是的,對於這個問題就應該客觀地看問題,以事實說話看待中美雙方在這個博弈中各自的

位置,誰更占據上風,才能客觀預測未來大致可能發生什麽以及我們該如何應對。不用因為自己站在某一邊就justify,昨天和女兒討論這一現象,女兒脫口而出心理學上有一個詞叫“Cognitive Dissonance ", 查了一下,她非常準確地概括了這一現象:

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Cognitive Dissonance In Psychology: Definition and Examples
Cognitive dissonance is the psychological discomfort or tension people feel when they hold two or more conflicting ideas, beliefs, or values, or when their actions contradict their beliefs. This uncomfortable mental state motivates individuals to reduce the dissonance by changing their attitudes or behaviors, rationalizing their actions, or dismissing the conflicting information to restore internal consistency. 
How Cognitive Dissonance Works
 
  • Inconsistency Creates Discomfort:The mind naturally seeks consistency between one's thoughts and actions. When there's a clash, like a person who believes smoking is harmful but continues to smoke, it creates a state of psychological discomfort or tension. 
  • Motivation to Reduce Dissonance:To alleviate this discomfort, people are motivated to resolve the inconsistency. 
  • Methods of Resolution:Individuals may use several strategies:
    • Change their behavior: A smoker might reduce smoking to align with their belief.
    • Change their beliefs: They might downplay the risks of smoking.
    • Add new cognitions (rationalize): They might add a belief, such as, "I exercise a lot, so it doesn't matter".
    • Trivialize the inconsistency: They might decide the conflicting information isn't important.
    • Deny or avoid contradictory information: They might ignore news about the dangers of smoking. 
Examples of Cognitive Dissonance
 
  • Smoking:A person who smokes but believes smoking is dangerous experiences dissonance, which may be resolved by quitting, rationalizing their habits, or ignoring the health risks. 
  • Ethical Dilemmas:An individual who values honesty but tells a lie might feel guilt (a manifestation of dissonance) and then minimize the lie's importance or blame others to restore their self-image as an ethical person, as noted by YouTube. 
  • Consumer Behavior:Someone who buys an expensive product they don't really need might later rationalize the purchase by emphasizing its positive qualities to justify the expenditure. 
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