One comment on one of nWAY's posts

來源: HCC 2012-04-06 15:02:10 [] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀: 次 (5351 bytes)

So here's a post from last year:

Bill Gross選擇拋售旗下所有美國國債

http://blog.wenxuecity.com/myblog/46947/201103/10976.html

The comment at the end:

【古風按語】美元現在真的是雪上加霜啦:如今連自己的人都在大規模地棄船而去,美國離最後倒台的日子不會太遠了!

The post was dated March 11, 2011. 

However, the author did not mention that a few months later, Bill Gross said that betting against US debt was one of his biggest mistakes ever: 

http://www.cnbc.com/id/44323496/Pimco_s_Gross_Regrets_Mistake_on_US_Debt_Call 

And not only did the U.S. not collapse, the Dow Jones in fact rose more than 1,000 points from the time of the article to market close yesterday: 

March 11, 2011: 12,044 

April 5, 2012: 13,060

I myself bought a bond fund that invests in long term U.S. Treatury in 2011 (PRULX).  As of yesterday, it generated more than 13% return for me.  It is not the greatest return in the world, but it is certainly not the collapse predicted by a certain prophet. 

And, as far as the prediction: 美國離最後倒台的日子不會太遠了!

It's been more than 1 year since this prediction came out, and I am still waiting. 

所有跟帖: 

美國的問題是沒有任何人能夠解決的超前消費 -片而川- 給 片而川 發送悄悄話 (269 bytes) () 04/06/2012 postreply 15:36:17

破產? -想家了嗎- 給 想家了嗎 發送悄悄話 想家了嗎 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/06/2012 postreply 16:04:42

克林頓當總統時是財政收支平衡和國庫盈餘的啦。 -蒙得- 給 蒙得 發送悄悄話 蒙得 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 04/06/2012 postreply 20:13:18

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