霖誠
學習是知識的源泉，分享是人類的美德！
5-10年後，醫療健保、自駕汽車、教育、服務業都將麵臨被淘汰的危機！
1. Uber 是一家軟體公司，它沒有擁有汽車，卻能夠讓你「隨叫隨到」有汽車坐，現在，它已是全球最大的Taxi公司了。
2. Airbnb 也是一家軟體公司，它沒有擁有任何旅館，但它的軟體讓你能夠住進世界各地願出租的房間，現在，它已是全球最大的旅館業了。
3. 2016年5月，Google的電腦打敗全球最厲害的南韓圍棋高手，因為它開發出有人工智能(AI)的電腦，使用能夠「自己學習」的軟體，所以它的AI能夠加速度的進步，達到比專家原先預期的、提前10年的成就。
4. 在美國，使用IBM 的Watson電腦軟體，你能夠在幾秒內，就有90%的準確性的法律顧問，比較起隻有70%準確性的人為律師，既便捷又便宜。
所以，你如果還有家人親友在讀大學的法律係，建議他們停學省錢，因為市場已大幅的縮減了，未來的世界，隻需要現在10%的專業律師就夠了。
5. Watson 也已經能夠幫病人檢驗癌症，而且比醫生正確4 倍。
6. 臉書也有一套AI的軟體可以比人類更準確的鑒察(辨識)人臉，而且無所不在。
7. 到了2030年，AI的電腦會比世界上任何的專家學者還要聰明。
8. 2017年起，會自動駕駛的汽車就可以在公眾場所使用。約在2020年，整個汽車工業就會遭遇到全麵性的改變，你再不需要擁用汽車。你可以用手機叫自動駕駛的車，來帶你到你想去的目的地。
9. 未來的世界，你再也不必擁有車，或花時間加油、停車、排隊去考駕照、交保險費，尤其是城市，將會很安靜，走路很安全，因為90%的汽車都不見了，以前的停車場，將會變成公園。
10. 現在，平均每10萬公裏就有一次車禍，造成每年全球有約120萬人的死亡。以後有AI電腦控製的自動駕駛汽車，平均每1000萬公裏才有一次車禍，約減少一百萬人死亡。因為保險費和需要保險的人極少，保險公司會麵臨更多的挑戰。
11. 大部份的傳統汽車公司可能會麵臨倒閉。 Tesla、 Apple、及Google 的革命性軟體，將會用在每一部汽車上。據悉，Volkswagen和Audi 的工程師非常擔心Tesla革命性的電池和人工智能軟體技術。
12. 房地產公司會遭遇極大的變化。因為你可以在車程中工作，距離將不是選住房屋的主要條件之一。市民會選擇住在較遠、但是較空曠且環境優美的鄉村。
13. 電動汽車很安靜，會在2020變成主流。所以城市會很變成安靜，而且空氣幹淨。
14. 太陽能在過去30年也有快速的進展。去年，全球太陽能的增產超過石油的增產。
預計，到2025年時，太陽能的價格(低廉)會使煤礦業大量的破產。因為電費非常的便宜，淨化水及海水淡化的費用大減，人類將能解決人口增加的需水問題。
15. 健保：今年醫療設備商會供應如同「星球大戰」電影中的Tricorder，讓你的手機做眼睛的掃瞄，呼吸氣體及血液的化學檢驗：用54個「生物指標」，就可檢驗出你是否有任何疾病的征兆。因為費用低，幾年後，全球人類都可以有世界級的疾病預防服務。
16. 立體列印(3D printing)：預計10 年內，3D列印設備會由近20000美元減到400美元，而速度增加100倍快。所有的「個人化」設計鞋子，將開始用這種設備生產，其他如大型的機場，其零件也能使用這種設備供應，至於人類太空船，也會使用這種設備。
17. 今年底，你的手機就會有3D掃瞄的功能，你可以測量你的腳送去做「個人化」鞋子。據悉，在中國，他們已經用這種設備製造了一棟6層樓辦公室，預計到2027年時， 10% 的產品會用3D的列印設備製造。
18. 產業機會：
a. 工作：20年內，70-80% 的工作會消失，即使有很多新的工作機會，但是不足以彌補被智能機械所取代的原有工作。
b. 農業：將有 機械人耕作，不必吃飯、不用住宅、及支付薪水，隻要便宜的電池即可。在開發國家的農夫，將變成機械人的經理。溫室建築物可以有少量的水。到2018年，肉可以從實驗室生產，不必養豬、雞或牛。30%用在畜牧的土地，會變成其他用途的土地。很多初創公司會供給高蛋白質的昆蟲當成食品。
c. 到2020年時，你的手機會從你的表情看出，與你說話的人是不是說「假話」？是否騙人的？
d. 數位時代的錢，將是Bitcoin ，是在智能電腦中的「數據」。
e. 教育：最便宜的智能手機在非州是$10美元一隻。
f. 到2020年時，全球70%的人類會有自己的手機，所以能夠上網接受世界級的教育，但大部份的老師會被智能電腦取代。所有的「小學生」都要會寫Code，你如果不會，你就是像住在Amazon森林中的原住民，無法在社會上做什麽。你的國家，你的孩子準備好了嗎？
所以，你如果還有家人親友在讀大學的法律係，建議他們停學省錢，因為市場已大幅的縮減了，未來的世界，隻需要現在10%的專業律師就夠了。
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上法庭時怎麽用？
跟你這些高大上的未來精英比起來，這些笨窮無一族是99%的大多數人類。如何解決好他們的生存，娛樂，個人滿足問題才是政府麵臨的最大問題。你不可能把所有人都變成聰明的精英，開電動車，用比特幣。
After 5-10 years, medical health insurance, self-driving cars, education, and service industries will all face the crisis of being eliminated!
1. Uber is a software company that does not own a car, but allows you to have a car on the go. Now it is the world's largest Taxi company.
2. Airbnb is also a software company that does not own any hotels, but its software allows you to live in rooms that are willing to rent around the world. Now it is the largest hotel industry in the world.
3. In May 2016, Google's computer defeated the world's most powerful South Korean Go player, because it developed a computer with artificial intelligence (AI) and used software that can "learn by itself", so its AI can accelerate the progress. Achieve 10 years ahead of what the experts originally expected.
4. In the United States, using IBM's Watson PC software, you can have 90% accurate legal counsel in a matter of seconds, compared to a lawyer who is only 70% accurate, both convenient and cheap.
Therefore, if you have family and friends in the law department of the university, they are advised to stop school and save money, because the market has been greatly reduced. In the future world, only 10% of professional lawyers are enough.
5. Watson has also been able to help patients with cancer, and is four times more accurate than doctors.
6. Facebook also has a set of AI software that can more accurately detect (recognize) faces than humans, and is ubiquitous.
7. By 2030, AI's computers will be smarter than any expert or scholar in the world.
8. Starting in 2017, cars that drive automatically can be used in public places. About 2020, the entire automotive industry will encounter a comprehensive change, you no longer need to use cars. You can use your mobile phone to call a self-driving car to take you to the destination you want to go.
9. In the future world, you no longer have to own a car, or spend time refueling, parking, queuing to test driving licenses, paying insurance premiums, especially in the city, it will be quiet, walking is safe, because 90% of cars are gone The previous parking lot will become a park.
10. There is now a car accident every 100,000 km, resulting in the death of approximately 1.2 million people worldwide each year. In the future, there will be an auto-driving car controlled by AI computers, with an average of 10 million kilometers per car accident, reducing about one million deaths. Because insurance premiums and people who need insurance are few, insurance companies face more challenges.
11. Most traditional car companies may face bankruptcy. Tesla, Apple, and Google's revolutionary software will be used in every car. It is reported that Volkswagen and Audi engineers are very worried about Tesla's revolutionary battery and artificial intelligence software technology.
12. Real estate companies will experience tremendous changes. Because you can work in a car, the distance will not be one of the main conditions for choosing a house. The public will choose to live in a village that is far away but is relatively empty and has a beautiful environment.
13. Electric cars are quiet and will become mainstream in 2020. So the city will become quiet and the air is clean.
14. Solar energy has also made rapid progress in the past 30 years. Last year, the increase in global solar energy exceeded the increase in oil production.
It is expected that by 2025, the price of solar energy (low) will cause a lot of bankruptcy in the coal industry. Because the electricity bill is very cheap, the cost of purifying water and seawater desalination is greatly reduced, and human beings will be able to solve the problem of increased water demand.
15. Health Insurance: This year, the Medical Equipment Chamber of Commerce will supply Tricorder in the "Star Wars" movie, let your mobile phone do eye scans, chemical tests of breathing gas and blood: use 54 "biological indicators" to test you Are there any signs of illness? Because of the low cost, a few years later, people around the world can have world-class disease prevention services.
16. 3D printing: It is expected that in 10 years, 3D printing equipment will be reduced from nearly 20,000 US dollars to 400 US dollars, and the speed will increase 100 times faster. All "personalized" design shoes will begin to be produced with this type of equipment. Others, such as large airports, can also be supplied with parts, as well as human spacecraft.
17. At the end of this year, your phone will have a 3D scan function. You can measure your feet and send them to "personalized" shoes. It is reported that in China, they have used this equipment to build a six-story office. It is estimated that by 2027, 10% of the products will be manufactured using 3D printing equipment.
18. Industry Opportunities:
a. Work: In 20 years, 70-80% of work will disappear. Even if there are many new job opportunities, it is not enough to make up for the original work replaced by intelligent machinery.
b. Agriculture: There will be robotic farming, no need to eat, no house, and pay, just a cheap battery. The farmer in the developing country will become the manager of the robot. Greenhouse buildings can have a small amount of water. By 2018, meat can be produced in the laboratory without having to raise pigs, chicken or cattle. 30% of the land used for livestock will become land for other uses. Many start-up companies supply high-protein insects as food.
c. By 2020, your mobile phone will see from your expression, is the person talking to you saying "false"? Is it lie?
d. The money of the digital age will be Bitcoin, the "data" in smart computers.
e. Education: The cheapest smartphone is $10 in a non-state.
f. By 2020, 70% of the world's human beings will have their own mobile phones, so they can access the world-class education online, but most of the teachers will be replaced by smart computers. All "primary school students" will write Code. If you don't, you are like an aboriginal living in the Amazon forest and can't do anything in society. Is your child ready in your country?