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伊-沙協議 中國具有信任 美國不具備

(2023-03-15 23:55:28) 下一個

中國有一樣美國不具備的東西

2023-03-14 08:43:38  |  來源:參考消息  
 

英國《每日電訊報》網站3月11日發表美國外交政策研究所高級研究員、英國皇家三軍研究所副研究員邁克爾·斯蒂芬斯的文章,題為《為什麽中國斡旋的伊朗-沙特協議預示著地緣政治新時代的到來》。全文摘編如下:

沙特阿拉伯和伊朗10日在北京簽署了協議,為世界提供了一個進入地緣政治新時代的誘人窗口。在這個新時代中,美國不再是國際事務的唯一仲裁者。

這兩個海灣地區大國之間持續不斷的緊張關係有時可能會爆發為衝突。因此,它們能坐下來解決問題當然是一件好事。在烏克蘭衝突沒有停止跡象的情況下,沒有人希望再應對另一場國家間戰爭,尤其是在一個全球重要石油產區。

然而,是北京而不是華盛頓與雙方坐在一起簽署協議,這一事實是個大新聞。

1月14日,在沙特阿拉伯首都利雅得世界大道“中國城”舉辦的“2023歡樂春節”活動中,嘉賓為“醒獅”點睛。(新華社)

就大國政治而言,中東一直是美國的管轄範圍。盡管中東地區許多國家認為美國的領導地位難以接受,但它們從未質疑過基本事實。美國是地球上的老大,如果需要做什麽,要先跟華盛頓談,然後再跟其他所有人談。

有些時候華盛頓明顯偏袒一方,這一點使其成為一個糟糕的仲裁者。是的,地球上還有其他國家,俄羅斯、法國、英國,但始終是美國人在製定議程。但這次不是這樣。

美國人在簽署協議時並不在場,也沒有製定協議內容,這一事實非常重要,也是即將發生的事情的一個征兆。中國人向地區國家表明,他們是值得信賴的,這一協議隻會有助於增強北京迅速增長的地區影響力和實力。

美國總統拜登毫不掩飾自己的觀點,即中東在外交上隻是一個次要問題,與中國的全球競爭以及俄羅斯對烏克蘭的特別軍事行動,使中東降為其政府的遠期重點。

北京可能缺乏華盛頓部署的火力,但這份協議表明,它有一樣美國不具備的東西:可信度,這是任何數量的坦克、飛機和炸彈都無法彌補的。

China brokers deal for Saudi and Iran to normalise relations in major diplomatic coup

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/03/10/china-brokers-deal-iran-saudi-arabia-resume-diplomatic-relations/

The agreement to restore ties ‘within two months’ was reached after four days of meetings between delegates from the long-time foes

 MIDDLE EAST CORRESPONDENT and  US CORRESPONDENT
 

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman welcoming Chinese President Xi Jinping during his visit to Saudi Arabia in December 2022

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman welcoming Chinese President Xi Jinping during his visit to Saudi Arabia in December 2022 CREDIT: BANDAR ALJALOUD/HANDOUT/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

China has brokered a deal for Iran and Saudi Arabia to resume diplomatic relations, in a major diplomatic coup for Beijing that appeared to leave the kingdom’s US ally out in the cold.

The agreement to restore ties, including embassies and missions, “within two months” was reached after four days of meetings in the Chinese capital between delegates from the long-time foes, the two countries said in a joint communique with China.

“The agreement includes their affirmation of the respect for the sovereignty of states and the non-interference in internal affairs,” the statement added.

Hossein Amirabdollahian, Iranian Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian, later hinted at further news to come, saying all three nations were in support of “more regional steps.”

The breakthrough marked China’s emergence as a key player in Middle Eastern politics as the United States and the West pivot away from the region.

"This is a big deal," said Michael Stephens, an associate fellow at RUSI. "Not because Saudi and Iran have patched things up... but because the US was nowhere near it. Shifts are happening very, very fast.”

‘De-escalate tensions in the region’

The US last night attempted to downplay the significance of the changing global power dynamics.

President Joe Biden told reporters on Friday: “The better relations between Israel and its Arab neighbours, the better for everybody.”

The Biden administration has called China’s rise the single greatest geopolitical threat to the US of the 21st century, though John Kirby, a spokesman for the National Security Council, declined on Friday to criticise its role in brokering the rapprochement.

Mr Kirby rejected the notion that Beijing was filling a void in the Middle East left by the US. “I would stridently push back on this idea that we are stepping back in the Middle East,” he said, adding that Riyadh kept Washington informed of the talks with Iran. “We support any effort there to de-escalate tensions in the region.”

Israel’s opposition leader said the deal represented a massive failure for Benjamin Netanyahu, who has sought to bring Saudi Arabia on side as part of an alliance against arch-enemy Iran under the US-brokered Abraham Accords.

“It’s a collapse of the regional defence wall that we began to build against Iran,” Yair Lapid said on Friday, and “a total and dangerous foreign policy failure of the Israeli government.”

“This is what happens when you are occupied all day by an insane legal project instead of handling Iran.”

It came as diplomats are exerting efforts to end the civil war in Yemen where Iran supports the Houthi rebels and Saudi Arabia supports the exiled government in Aden.

Riyadh cut ties with Tehran in 2016 after protesters attacked its diplomatic posts in Iran following Saudi Arabia's execution of a prominent Shiite cleric, Nimr al-Nimr.

Iranian protesters outside the Saudi embassy in Tehran chant slogans and hold pictures of Shi'ite cleric Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr back in 2016
Iranian protesters outside the Saudi embassy in Tehran chant slogans and hold pictures of Shi'ite cleric Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr back in 2016 CREDIT: REUTERS

After the United States unilaterally withdrew from Iran’s nuclear deal with world powers in 2018, Tehran embarked on an increased programme of uranium enrichment, increasing tensions across the region as Israel and Saudi Arabia warned of the threat of a nuclear armed Islamic republic.

Tensions have since remained high between the arch rivals – with Riyadh representing the most powerful Sunni state in the region and Tehran the biggest Shiite power – with a devastating attack on the heart of Saudi oil production attributed to Tehran.

“This is a victory for dialogue, a victory for peace, offering major good news at a time of much turbulence in the world,” said Wang Yi, China’s top diplomat.

China has also sought to establish itself as a mediator in the Ukraine war, offering a peace plan to both parties that has so far gained little traction.

Mr Wang said Beijing will continue to play a constructive role in handling hotspot issues in the world and demonstrate its responsibility as a major nation. “The world is not just limited to the Ukraine issue,” he said.

As Mr Biden seeks to pivot to confront a resurgent China, Beijing stepping in to lead diplomatic efforts in the Middle East indicated a major change, said Mr Stephens.

“The US burned its leverage through inconsistency, it’s as simple as that,” he said.

Washington pushed for normalisation that saw the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain recognise Israel
Washington pushed for normalisation that saw the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain recognise Israel CREDIT: Shutterstock

In the first decade of the 21st century, the Middle East was critical for the US as it invaded Iraq and relied on Saudi Arabia for its domestic oil needs.

Today though the US imports less than 10 per cent of its oil from Saudi Arabia, while the vast majority of Beijing’s energy needs are met by the Gulf and Iran.

Successive administrations under former president Barack Obama, Donald Trump and Mr Biden have downgraded the strategic importance of the Middle East, even as Washington continued to lead regional diplomatic efforts, such as the push for normalisation that saw the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain recognise Israel in 2020.

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