它可以讓你一夜暴富,也可以讓你一文莫名-由癡一生兄的為女兒投資想到的

本文內容已被 [ monkeyboy ] 在 2012-08-20 10:45:40 編輯過。如有問題,請報告版主或論壇管理刪除.

首先得感謝癡一生兄open up他為女兒操作的investment record,讓大家了解他的position,才有我在這裏的胡說八道。

I believe 股票市場上投資風險巨大的,可是也可能讓你一夜暴富的是兩個板塊,development stage biotech 和 junoir mining。

先談談junior mining company 的 life cycle。They get fundung, start exloration,this phase is highly speculative, risk is the highest. If they don't find anything, they go busted. As soon as they find mineral reserve, the share price can shoop up like rockets, and investors can make 500% return easily.

You find you are the lucky one and ready to buy your dream yacht, right? Not just yet, please put your idea on hold.

If you don't get out in time, you'll see the share price drop like a rock. That's when investors realize that the company is not going to make any money for years to come. Because it takes years to build a mine, and it takes trememdous capital to build and operate a mine. Even if you can put a mine in operation, the rising cost can kill your margin. Don't believe it, take a look at Barrick Gold, Newmont Mining, even Freeport. OK now the share price is on the bottom, the company looks like a dead fish under the sun. But don't count them out just yet. The expolation keeps going on, and they find more reserve and the reserver is 10 times larger than they reported previously. Bam, it shoots up again, then crashes again.

Take a look at Seabridge Gold and Miranda Mineral Holdings, you will understand what I am talking about.

Same boom-buster cycle can be said for lots of small biotech companies. They have to go through phase 1, phase 2 clinic trial. It can be years before the compnay start making profits.

you have to know what you're doing and you have to have risk capital available. Like you wouldn't take your life savings to Vegas, you don't want to bet your house on these stocks.

You have to do tons of research. And yes, you have to check with your best sources in the industry if you decide to invest in junior mining or development stage biotech.

Investment in Real Estate or Stock is hard work. There is no short cut.You have to build your knowledge base, you have to cut down your cost, you have to turn the odds in your favor. It is all about hard work.Take a look at JY, it takes lots of effort for him to build his knowlwdge about AC, he drives hundred of miles to get condensors for $300, in the hot summer days, he takes his crew to fix ACs, it is all about hard work, guys.

Think about that. On Saturday evening, some people went to karaoki (you know whom I am talking about :-), some people was watching 非誠勿擾 (again you know whom I am talking about :-), someone was reading investment analysis, someone was doing investment research.

It is not about just click mouse a couple of times.

It is about discipline and patience. It is about you know what price to pay. It is about you wait for the market to come to you. It is about you have nerves of steel. It is about do the very best, most detailed research. It is about you really, truly know what you're doing and why. It is about you are prepared for plenty of volatility.

 

 

 

 

 

所有跟帖: 

利潤與風險成正比,當個地主風險小些(有的地區根本沒風險)。 -backchina888- 給 backchina888 發送悄悄話 backchina888 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 10:43:02

那些地方沒風險,我們都想知道, Seriously。 -monkeyboy- 給 monkeyboy 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 10:53:56

請問問TT,他有論述的。另Miat42一年多前買的房子至少都double了,當然,這麽好的時機、這麽好的回報可能不多或沒有了 -backchina888- 給 backchina888 發送悄悄話 backchina888 的博客首頁 (118 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 11:00:13

Well said! -癡一生- 給 癡一生 發送悄悄話 癡一生 的博客首頁 (142 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 10:48:06

Bingo! I Believe That's Why You Waited Until A Big Pharma to Kic -monkeyboy- 給 monkeyboy 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 10:51:43

This is what I did for my kids -ZhangZhouDaTou- 給 ZhangZhouDaTou 發送悄悄話 ZhangZhouDaTou 的博客首頁 (845 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 19:45:27

excellent way of teaching them about investing. -癡一生- 給 癡一生 發送悄悄話 癡一生 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 20:53:49

DDDDD,我昨天下工地了,累得爬上來要梁山講故事。 -SunshineInCA- 給 SunshineInCA 發送悄悄話 (40 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 10:55:00

有1個躺著上來的... -jy101- 給 jy101 發送悄悄話 jy101 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 11:03:58

there ain't free lunches anywhere... -jy101- 給 jy101 發送悄悄話 jy101 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 11:05:46

DDD. 癡一生選股的定力,是多年修行得來的。哪是點點鼠標的事? -R&D- 給 R&D 發送悄悄話 R&D 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 11:26:21

猴兄又戳破了我一夜暴富的夢想 -melody2010- 給 melody2010 發送悄悄話 melody2010 的博客首頁 (1614 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 11:56:50

你回來了啊 -R&D- 給 R&D 發送悄悄話 R&D 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 12:08:29

沒事,師傅多才能出高徒呢。你看郭大俠,多少師傅。 -Morning3evening4- 給 Morning3evening4 發送悄悄話 Morning3evening4 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 08/20/2012 postreply 12:11:02

創業,一種為民族的崛起和超越而奮鬥! -流浪者的夢- 給 流浪者的夢 發送悄悄話 流浪者的夢 的博客首頁 (21561 bytes) () 09/10/2012 postreply 21:41:38

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