應該學學經濟了.

來源: 天下多蚤 2012-01-06 08:34:22 [] [舊帖] [給我悄悄話] 本文已被閱讀: 次 (868 bytes)

Let's list the reasons why 1980 gold bubble bursted:

1) Little national debts

2) Real interest rate positive

3) All money in circulation were backed by gold and more in terms prices

So what it today's situition:

1) National debts to GDP 1:1 and growing fast

2) Real interest rate has been negative and will be for the forseeable future

3) only a small fraction of money in circulation is backed by gold

So Will FED dare to raise the interest rate? Answer, if they do, then they immediately bankrupt the nation because debt payments will skyrocket.

That is not to mention real interest rate will completely pop the real estate bubble that is artificially floated with low interest rate.

So any one use above chart only sees the gold price high in devalued USD. Get real.

LOL

所有跟帖: 

回複:應該學學經濟了. -392- 給 392 發送悄悄話 392 的博客首頁 (117 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 08:44:03

Rate double will kill the market and real estate -天下多蚤- 給 天下多蚤 發送悄悄話 (514 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 09:55:37

幾個問題, -qiaoshe- 給 qiaoshe 發送悄悄話 qiaoshe 的博客首頁 (451 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 09:37:08

這個世界就是這麽詭異,美國統治世界憑的就是美金和大刀, -qiaoshe- 給 qiaoshe 發送悄悄話 qiaoshe 的博客首頁 (43 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 09:55:22

這個世界並不詭異,沒有一個強權可以永遠保持自己的優勢. -天下多蚤- 給 天下多蚤 發送悄悄話 (98 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 10:29:01

永遠? We are talking about 2012 -futufutu- 給 futufutu 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 16:54:12

So what about 2012? -天下多蚤- 給 天下多蚤 發送悄悄話 (0 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 19:09:56

I think the best answers are what you do your own research. -天下多蚤- 給 天下多蚤 發送悄悄話 (2116 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 10:08:24

回複qiaoshe: -hercules007- 給 hercules007 發送悄悄話 hercules007 的博客首頁 (549 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 12:10:39

糾錯---2011(not 2010)年美元黃金漲了10.40% -hercules007- 給 hercules007 發送悄悄話 hercules007 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 12:58:51

wow, good answer -Seasy- 給 Seasy 發送悄悄話 Seasy 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 14:24:54

有才,先讚一個! 看來你是對黃金情有獨鍾. 對我來說, -qiaoshe- 給 qiaoshe 發送悄悄話 qiaoshe 的博客首頁 (384 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 18:57:03

So try to buy $100k rice, or better yet, 1 million USD of any co -天下多蚤- 給 天下多蚤 發送悄悄話 (869 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 19:19:07

任何東西開始泛濫的時候,,, -hercules007- 給 hercules007 發送悄悄話 hercules007 的博客首頁 (1053 bytes) () 01/07/2012 postreply 01:48:31

回複:任何東西開始泛濫的時候,,, -hercules007- 給 hercules007 發送悄悄話 hercules007 的博客首頁 (602 bytes) () 01/07/2012 postreply 02:27:52

嗬嗬,明白人。 -hercules007- 給 hercules007 發送悄悄話 hercules007 的博客首頁 (0 bytes) () 01/06/2012 postreply 11:53:16

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