賭錢準贏的trick

In most of the casinos, the chance of win is slightly favoring the "莊家", say 55% vs 45% individual.  With this edge, if high enough volume are played, the 莊家 will make lot of money.  After all,  nobody can beat the statistics.

I read a trick that will guareentee win eventually, it goes like this:

1.  Bet 1 doller,

2a. if win, then bet another dollar again in next game, and repeat from step 1.

2b. If lose, bet 2 dollars.

3a. If win $2, now you have profit of $1, start from step 1 again.

3b. If you lose, bet $4,

4a, if you win $4,  now you have profit of $1, start from step 1 again.

4b. If you lose, bet $8,

and so on,untill you win one bet.

The idea is that you will always win $1 if you keep betting.  You may lose, but for a straight lose in a row (say > 8 times) are really slim. 

I feel something wrong withe the trick, but can not figure out what is wrong.

Any idea? 

所有跟帖: 

LOL。。Your trick of the game is already programmed so YOU WILL b -tianfangye- 給 tianfangye 發送悄悄話 tianfangye 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 14:12:53

You will be A loser。。。BUT stock market not。。 -tianfangye- 給 tianfangye 發送悄悄話 tianfangye 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 14:14:25

天方,nugt賣鳥木有? -朱哥靚- 給 朱哥靚 發送悄悄話 朱哥靚 的博客首頁 (18 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 14:50:47

30% 清倉only。 70% hold。。 -tianfangye- 給 tianfangye 發送悄悄話 tianfangye 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 16:02:43

你數學學得怎麽樣? -說的好- 給 說的好 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 14:13:50

not great, but no problem counting to 1000. -pinerock- 給 pinerock 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 14:16:57

2^12是多少? -說的好- 給 說的好 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 14:19:52

about 4K? -pinerock- 給 pinerock 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 14:23:15

the casino has a cap on the bet -commonsense888- 給 commonsense888 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 14:28:09

also it has A pattern recognition scheme。。 -tianfangye- 給 tianfangye 發送悄悄話 tianfangye 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 14:36:57

哈哈,一看就是木去過賭場滴 -朱哥靚- 給 朱哥靚 發送悄悄話 朱哥靚 的博客首頁 (69 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 14:38:58

這就是最著名的加倍法,學名叫“Martindale Betting System” -關鍵字- 給 關鍵字 發送悄悄話 關鍵字 的博客首頁 (156 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 15:49:16

沒有去過賭場. hard to imagine lose 12 times in a row. -pinerock- 給 pinerock 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 16:18:37

哈哈。我以前去的時候,首先找一個木製的賭具(比如輪盤),現在好像都電子哈。任何機械的東西 -sweetptt- 給 sweetptt 發送悄悄話 sweetptt 的博客首頁 (236 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 16:22:47

俺今年輸了兩次,一次是12回,一次是13回。覺得是自殺式玩法,結論是股市好於賭市。 -G-Wave- 給 G-Wave 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 19:16:03

聽說有人一連玩15把都輸掉.最後放棄了,第16把是他的牌了.. -閑豬手- 給 閑豬手 發送悄悄話 (28 bytes) () 09/21/2012 postreply 21:27:54

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