2006/04/28: Top 10 NDX are showing weak signs 給多頭提個醒
(2006-10-05 19:56:37)
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2006/04/28: Top 10 NDX are showing weak signs 給多頭提個醒
A major correction on both NDX and SP500 may be coming soon. SP500 needs confirmation from bank sector though. But it's just gives the timing when it goes down as it unlikely goes up any more.
Second half year will lead another bullish market, so far. Because the major body inside is truely not weak. For example, today Naz and NDX dropped a lot but that's just purely contributed by MSFT alone.
The next rally may be still led by MSFT and INTC.
給多頭提個醒,很吃驚金融板這兩天漲瘋了,C剛創了新高,而BAC/WFC/WB/JPM簡直就是瘋了。GE/PFE/XOM等今天還繼續帶隊,但SP500還是漲不上去,看來要有一個major correction了。這種情況應是牛市啟動信號的,但若是牛市啟動,今天這種情況,SP500應該漲至少20點。沒漲說明主體在跌,而且幅度不小。
NDX new year rally後,就沒走強過。INTC/MSFT在下麵,一時半會上不來。但NDX也不大會跌太多了。覺得盤跌的可能性大些。
等金融板停漲了的時候,要做空了。
Old leaders like GS/MS are dropping their head now. Banks look like the last straws to hold the index on the current level. Especially because they surge up in such a short term. SP500 has been super strong since the end of last Nov. It needs a major correction before it goes up again.