你覺著椰林敢加息嗎？

據說下周椰林就要加息了，0.25%年利率。

 

政府債務現在是18萬億， 450億一年，小意思了。反正政府可以無限借錢：
2015 fiscal year deficit was $445 billion.
The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office has forecast a $414 billion deficit for fiscal 2016
Read more at Reuters http://www.reuters.com/article/u ... u5u8p7PwkUtWBCfE.99

這裏是這麽說的：http://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/

Today’s Federal Debt is about $18,835,717,795,000.
The amount is the gross outstanding federal debt issued by the United States Department of the Treasury since 1790.
But, it doesn’t include state and local debt.
And, it doesn’t include so-called “agency debt.”
And, it doesn’t include the so-called unfunded liabilities of entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare.
Federal Debt per person is about $57,725.

這裏說http://www.forbes.com/sites/real ... xceed-127-trillion/
unfunded liabilities是127萬億。

加上所有債務，據說是170-200萬億。再算利息，嗬嗬，那可是4000億（400billion)一年了。

你說什麽？4000億？2016年不算加息，預算赤字不就是4000億嗎？你加0.25%的利息，赤字就要加一倍？
嗬嗬，好像是也。你來看看我什麽地方算得不對好麽？

你覺著椰林敢加息嗎？

果然有高手。有人指出，國債是固定利率，所以受影響的隻是未來一年新發債券要比最近十年零利率的國債多付利息。國債大多三十年期，簡單算一下，也就是4000億的三十分之一，也就是130億。 好吧，看上去不多，不過別忘了這是0.25%利率增加的金額。如果增加到2.5%呢？那是1300億，5%那是2600億。