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'展望2008之後中國'

(2007-08-09 11:47:42) 下一個
http://news.wenxuecity.com/messages/200708/news-gb2312-441671.html
。“中國外匯儲備即國外債權正在大幅貶值和縮水 

更危險的還有,那就是西方發達國家針對中國的重商主義戰略采取了放鬆銀根的貨幣放水政策。自90年代中期起,格林斯潘主政的美聯儲便增加貨幣發行量,這種寬鬆的貨幣政策不僅使美國的股市大漲,房價大漲,進口額和外貿赤字也大漲。中美之間的貿易赤字多年來居高不下,近10年來,中國流入美國的貿易順差足有1萬多億美元。也就是說中國向美國額外輸出了大約10萬億元人民幣的實物貨物,等於借給美國10萬億元人民幣的貸款。 

對此現象,美國人說得很輕鬆:“我們印鈔票,中國人給貨物,大家都願意。”但這種現象的背後卻是真正的中國國民財富大出血。積攢下來的外匯儲備僅僅是一堆鈔票,或者叫財富符號,對國民生活沒有任何意義。特別是由於美元日益貶值,前些年我國辛辛苦苦積攢下外匯儲備正在逐漸縮水。"

American called our foreign exchange reserve "nuclear weapon", hehe.
I guess we should make the best use of it. Spending $3billion buying Blackstone and being locked up for four years doesn't sound like a nuclear weapon at all. It only trapped Chinese government in a dilemma. To gain return from its investment, Chinese government may have to give Blackstone more deals at favorable conditions. 

What can be real nuclear weapon? Lend money to our multinational companies ( say Haier, Huawei) at favorable conditions so that they can 1. build factories in the US (land is cheap here). 2. acquire the small high growth firms in the US, especially those with patents. Our talents are attracted to here. So, we can also bring our money here to help them to set up businesses. US belongs to us and we just come a little late, haha. I hope that China will have a toyota level company in the US in the future.  If narrow minded Japanese can achieve it, we can do it better! Chinese culture is fundamentally more harmonious and broad minded. We are as smart as Jap.













 

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