"In 2004 and 2008, IBD/TIPP had the smallest deviation from the certified results, and across the last three presidential races, IBD/TIPP had the lowest average divergence.
In the 2012 race, polling analyst Nate Silver, then of the New York Times' blog FiveThirtyEight.com, ranked 23 presidential polling organizations using his own methodology and called IBD/TIPP "the most accurate" tracking poll for the year."
Investor's business daily: Trump leads by 1.3% (before and after the 3rd debate)
It’s too early to measure the impact of last night’s final presidential debate, but Republican Donald Trump now has a three-point lead nationally on Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinto”
左中右三方調研結果的相同之處，在於老川的支持率都在上升。大家可以大致判斷，事實上老川正在迎頭趕上，選情膠著，這也是民主黨內部實際上很恐慌的原因。最終鹿死誰手還不好說。不過如林肯名言所述：“You can fool all the people some of the time, and some of the people all the time, but you cannnot fool all the people all the time.”
iced91030 2016-10-20 14:13:49
you are referring Rasmussen! You are kidding me.
Take a look at 2008 and 2012 result, Rasmussen numbers were way off, too bias to republican. they are the same as Pharos Research, only Pharos Research is bias to democrat.
it is OK to support Donald, no shame on that, but leave science out of it.
阿留 發表評論於
回複 'jiewang' 的評論 :
多謝垂賞點評。林肯這句話，堪稱至理名言。
jiewang 發表評論於
＂You can fool all the people some of the time, and some of the people all the time, but you cannnot fool all the people all the time.“
"In 2004 and 2008, IBD/TIPP had the smallest deviation from the certified results, and across the last three presidential races, IBD/TIPP had the lowest average divergence.
In the 2012 race, polling analyst Nate Silver, then of the New York Times' blog FiveThirtyEight.com, ranked 23 presidential polling organizations using his own methodology and called IBD/TIPP "the most accurate" tracking poll for the year."
Investor's business daily: Trump leads by 1.3% (before and after the 3rd debate)
It’s too early to measure the impact of last night’s final presidential debate, but Republican Donald Trump now has a three-point lead nationally on Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinto”
左中右三方調研結果的相同之處，在於老川的支持率都在上升。大家可以大致判斷，事實上老川正在迎頭趕上，選情膠著，這也是民主黨內部實際上很恐慌的原因。最終鹿死誰手還不好說。不過如林肯名言所述：“You can fool all the people some of the time, and some of the people all the time, but you cannnot fool all the people all the time.”
