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中國當局曾否認蝙蝠為病毒病源。

(2021-06-28 06:15:46) 下一個

中國當局曾否認蝙蝠為病毒病源。



PRC-CDC Once Had Denied Natural Bats as SARS-2 Origin..
中國當局曾否認蝙蝠為病毒病源。

直言簡評,2021-06-27。
https://zhiyanleback.blogspot.com/p/prc-cdc-once-had-denied-natural-bats-as_27.html  
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CmplmlxFSEQ&t=22s

世衛組織和中國的聯合調查說,自然蝙蝠是本次疫情的病毒病源,實驗室病源是極不可能的。一年多來,凡是持有實驗室病源看法者,就會被主流科學界及其媒體以及中國方麵扣上‘陰謀論’的帽子而予以封殺封口;中國方麵則將其稱為‘抹黑’中國的敵人。

然而,疫情在中國規模爆發初期,譬如2020-01-18及之前,中國當局主管部門(中疾控)十分明確地否認蝙蝠病源說,且語氣強烈地把該說法稱為‘謠言’(在中國大陸,被稱為‘謠言’者往往會被封殺封閉、甚至被抓去關押)。同時,該當局說明,病毒之所以‘新’的主要依據是可以人傳人,盡管他們和世衛組織聯手多時說‘沒證據證明人傳人’、直到2020-01-20蓋不住了、才公開說可人傳人。

約兩周後,以武漢病毒所石正麗給實驗室病源扣上‘陰謀論’帽子的聲明為標誌,中國當局公開轉變,把病源歸於自然蝙蝠、抨擊實驗室病源說為‘陰謀論’。前後與此並行,中國當局聯手世衛組織,猛烈譴責美國川普當局為防疫而采取的旅行限製措施,縱容來自中國的攜帶病毒的旅客把病毒傳播到美國和世界各地,為其稍後開始‘甩鍋’和把病毒病源歸於美國和其它西方國家、提供了全球性的大規模疫情條件。直到現在,中國方麵還在用美國等西方國家疫情規模很大而說病源在美國;其做法,就好比一個縱火者以鄰居火勢很大而說鄰居是縱火者的無賴栽贓做法一樣。

世衛組織和中國方麵的聯合調查開始前,世衛組織項目負責人發表聲明做了調查結論,說病源是自然蝙蝠、說實驗室病源‘極不可能’,即:調查還沒開始,結論已經按中國方麵需要而做好了。在聯合國的曆史上,就全球重大問題而做出如此公開違規的事情,恐怕是第一次。

與此並行,中國方麵刪除了許多疫情和病毒的檔案記錄。其中一個,是中科院媒體發布的武漢當地病例Wuhan-Hu-1。該病例說明,2019年11月20日,中國武漢地區就有確診和住院護理的新冠病毒疫情發生了,而不是世衛組織和中國的聯合調查報告說的2019年12月08日前、中國沒有病例。這故事說明,最遲2019年09月,新冠病毒就已經在中國武漢地區規模傳播了。這故事也說明,世衛組織和中國的聯合調查報告涉嫌嚴重作弊。

該病例刪除了,然而,中國方麵無法刪除就該病例而在國際社會發表的醫學報告和論文、以及那些報告和論文所使用的病毒基因數據(按國際社會慣例,作者可以撤回論文報告,但該論文原件保留存檔、讀者還可以看到)。該基因數據說明:病毒含有自然病毒沒有而人類特有的cct-cgg-cgg-gca四個密碼子,這就足以說明新冠病毒來自實驗室而不是自然蝙蝠;不同版本出現規模集中的變異,而這類變異是不可能在自然界短期出現、在實驗室條件下卻完全可以做到的,即這也可說明病毒來自實驗室。

簡而言之,本文引用的事實根據說明,本次疫情病源足夠清楚:病毒來自實驗室,全球規模疫情來自世衛組織和中國方麵聯手縱容疫情全球擴散。附後是與美國人士交流的文字。估計公開後,中國方麵可能再次刪除相關記錄和數據,為證據存檔故而拖延了三兩天才於此公開發表。如下:


PRC-CDC Once Had Denied Natural Bats as SARS-2 Origin.
By Zhiyan-Le, 2021-06-25.
https://zhiyanleback.blogspot.com/p/prc-cdc-had-denied-natural-bats-as-sars.html

WHO-China joint report set natural bats, such as RaTG13, as the SARS-2 origin and stated that lab-leak (or made) as most unlikely. For more than a year, if you say that the SARS-2 origin comes from lab rather than from natural bats, you can be labeled as a conspiracy theorist. The PRC authorities have been especially doing such labeling. If you say that the PRC officials had known SARS-2 can do H2H/P2P (human-to-human/person-to-person transmission) at the pandemic early stage, the PRC authorities will title you as an enemy of anti-China.

However, right at the early time of this pandemic happening in China, the PRC authorities took bat-origin as rumors with clear acknowledge of H2H/P2P virus. Here is a PRC-CDC publication dated of 2020-01-18 and titled as [Five Rumors You Cannot Believe]:

關於
武漢病毒性肺炎,這5大謠言 千萬別信!
China CDC 2020-01-18
http://www.chinacdc.cn/jkzt/crb/qt/szkb_11803/jszl_2275/202001/t20200118_211265.html 
謠言4:SARS沒消失過,一直寄生蝙蝠。
真相:2002年-2003年,我國暴發SARS疫情,近十多年,我國再未發現SARS病例,目前在蝙蝠體內也沒有檢測發現人SARS冠狀病毒。
謠言5:武漢肺炎病毒為由來已久的非典類科羅納病毒。
真相:網上盛傳的“科羅納病毒”是由coronavirus(冠狀病毒)音譯而來,引起武漢病毒性肺炎疫情的病原體為一種新的冠狀病毒,不是SARS病毒。目前調查顯示,
該病毒人際間傳播能力和致病性均較SARS弱。(see below, Picture 01).

It says (Google Online Translation):

Rumor 4: SARS has never disappeared, and bats have been parasitic.
The truth: The SARS epidemic broke out in my country from 2002 to 2003. In the past ten years, no SARS cases have been found in our country, and
no human SARS coronavirus has been detected in bats.

Rumor 5: Wuhan Pneumonia Virus is the long-standing SARS Coronavirus.
The truth: The “Corona virus” that is widely circulated on the Internet is a transliteration of coronavirus (coronavirus). The pathogen causing the Wuhan Viral Pneumonia Epidemic is a new coronavirus, not SARS. Current investigations show that the
human-to-human transmission and pathogenicity of the virus are weaker than those of SARS. #

And the PRC-CDC drawing marked a big [NO] re the bat-origin.




Note: The above record shows that the term [Wuhan Virus] or [Wuhan pneumonia] was created by PRC itself and was used for some time, not created by ex-President Trump (as so many media reported).

Note: The publication date is 2020-01-18. That is, in very early stage of this pandemic started in PRC, hot debate re SARS-2 origin was already going on among many Chinese, forcing PRC-CDC to express its views. About two weeks later, Feb.02 2020. Dr. Shi Zhengli of PRC-WIV stated that lab-made/leak is a conspiracy theory and that the SARS-2 origin is natural bats; meanwhile, Mr. Bai Chunli, President of the PRC NAS (the top boss of PRC-WIV and the like), told the US NAS that the SARS-2 origin is natural bats. Few days later, Lancet issued a co-signed letter saying the same with a strong toning to label lab-made/leak as politically motivated conspiracy theory.

Moreover, the WHO-China joint report set the first group of pandemic cases in China at Dec.08 2019. For this purpose, the PRC authorities deleted a medical record that shows a confirmed and hospitalized case is dated from Nov.20 to Nov.26 of 2019, in Wuhan City, (see below, Picture 02), meaning that, in PRC, SARS-2 virus had been spreading since Sept-2019 for the latest. And it just happened that, 2019-09-18, Wuhan City hosted a real time exercise re pandemic emergencies, for which PRC-WIV provided SARS-2 samples and test/ treatment tech/skills (this is the most likely event re SARS-2 leaks, although the leaker may not necessarily be Dr. Shi Zhengli of PRC-WIV.).

No doubt, the above record put the WHO-China joint report not hold any more, at least, its relevant date and the origin bat are knowingly misleading.


Worth noting: re the above deleted record, it has a SARS-2 genomic sequence with three versions. The alignment of its version 1 and 3 is as follows:

GenBank: MN908947,.
Wuhan seafood market pneumonia virus isolate Wuhan-Hu-1, complete genome.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/nuccore/MN908947
V1 (version 1): 30473 bp; V3 (version 3): 29903 bp.

On single gene level, the two versions have an identity of 98% and a gap of 570-BP (Att. Ref-01). How come, in nature, this 570-BP change happened in about 2 months? On global codon level, the two versions have an obvious difference focusing on 2nd/3rd BP and G/T genes, and G has a positive and T as a negative changing gap. See below:

Table 01:

 Global Codon Freq. Distribution re MN908947 (versions 1 &3)
V1 (10157 BP)
  1st 2nd 3rd avrg 1st 2nd 3rd avrg
A 3075 2903 3137 3038.33 30.3% 28.6% 30.9% 29.91%
C 2132 1610 1862 1868.00 21.0% 15.9% 18.3% 18.39%
G 1525 1909 2517 1983.67 15.0% 18.8% 24.8% 19.53%
T 3425 3735 2641 3267.00 33.7% 36.8% 26.0% 32.17%
V3 (9967 BP)
  1st 2nd 3rd avrg 1st 2nd 3rd avrg
A 2855 3077 3020 2984.00 28.6% 30.9% 30.3% 29.94%
C 1583 1818 2091 1830.67 15.9% 18.2% 21.0% 18.37%
G 1877 2492 1494 1954.33 18.8% 25.0% 15.0% 19.61%
T 3652 2580 3362 3198.00 36.6% 25.9% 33.7% 32.09%
Gap: V3  - V1.
  1st 2nd 3rd avrg 1st 2nd 3rd avrg
A -220 174 -117 -54.33 -1.7% 2.3% -0.6% 0.03%
C -549 208 229 -37.33 -5.1% 2.3% 2.7% -0.02%
G 352 583 -1023 -29.33 3.8% 6.2% -9.8% 0.08%
T 227 -1155 721 -69.00 2.9% -10.9% 7.7% -0.08%


Re the above two questions, the PRC provider has not given a clear explanation on how those changes happened in two months.

Importantly, both versions have 4 codon CCT-CGG-CGG-GCA, which exist in human but not in natural viruses (See: Dr. Steven C. Quay: Bayesian Analysis of SARS-CoV-2 Origin, 27 January 2021).

In short, the above deleted record and its genomic data have no direct indication on SARS-2 origin, but they do support PRC-CDC’s 2020-01-18 statement: the SARS-2 origin does not come from natural bats.


Pic.01:  Five Rumors You Cannot Believe (source: PRC-CDC, 2020-01-18)




Pic.02:  A Deleted Record 被刪除的記錄。

SARS2: PRC Case, 2019-11-20
Wuhan-Hu-1
https://bigd.big.ac.cn/ncov/genome/accession?q=Wuhan-Hu-1
Wuhan-Hu-1  
MN908947  
基因組信息  
病毒株名 Wuhan-Hu-1
序列號 MN908947
宿主 Homo sapiens
數據來源 GenBank
采樣日期 12/30/2019
采樣地點 China / Hubei / Wuhan
相關ID NC_045512, EPI_ISL_402125
序列完整度 Complete
質量評估 0/0/0/0/NO
樣本提供單位  
數據遞交單位 Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center & School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
發布時間 1/20/2020 20:04
序列  
臨床信息  
年齡 41
性別 M
職業 a worker of seafood market in Wuhan
發作日期 11/20/2019
入院日期 11/26/2019
旅行史/接觸史 NA
嚴重程度 NA
病患狀態 admitted to ICU after 3 days of treatment
臨床症狀及潛伏天數 fever(38.4℃), Cough, Sputum production, Dizzy, Weakness, Chess tightness, Dyspnoea; Chest radiographs were abnormal with air-space shadowing such as ground-glass opacities, focal consolidation and patchy consolidation in both lungs; Computed-tomography scans of the chest revealed bilateral focal consolidation, lobar consolidation and patchy consolidation, especially in the lower lung; A chest radiograph revealed a bilateral diffuse patchy and fuzzy shadow on day 5 after admission (day 11 after the onset of
臨床檢測 complete blood count test, blood chemistry tests, arterial blood gas test, chest radiographs, PCR, BALF, deep meta-transcriptomic sequencing
基礎病史 no history of hepatitis, tuberculosis or diabetes
其他病原菌感染 negative Bacterial culture
合並症 NA
臨床用藥和處理 Glucocorticoid therapy,Antibiotic therapy ,Antiviral therapy ,Oxygen therapy
生理生化指標追蹤 Mild lymphopoenia (defined as less than 9 × 105 cells per ml) ; Elevated levels of C-reactive protein (41.4 mg l−1 of blood; reference range, 0–6 mg l−1) ;mild hypoxaemia with oxygen levels of 67 mm Hg
出院日期 NA
相關文獻 A new coronavirus associated with human respiratory disease in China. [PMID: 32015508]
基因組變異統計  
© 2020 National Genomics Data Center, Beijing Institute of GenomicsChinese Academy of Sciences
No.1 Beichen West Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100101, China



Att. Ref 01:

NIH BLAST: MN908947: V1 x V3
Query Length: 30473 (v1)
Subject Length: 29903 (v3)
NW Score: 58571
Identities: 29896/30473(98%)
Gaps: 570/30473(1%)
Query  1      CGGTGACGCATACAAAACATTCCCACCATACCTTCCCAGGTAACAAACCAACCAACTTTC  60
                       ||  |||   ||      |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sbjct  1               ATT-AAAGGTTT------ATACCTTCCCAGGTAACAAACCAACCAACTTTC  44
 
Query  29281  TGACCTACACAGCTGCCATCAAATTGGATGACAAAGATCCAAATTTCAAAGATCAAGTCA  29340
              |||||||||||| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sbjct  29265  TGACCTACACAGGTGCCATCAAATTGGATGACAAAGATCCAAATTTCAAAGATCAAGTCA  29324
 
Query  29821  AATGTGTAAAATTAATTTTAGTAGTGCTATCCCCATGTGATTTTAATAGCTTCTTCCTGG  29880
              |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||     
Sbjct  29805  AATGTGTAAAATTAATTTTAGTAGTGCTATCCCCATGTGATTTTAATAGCTTCTT-----  29859
 
Query  29881  GATCTTGATTTCAACAGCCTCTTCCTCATACTATTCTCAACACTACTGTCAGTGAACTTC  29940
                                                                          
Sbjct         ------------------------------------------------------------  
 
Query  29941  TAAAAATGGATTCTGTGTTTGACCGTAGGAAACATTTCAGTATTCCTTATCTTTAGAAAC  30000
                                        ||||                              
Sbjct  29860  --------------------------AGGA------------------------------  29863
 
Query  30001  CTCTGCAACTCAAGTGTCTCTGCCAAAGAGTCTTCAAGGTAATGTCAAATACCATAACAT  30060
                                                                          
Sbjct         ------------------------------------------------------------  
 
Query  30061  ATTTTTTAAGTTTTTGTATACTTCCTAGGAATATATGTCATAGTATGTAAAGAAGATCTG  30120
                                                                          
Sbjct         ------------------------------------------------------------  
 
Query  30121  ATTCATGTGATCTGTACTGTTAAGAAACACTTCAAAGGAAAACAACCTCTCATAGATCTT  30180
                                                                          
Sbjct         ------------------------------------------------------------  
 
Query  30181  CAAATCCTGTTGTTCTTGAGTTGGAATGTACAATATTCAGGTAGAGATGCTGGTACAAAA  30240
                                     |||||                          ||||||
Sbjct  29864  -----------------------GAATG--------------------------ACAAAA  29874
 
Query  30241  AAAGACTGAATCATCAGGCTATTAGAAAGATAAACTAGGCCTCTAACATAGTAACTTTAA  30300
              |||                      ||| | |||                          
Sbjct  29875  AAA----------------------AAAAAAAAA--------------------------  29886
 
Query  30301  CAGTTTGTACTTATACATATTTTCACATTGAAATATAGTTTTATTCATGACTTTTTTTGT  30360
                                            |||                           
Sbjct  29887  ------------------------------AAA---------------------------  29889
 
Query  30361  TTTAGCTTCTCTGTCTTCCATTATTTCAAGCTGCTAAAAATTAAAAATATCCTATAGCAA  30420
                                                 |||||  |||||             
Sbjct  29890  -----------------------------------AAAAA--AAAAA-------------  29899
 
Query  30421  AGGGCTATGGCATCTTTTTGTAAAAATAAGGAAAGCAAGGTTTTTTGATAATC  30473
                                   ||||                            
Sbjct  29900  ---------------------AAAA                              29903
V1:23581 caggtatatgcgctagttatcagactcagactaattctcctcggcgggcacgtagtgtag
V3:23581 ttatcagactcagactaattctcctcggcgggcacgtagtgtagctagtcaatccatcat



 

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滿池嬌 回複 悄悄話 謝謝 保留證據


滿池嬌 回複 悄悄話 謝謝 保留證據

????????
蔥蒜 回複 悄悄話 這個covid-19被認為是蝙蝠病毒,但是它和人的親和性卻很遠高於蝙蝠,用它反過來感染蝙蝠卻很困難。不然的話感染一個蝙蝠,放到野外,再抓回來一測,就可以製造出病毒是自然來自蝙蝠的證據了
irisin2021 回複 悄悄話 新冠病毒是蝙蝠病毒,武漢不是蝙蝠棲息地,而武漢是世界最大的蝙蝠病毒研究所,采集和儲存大量蝙蝠病毒。懷疑新冠病毒是否是研究所無意泄露,是普通常識。但這要科學證據。隻要用現代分子生物技術很容易查明武漢病毒所保存的病毒株中,有沒有新冠病毒。若新冠病毒真是武漢病毒研究所無意泄露,這是全人類的最大福音!因為我們完全有能力防止這種事再次發生。如果不是,尋找中間傳播體難度很大,找不到中間傳播途徑,蝙蝠病毒侵害人類就可能再次發生。
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