons, cyberwarfare, and electronic warfare capabilities designed to neutralize U.S. military advantages like aircraft carriers.
Summary and Key Points: Mainstream military analysts in the West are mistaken if they think a potential Sino-American conflict will resemble the Pacific Theater of WWII. Modern warfare, particularly with China, involves grayzone operations and sophisticated anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) systems that render traditional aircraft carriers ineffective.
-China has developed hypersonic weapons, cyberwarfare, and electronic warfare capabilities designed to neutralize U.S. military advantages.
-The U.S. must innovate with new technologies, such as space-based systems and hypersonic weapons, to counter China's A2/AD threat. Relying on aircraft carriers as the pinnacle of U.S. military power in a conflict with China is outdated and impractical.
U.S. Navy Aircraft Carriers Are Useless Against China | The National Interest
