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從AMKR談主力的力量和操作方式

(2006-10-07 11:24:41) 下一個
從AMKR談主力的力量和操作方式

昨天,AMKR盤後出了所謂的好消息,隨即暴漲。14M的空頭這下慘了。下周不用多頭拉,空頭競相互軋,沒有賣單,就夠慘烈了。如果除去一些典型的大日成交量,AMKR的日成交量在2/3M左右,也就是說,空頭短時間內缺乏足夠的賣單來平倉,軋空走勢因此會持續一段時間。再次放量後,多方要考慮短線平倉。

這裏想說的是主力的力量和操作方式。

AMKR Oct $5 call QELJA在上周星期五2006/09/29交易異常。在收盤前兩小時,AMKR被強行打壓收盤於~$5.20.而QELJA不降反而大升並被大成交量掃盤於0.80-0.90。Somebody knows something?

昨天從日線圖上看AMKR在三連漲後出現破位的跳空低開並一度打穿$5支撐線,從圖形上看是短線看跌形態,其實質是TA誘空!

在媒體上,昨天星期五一大早ET 9:45am,The Wall Street Journal Online 就發布了Amkor Dangles Chapter 11 Threat In Bondholder Spat的致命消息。5分鍾圖上AMKR伴隨大成交量瘋狂下跌,隨後大成交量V型反轉,全天5分鍾圖形成反彈無力的TA形態。這個消息成功地把AMKR送上了放空排行榜的當日第一(見http://shortpicks.blogspot.com/)!對於流通盤隻有106.63M的AMKR,在操作旋律為放空的情況下能在暴漲前成交8.8M並完成最後一洗,這個計劃完成的相當不錯!

然後在盤後,也就是在發布有破產威脅後幾個小時,澄清Everything is perfect!做得合理合法。

華爾街是最血腥黑暗的地方!

都雲作者癡,誰解其中味!

AMKR的default insolvency and bond indebenture遊戲比起幾年前的ICGE完全是小兒科。

2003年5月之後,ICGE主力為了吸籌,在散布default insolvency and bond indebenture消息不果之後,CEO賣股,bond swap (proactively take the famous death spiral), parent company SFE sold all its 10% holdings on public market, which is very rare (Especially, SFE never thought to liquidate its holdings on ICGE when ICGE was in $200+s but it did when it became $0.60s. Also, there was an about 10 days PR delay which is after the sales were finished), CEO bonus $1M for no reason, CEO and top executives got issued new company common shares (ie dilution to shareholders) etc...

遊戲隻是遊戲!But retail investors and mid- and small- hedge funds and institutions are always the ones being fooled!

再一次證明了散戶隻有走TA這條路!
TA有蛛絲馬跡嗎?
當然有!
看圖識字,在這發生前其2006/09 27/28兩天打穿並拉回$5支撐線雙雙暴巨量!兩個15M的成交量就是買進信號!

By the way, ICGE ever did the same thing for BBBB big boys by selling small portion of its BBBB holdings on the public market!

Nothing new is under the sun. History always repeats itself. Wall street does as well.
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