股海一粟的博客

投資是一門藝術,投資是一所永遠的學校。股海一粟第一次接觸到股票還是在1988年,那時候上海隻有老八股,沒有正規的交易所。。。那一年股海一粟隻有10歲。
博文
Today’sTransactions:
ClosedFROFeb50putat$6.50
Reason:thesectorshowedrelativestrengthagainstthebroadmarketrecently.ThemainreasoncitedisOpecproducedmoreoilthantheirquotainOctober.Sojusttakelossandwaitforanotheropportunitytorevisittheposition.
OpenedashortpositioninSOHUJan0850callat$5.00
Reason:whenIfirstinitiatedthepositioninSOHUbackinSeptember,Imentionedoneofthemainrisksforthisstoc...[閱讀全文]
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Themarkethasaholidayrallyaftersharpselloffearlierintheweek.However,itisworthnotingthattoday’svolumeisextremelylowsonotmuchconclusionshouldbedrawn.USdollar,ontheotherhand,hitanotherrecordlowagainstEuroovernight.Goldperformedquitewellduetoweakeningdollar.Asfornextweek,wearegoingtogetseveralimportantpiecesofeconomicnews,includingOctoberhomesalesdataandFed’sBeigeBook.Howthemarketreactstothemwillmore...[閱讀全文]
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ThereisnofreeturkeyonWallStreet.Yesterday’sreversalisprovedtobeshort-lived.Westartedthedayinaverynegativetoneasapparentlybullsweremoreafraidofholdingthestocksthroughholidaythanbears.Theweeklyoilinventorydatadidn’thelpeither.Butoilretreatedamidprofittaking.Itnowseemsjustamatteroftimebeforethecommodityreaching$100mark.TheUSdollargotweakenedagainamidcontinuingyenunwindingtrade.Notsurprisingly,goldp...[閱讀全文]
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Today’sTransactions:
DidaT+0inDRYS:boughtaveragedat$74.93andsoldaveragedat$75.40
AddedmoreDRYSaveragedat$80.47
OpenedapositioninWBaveragedat$39.57stoplossifthestockisclosedbelow$35.00
Reason:atthispoint,Ibelievethereisvaluationinthefinancialsectorifyouhavepatience.ThemainreasonIpickedWBisduetoheavyinsiderbuyingactivity.Whocanknowthiscompanybetterthanitsinsiders?Betteryet,itpaysrou...[閱讀全文]
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Today’sTransactions:
DidaT+0tradeinDRYS:Boughtaveragedat$79.14andsoldaveragedat$79.36
SoldpartofSOHUat$47.82
Today’sReturn:1.22%
Returnsinceinception(June05,2007):127.53%
S&P500ReturnsinceJune05,2007:-6.46%
Mypositions:
PG
UTSIJan0910Call
GOOGDec07400Call
SOHU
DRYS
GOOGMar08500Call
FROFeb0850put
CXJan0840put
ITRIJan08100put
UPLJan08...[閱讀全文]
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Inyesterday’smarketupdate,Iwaspredictingareversalmightcomesoon.Weactuallygottworeversalstoday–luckily,themarketfinishedthesessioninpositiveterritory.EvenbeforetheUSmarketopenedthismorning,therewerealreadyreversalsinoverseasmarkets.Forexample,theHongKong’sHangSengIndexdroppedmorethan1000pointsbeforeclosingitssessionupbymorethan300points.At7amET,theDowfutureindicatedthatthemarketwouldopenhigherby...[閱讀全文]
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Today’sTransactions:
DidaT+0tradeinDRYS:Boughtaveragedat$84.41andsoldaveragedat$85.38
Today’sReturn:-3.41%
Returnsinceinception(June05,2007):124.78%
S&P500ReturnsinceJune05,2007:-6.88%
Mypositions:
PG
UTSIJan0910Call
GOOGDec07400Call
SOHU
DRYS
GOOGMar08500Call
FROFeb0850put
CXJan0840put
ITRIJan08100put
UPLJan0880put
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TheDowjustkeepsextendingits150+pointswingdaytoitsrecord.I’msuretherecordwillendprettysoon,ifnotjustthisweekasUSwillhaveitsThanksgivingholiday.However,bythattimethedamageprobablyisalreadymade.Mostindicesarenowbelowtheir200daymovingaverageline,whichisaveryimportantindicatortodefinebull/bearmarket.Ontheotherhand,Ihaveafeelingthatweareprettyclosetotherealcapitulationday.Allweneedissomereallybadnewsfr...[閱讀全文]
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Today’sTransactions:
ClosedBHOaveragedat$13.74
Reason:Thiswasabadtrade.Lookingback,Iprobablyhaveenteredtheposition2or3quartersearlierthanwhatIshouldhave.Sojusttakelossandmoveon.
OpenedUPLJan0880putat$13.70Stopifthestockisabove$72
Reason:UnliketightpetroleumsupplysituationintheUS,thereisplentyofnaturalgasaround(andyoucannoteasilymovethemaround).UPListradedapremiumP/Eratiocomparedto...[閱讀全文]
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Justasitseemsthemarketmightfinallybreakits150-pointswingrecordonthisoptionexpiryday.TheDowmanagedtoextenditsrecordduringtheafternoontrading.Ifthereisanyconsoleinvestorscanget,itisthevolatilitythatdidn’trisemuchduringthemarket’sdrop.Butthismayhavesomethingtodowiththeupcomingholidayweek.WarningsfrombothFedExandYRCshouldnotbetakenlightlyasthereisanincreasingpossibilitynowthatthecreditmarketproblemm...[閱讀全文]
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