我用成功率,勝率來打比方,不是很恰當。這時一件你自己(包括partners)可以認認真真做的事情,和去賭場裏扔別人給你的骰子,去股市裏買賣別人developed的paper,是有本質區別的。
Risk is a lot though, in the sense let's define risk as uncertainty. a) Money keeps going, difficult if possible to control budget. b) Time keeps going. It'll take some good professionals a couple years, and take some mediocre ones years or forever.
Liquidity could be bad.
The reward could be n-fold.
也要看項目,等機會。On the other hand, if you are very good at 垃圾胡, 拿了把清一色一條龍的牌,不好好做也很可惜。
In term of long-cycle, right now could be the best time to enter this, my opinion.
trendspike說“沒有當地主來的刺激”,咱們順著如山的思路給他神侃點刺激的。