12/11/2012：弱股撐盤

來源: FreeTrader 於 2012-12-11 14:01:40 [檔案] [博客] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀：次 (3541 bytes)

12/11/2012：弱股撐盤

今天指數大漲，個股普漲。

有條件能創新高的股比如CMCSA/QCOM/EBAY/YHOO/AMGN/C/BAC/CSCO都表現軟弱。如果真正強，就都應該象PG那樣，今天就該領導市場突破或順勢突破，果斷突破了。

弱股比如MSFT/INTC/AAPL/AMZN/GOOG/GE反而漲幅較大帶起指數，表明指數實際上弱。比如，AMZN所處的位置，如果強，現在就應該突破創曆史新高了。

The ongoing local uptrend is for AAPL distribution, which accounts for substantially high percentage of trading dollar amount.

CSCO/MSFT/INTC/AMZN/CMCSA/ORCL/QCOM are not on the same pace. So at least, it might be safe to say that the ongoing local consolidation and breakout of the uptrend is not healthy enough. For example, CSCO/QCOM/AMZN are not on trending, instead, they are oscillating stocks. AMZN might be arguable regarding it's a trending stock or an oscillating stock. Since AAPL has topped, however, there is no good reason to think AMZN is still trending.

Take a look at COST/BIDU, the above major components may follow the pattern.

Tomorrow, Wedn Dec 12th is FOMC release, an important timing point. If it goes down after FOMC release or on Thur Dec 13th, today shall be a typical bull trap. Or even Santa Clara Rally is taking place, it's not worth to participate the final revelry.

Since the market crash that happened in early August 2011, anti-TA has been much more frequent.

對弱股Short持倉，可參考Sell weekly covered put，選擇主要支撐線位置為Strike Price，進行保護性平倉。